Analyzing the sustainable future of worn-out fabric with a future studies approach (Case study: historical areas of Urmia city)

In the contemporary world, with the rapid advances in science and technology, the urban planning system has also faced changes. Urban planning which was previously based on the traditional system, seems not to have the necessary balance and responsiveness to correct and solve the problem of worn-out tissues anymore. Therefore, the future research approach helps planners to see the future better and prevent negative consequences, especially in old fabrics. Future studies on worn-out tissues seem necessary in order to improve the standard of living and urban prosperity in the coming years. In terms of its nature, this research is considered to be applied research and in terms of data, it is quantitative research, which was carried out by descriptive-analytical method. Collecting data from the opinions of specialists and experts in the form of survey forms, and using prospective research techniques for data analysis, the data analysis tool in this research was Micmac software. The main goal of this research is to achieve the scenarios facing the old fabric of the Urmia metropolis by 1420. The most important driving factors were identified in relation to future research on worn-out fabric in Urmia. The results of this research show that 13 key factors will be influential in the future of the old fabric of Urmia city, then, according to the known key factors, the scenarios are predicted in four modes (white, grey, orange and black) for the old texture.