The Agreement on the Establishment of Formal Diplomatic Relations between the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Kyrgyz Republic was signed in 1992 as one of the five countries in the Central Asian region. The assessment of the relations between Iran and Kyrgyzstan during these thirty years, despite the opportunity to strengthen convergence in various dimensions, shows a kind of stagnation and stability. This study examines the achievements and failures of the Islamic Republic of Iran's relations with Kyrgyzstan and answers the question of how the causes of stagnation and stability of Iran-Kyrgyzstan relations after thirty years can be assessed. In response, it is hypothesized that the relations between Iran and Kyrgyzstan, despite many similarities, especially in the cultural and political fields; Always with a kind of stability, stagnation and lack of dynamism in various dimensions for reasons such as lack of priority and differences of ideas and lack of a coherent strategy to strengthen relations at the bilateral level, Kyrgyzstan's cautious foreign policy towards interaction with Iran and the presence of rival regional and international powers. Has been faced. However, in order to achieve the development of relations between the two countries in various dimensions, the expansion of cooperation in the economic dimension, along with cultural and political priorities in relations with Kyrgyzstan in competition with other actors, can be put on a serious agenda. The article is descriptive-analytical and inferential methodology has been used to achieve the objectives of the research.

Foreign policy is a complex subject in the field of international relations, which is included in the sub-branch of "foreign policy analysis". It is strongly influenced by both domestic and international factors. The decision-making process for foreign policy requires careful consideration of domestic and foreign considerations. Therefore, it is important to use theories and models to analyze and review the foreign policies of countries, considering the internal and external environments. The collapse of the Soviet Union and the formation of new republics created a competitive atmosphere in Central Asia. The Islamic Republic of Iran has been active in the current developments in Central Asia and was one of the first countries to officially recognize the independence of Kyrgyzstan on December 21, 1991. Through bilateral relations and regional cooperation, Iran has tried to strengthen cooperation with Kyrgyzstan in various fields, including politics, economics, culture, science and technology. To achieve this goal, Iran has adopted various foreign policy strategies towards the Kyrgyz Republic. The purpose of this research is to analyze the current foreign policy strategies of the Islamic Republic of Iran towards Kyrgyzstan and to present potential scenarios for Iran’s foreign policy in this country.Research question: The purpose of this research is to answer the following questions: What is Iran's foreign policy strategy in Kyrgyzstan? What are the strengths and weaknesses of these strategies?Research hypothesis: The proposed hypothesis is that Iran's foreign policy strategies towards Kyrgyzstan have not been successful and dynamic due to the country's internal strengths and environmental opportunities.

The current research has been carried out with the aim of analyzing the present and past strategies of the Islamic Republic of Iran in Kyrgyzstan by compiling a conceptual model influenced by approaches of foreign policy analysis and its governing principles.  This will be followed by a forward-looking approach to create potential and favorable scenarios for the Islamic Republic of Iran in this country. The research conceptual model will include two strategic management models, namely Swat and Postel, as research techniques. The research approach will be a "futuristic" approach with focusing on scenarios. The main advantage of this conceptual model is its ability to simultaneously consider the micro, macro and moderate levels and at the same time use a prospective approach to analyze the foreign policy of the Islamic Republic of Iran in Kyrgyzstan.

Based on the drivers, trends, events and images, the following scenarios can be envisioned for Iran's foreign policy in Kyrgyzstan: the first scenario: the o-surprise scenario: possible revision: One of the most likely scenarios of Iran's foreign policy in Kyrgyzstan is the continuation of current trends without major changes. This scenario is included in the category of "static" scenarios and involves maintaining the current level of bilateral relations.The second scenario can be called "the most likely optimal" or the optimistic scenario: This scenario predicts that with the implementation of a ten-year comprehensive agreement between the two countries and the exploitation of many mines, the country’s  tourism and hydropower  potential will increase, strengthening the  communication corridors, the benefits of the country's membership in the Eurasian Economic Union ( EEU ) in relation to Iran as well as Iran's permanent membership in the Shanghai organization, the political, economic and cultural relations between the two countries will be promoted to the favorable level.The third scenario: "The worst scenario" or pessimistic scenario: Given that currently Iran's relations with all countries of the Central Asian region, including Kyrgyzstan, are not at a favorable level compared to the strengths and the opportunities of the region, the possible unfavorable scenario is the continuation of this process along with the weakening of this relationship due to reasons including the strong presence of China and other competing countries. "Desirable" or "miracle" scenarios: The lifting of sanctions against Iran, the establishment of normal relations with the international community and permanent membership of Iran in the Shanghai Organization will have a significant impact on Iran's global influence as well as the region and the country of Kyrgyzstan. This greatly enhance the overall level of relationship between all parties involved.

The examination of Iran's foreign policy in Kyrgyzstan shows that while political and cultural relations between the two countries have been positive and friendly, the economic relations have been limited and at a low level. Based on the Swot and Pestel model, Iran's political strategy in Kyrgyzstan was offensive, with a defensive economic strategy and a focus on cultural diversity. Various scenarios can be analyzed for the future of relations between the two countries, including optimistic scenarios, but other possible scenarios should also be considered. Finally, the research hypothesis can be confirmed that despite having strengths and opportunities, the two countries still have a long way to achieve an ideal relationship due to weaknesses and environmental challenges.

The creation of a common monetary union could bring significant economic gains by reducing transaction costs, eliminating exchange rate risks, and consequently increasing trade and capital. In this study, in order to investigate the possibility of forming a common monetary union between Member and Observer states of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, the effect of external and internal shocks on the supply and demand side on the macroeconomic variables of these countries, using the GVAR Global Vector Regression Model and seasonal data for years 1996 to 2015 is investigated. The results of the study of the effects of external shocks indicate that, apart from Kyrgyzstan, the behavior of other countries is relatively symmetrical to external shocks. The results represent an equally symmetric reaction of the countries to domestic monetary policies, so that only in the foreign sector of the economy we have seen asymmetries about the effect of monetary shocks. The results of the study of the effects of shocks on the supply sector show the more asymmetric reactions of the variables of the model in comparison with external shocks; so that the greatest asymmetry can be seen in the impact of supply shocks on the interest rate of countries; the results outlines the different policy structures of the central banks of the countries under consideration. On the other hand, in relation to the economy of Iran and Kyrgyzstan, we see a different reaction of the foreign sector variables in comparison with other countries, so that the above results indicate differences in foreign exchange regimes or other foreign sector structures of these countries compared to other countries. The final results indicate that there is a greater symmetry of the impact of the shocks under consideration in the countries of China, India and Russia relative to Iran and Kyrgyzstan, so that it is possible to form a monetary union between these countries.

Trasica Corridor is one of the most important corridors connecting East Asia to Europe. This article seeks to investigate the effect of Iran's geo-economic position on the use of the Thracian rail corridor for the convergence of Iran with four Central Asian countries. In this study, the convergence of Iran with these four Central Asian countries Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Uzbekistan and Tajikistan for the years 2015 to 2020 has been investigated. The results of Grobel and Lloyd index of Iran's trade with Kazakhstan (0.565) showed that Iran has the most intra-industry trade with Kazakhstan. After that was the country of Uzbekistan, whose index of industrial trade with Iran was obtained (0.343). The results of Grobel and Lloyd's index for the two countries of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan (0.067 and 0.062) indicate that these two mentioned countries had the least intra-industry trade with Iran. The above findings clearly show that Iran's economy can make good use of the Trasica Corridor rail route for the transfer of goods and economic integration with Central Asian countries. In order to encourage businessmen to make more use of the Trasica rail corridor in order for Iran's economy to reach the markets of Central Asia, it is suggested that bilateral agreements be concluded with Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan and Uzbekistan to reduce bilateral tariffs for businessmen of both sides, and a joint commission on Monitor the implementation of these obligations.