نشریه مطالعات جمعیتی
سال هفتم شماره 2 (پیاپی 14، پاییز و زمستان 1400)

Divorce is a challenging process that affects a person's life in various psychological, emotional, social and economic dimensions. The purpose of this study is to identify and analyze the process of remarriage formation in men and their interpretations of the causes and contexts of remarriage after divorce, which was implemented qualitatively by grounded theory method. Fifteen men living in Isfahan who had divorce experience and then remarried were purposefully selected by theoretical sampling method. Data were collected through in-depth interviews and analyzed by open, axial and selective coding methods. The core category is the "crisis of individual and social identities", which was obtained from a combination of 19 main categories. In other words, men after divorceface identity challenges in the individual and social dimensions, which provide the conditions and grounds for men’s remarriage. Findings showed that men after divorce, due to normative-value expectations and existing gender structures in the society, saw themselves in the opposite direction of the normal situation. Following this event and the challenges created in the individual and collective dimensions of identity, remarriage has been adopted as an effective solution to recreate masculinity and enjoy social re-acceptance.

Application development in new assisted reproductive technologies (ART), such as surrogacy, have helped many infertile couples realize their dreams of haveing children; but at the same time, it has raised several problematic dimensions. The purpose of this study is to investigate the obstacles and challanges of surrogate mothers experience. The study method is qualitative and phenomenological anthropology. The research field study was conducted in 2019 with the help of participatory observation tools and in-depth interviews with 12 surrogate mothers during a period of 5 months at the research institute of reproductive sciences in Yazd. The data were analyzed using the Attride-Sterling thematic analysis method. Findings are expressed in the form of 27 concepts, 9 sub-themes and 4 main themes including social misunderstanding, emotional dependence on the fetus, pregnancy problems, and social camouflage. These themes indicate the obstacles and problems surrogate mothers face Cultivation in this field, and paying attention to emotional needs and providing psychological counseling for surrogate mothers are suggested.

The birth rate in Iran has flactuateda lotin recent decades. Although this issue has been widely studied due to its importance,it has rarely been paid attention to a macro and long-term perspective. Therefore, this research has tried to investigate the relationship between socio-economic indicators including; GDP per capita, women's participation in the labor force, inflation, unemployment, and literacy rate with the birth rate in the period of 1991-2019. This research is a quantitative  secondary analysis that was conducted using the time-series method. In order to investigate the short-term and long-term relationships of the research variables, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model was used in Microfit software. Based on the research findings , with the improvement of the indicators of women's participation in the labor force, and the level of literacy, the birth rate has decreased. There is a positive and significant relationship between inflation and unemployment indicators with birth rate, and there is no significant relationship between GDP per capita and birth rate. Accrding to the research results, it is concluded that the birth rate in Iran is more affected by the macro than micro conditions.

The increase in women's inter-provincial migrations is one of the most important changes in recent decades in the migration field,  which largely  stems from the different development of provinces. Therefore, this research was carried out with the aim of investigating the effect of socio-economic and technological developments of the provinces on the ratio of their women’s independent migration to the city of Tehran, using a quantitative and fuzzy comparative method. The study of 2006 and 2011 censuses shows that despite the increase of female immigrants to Tehran, the number of independent female immigrants to Tehran from other provinces has decreased. The results of the correlation test showed that there is a direct significant relationship between the amount of "socio-economic" and "technological" developments of the provinces with the ratio of "migration" and "independent migration" of their women to Tehran, and most of the independent female immigrants who entered  to Tehran are from more developed provinces. Also, the proportion of women's independent migration to Tehran is more affected by the development of provinces than the ratio of women’s migration. The  results of fuzzy analysis show that both the conditions of "socio-economic" and "technological" developments have high "Consistency" and "coverage" indicators and as necessary conditions, they increase the ratio of women’s independent migration. Also, the causual combination of socio-economic and technological developments with high consistency index and empirical explanatory power is a sufficient causal combination of women's independent migration to Tehran. The phase sharing of two conditions, as a sufficient condition with great theoretical and empirical strengths, has been able to explain the ratio of women's independent migration of all provinces to Tehran.

As an informal part of the Iranian society, Afghan immigrant women experience emotions in the family and social structure that can be influential in the production or reproduction of a cultural environment, beyond its pathology. The present study, with a qualitative approach and interpretative phenomenological method, seeks to narrate the lived experience of Afghan immigrant women. The data collection tool was a semi-structured interview, the data of which was collected through interviews with 25 women of 18 to 40 years old living in the southern areas of Tehranand analyzed according to Van Menen's model. Some of the main themes extracted, such as identity crisis, anxiety, and contentment with the status quo, show that the traditions of the origin society still powerfully affect the lives of immigrant women. It is necessary to pay attention to the results of such studies at the micro and macro levels of cultural policy. In line with the management of support programs for immigrants and population policies such as childbearing, necessary policy recommendations have been provided.

Emotional divorce is one of the traumas that many families face. The breakdown of marital ties is one of the most prominent examples of developments related to today's family. Therefore, the need to study the factors affecting emotional divorce is felt more and more. In this study, emotional divorce is measured in three economic, social-cultural and emotional-sexual dimensions. Moreover, based on theories of Giddens's, exchange, second demographic transition, modernization, conflict, economic deprivation and homogamy, the influence of individualism, modernity, sexual satisfaction, family type (from traditional to modern), power structure in the family, inequality feeling, religious beliefs, educational and religious homogamies, socio-economic status, age, sex, educational level and marriage age on changes in the rate of emotional divorce were assessed using multivariate regression. In a cross-sectional study, 384 married men and women in Tehran were selected using the Cochran's formula and their information were gathered by a researcher made questionnaire in 1400 . The reliability of the research questionnaire was confirmed by Cronbach's alpha. Findings showed that women have emotional divorce more than men and the variables of sexual dissatisfaction, heterogeneities of religious beliefs and education, individualism, modernity, traditionality of the family and lower marriage age lead to a greater extent emotional divorce among married men and women.

The mortality transition is the initial phase of demographic transition by improving the population health ,increasing the ability to resist disease, and preventing premature deaths through scientific advances . In this regard, the current article examines the mortality trend in Iran using the smoothing spline method. The research data includes life expectancy estimations at different times in the country. The smoothing spline technique was used to link the estimates and plot the trend of changes in the life expectancy index, and the speed of its changes. The calculations and drawings of plots were performed using the pspline package in R software. The results showed that the mortality transition in Iran began in the early 14th century (AH) andprogressed very rapidly until the mid-1980s. After this period, this trend continued until the early 15th century (AH) at a slower pace, that is, while life expectancy is still increasing, but the increase acceleration is slowing down. This trend is expected to continue at a steady pace in the 15th century (AH). The use of the spline method in this article made it possible to model this process more accurately based on non-parametric statistics and reveal the sensitivity of the model to different estimates.

The Corona virus in the world has forced millions of people to quarantine at home and caused anxiety. The main objective of this study was to study the effect of socio - economic covariates by controlling demographic and health covariates on corona anxiety in Naghadeh. Using Proportional stratified multi-stage sampling 384 women and men over 20 years old were selected and a 24-item CPDI questionnaire was completed for them in the fall of 2019. Then, data were analyzed by Structural Equation Modeling in Amos Software. Accoridng to the results, Corona anxiety was more for Turkish people than Kurdish ones, for families with low and medium monthly expenses than those with high ones, and for people with low and medium assessments of the future situation than thoes with high ones. People whose family members were not infected with Corona, used Internet and believed that Corona had little effect on their family compared to those whose one of their family members were infected with Corona, didn’t use internet, and emphasized family disputes had less anxiety. Also, by increasing economic insecurity feeling, the Corona anxiety increased.

In order to be aware of the Covid-19 effect on mortality pattern in Iran, in this study, based on the published mortality data of the National Organization for Civil Registration, has been tried to estimate the level and pattern of age and sex of excess mortalityin Iran . Data onweekly mortality by age and sex from 2015 to 2021 from the National Organization for Civil Registration and data on weekly mortality due to Covid-19 from the weekly reports of the Ministry of Health and Medical Education were obtained and the excess mortality was estimated using the exponential smoothing regression prediction function. Results showed that the official statistics of deaths reported in the country do not include all deaths caused by Covid-19; this disease has also caused an increase of about 30 % in deaths since its outbreak The sex ratio of Covid-19 deaths in Iran is estimated at 1.1 and more than 80% of Covid-19 deaths have occured in the age group of 55 years and older. Like some developing countries in Iran, deaths due to Covid-19 are significantly reported less .The results of this study demonstrate the importance of rapid reporting all-cause mortality for epidemic monitoring.

Population youth is one of the most important issues in many developing countries. The purpose of this study is to investigate demographic, economic and social factors affecting transition from young age structure in Asian and African countries between 1990 and 2020. United Nations population data for 107 countries were modeled using the event history analysis. The results of the Cox regression model showed that after adjusting for the covariates of total fertility rate, crude death rate and net migration rate as well as control variables (gross domestic product, inflation rate and urban population), the variable of total fertility rate affects transition from population youth; so that for one unit increase in the total fertility rate, the hazard of transition decreases by 58%. The role of this variable was estimated to be more significant in the African continent. The net migration rate variable is significant only in the African continent, showing a positive effect on transition from the young age structure. Considering the high fertility of African countries, the transition of age structure in these countries will not happen in the near future, and this is an important issue in macro-level policy in sectors of employment, housing, education, etc.