نشریه آینده پژوهی شهری
سال چهارم شماره 3 (پاییز 1403)

The present research aims to provide a suitable model for housing design that incorporates solar energy and the climatic and spatial elements of traditional architecture in the houses of Shiraz. This research is descriptive-analytical in nature and applied in terms of its objectives; data collection was conducted through library and field methods. In this regard, after conducting library studies, interviews were held with five experts in the field of architecture, and, following the extraction of indicators, models for contemporary housing were proposed. The study examined the architectural indicators of traditional houses, such as water usage, maximizing wind capture, utilizing light, providing cooling through shade, using green spaces, proportions and composition of architectural elements, materials, and sustainable architectural design of spaces, building orientation, and the organization of spaces. It also explored solutions for climatic and active energy architecture, including optimal orientation and form, the thermal conductivity capacity of walls, shading devices, and light-transmitting walls. Energy calculations and contemporary adaptations of these indicators—including the use of a central courtyard (atrium), creating openings above staircases, movable shading devices, fixed and porous shades, triple-layered glass with argon gas in the middle, and the use of lightweight blocks—indicate that it is possible to design climate-responsive housing. The proposed optimal models can provide maximum thermal comfort for residents and reduce energy consumption.

Today, the growth of urbanization, the increase in urban population, and the subsequent rise in population density in cities have led to a rise in natural and man-made accidents and crises, along with their associated vulnerabilities In the meantime, the science of foresight has, for more than seventy years, focused on preparing for crises and events that may cause surprises in the future. In this context, future research and planning based on data analysis form the foundation of crisis management. The present research was conducted to identify the key crises affecting the development of Oshan, Fasham, Meygoon city using a foresight approach. In this descriptive-analytical research, the environmental scanning technique was first used to identify potential crises affecting the development of Oshan, Fasham, Meygoon city. Subsequently, based on a questionnaire distributed among experts and elites, and within the framework of the matrix of mutual effects in the MicMac software environment, the direct and indirect impact of each crisis was measured. Finally, the key crises were identified based on their impact scores. The results of this research indicate that the immigration of native people, cultural conflicts caused by the arrival of different ethnic groups in the city, earthquakes, landslides, urban floods, mountain falls, avalanches, blocked roads, attacks by wild animals, fires, the collapse of unsafe and unsustainable buildings, mistrust toward the institutions responsible for the city, inconsistency and incompatibility between these institutions, and the lack of necessary training for dealing with events are among the potential crises affecting the development of Oshan, Fasham, Meygoon city. Among these, earthquakes, landslides, mountain falls, urban floods, and avalanches are identified as the key crises of the city.

The aim of this research was to design a performance model for Shiraz urban management using an interpretive structural approach (case study: Shiraz Municipality). The research was applied in purpose and descriptive in method, conducted through a mixed qualitative and quantitative approach. Sampling in the qualitative section was based on a specialized and targeted panel, consisting of 18 participants. The statistical population in the quantitative section included managers and experts from Shiraz Municipality, selected using a non-random convenience sampling method based on Cochran's formula and Morgan's table. The research tools included a researcher-made questionnaire and a structured self-interaction form. The questionnaire's validity was confirmed by 10 sports management professors, and its reliability was verified through Cronbach's alpha test (α=0.88). To model the components, the interpretive structural modeling technique was employed. The findings identified 38 indicators categorized under organizational structure components, supervision and monitoring, management of financial and hardware resources, development of interactions and relationships, inter-organizational coordination and coherence, unity of command, coordination, development of human resources, integration, platform building, systemic perspective, and Karrahe. These components were structured across seven levels, with human resources development and Karrahe positioned at the foundational level. It can be concluded that designing and implementing mid-term and long-term strategies, along with recruiting, retaining, and empowering expert personnel in various areas of urban management, will facilitate the realization of the identified components and contribute to the development of urban management.

In today's world, the development of a creative city is crucial for economic growth due to its role as a hub for sociological platforms and its growing importance. This study aims to analyze the concept of the creative city using a futurist approach based on scenario writing, with a focus on Chabahar. The research is applied in nature and descriptive-analytical in method. The study's statistical population consists of 22 experts from the management organizations of Chabahar and urbanism faculty members. The sampling method used was purposive and stratified. Data were collected through library research, and the primary tool for data collection was a closed-type questionnaire. To analyze the creative city concept with a futuristic approach in Chabahar, the Delphi technique and Wizard software were employed. The analysis of 35 indicators using the Delphi method revealed that the status of influential indicators in the creative city of Chabahar is undesirable, with a particular emphasis on futurism. Most indicators scored below the average value of 3, with 14 of the 35 indicators being disadvantaged and 11 showing some disadvantages. In step 16, the main indicator was selected and analyzed under three scenarios (lack of attention, continuation of current trends, and improvement) using Wizard scenario software. Five possible future scenarios for Chabahar’s creative city were proposed, indicating that the management and development of the city are influenced by changes in these factors and drivers. Recognizing the key components contributing to Chabahar's creativity will aid in shaping desirable future outcomes. It is hoped that by evaluating and analyzing the creative city, city managers and planners will be able to navigate Chabahar's development strategically, leveraging its available capacities and competitive advantages.

The appearance of a city represents human civilization and culture. The architecture that embodies this appearance should uphold values that lead society toward identity. However, such values have faded in most contemporary cities, which now consist primarily of massive buildings, parks, and offices. In other words, the perception of space is lacking, and this crisis worsens over time. In today's technology-oriented world, the appearance of cities has changed, and their physical forms have taken on a different character. The physical form of cities, as the first architectural element in visual communication with people, no longer interacts effectively with its audience and plays a diminished role. This research, employing a qualitative method and a descriptive-analytical approach, alongside a library study, aims to achieve a deeper understanding of the concept of identity and identitarian architecture. Through field observations of historical architecture and references to ancient documents and texts, the physical identity elements are identified. The results reveal that the identity and architectural identity of this region are deeply connected to its rich history and culture. It is essential to recognize the physical elements of Iranian historical architectural styles. Subsequently, two significant styles of Iranian architecture are introduced, and their physical characteristics are extracted and presented.

The components of urban form—such as public spaces, buildings, facilities, and transportation infrastructure—play a crucial role in shaping and enhancing the functionality of a smart city. Integrating smart technologies into urban form facilitates efficient urban management, improves services, and fosters a high-quality, sustainable urban environment for citizens. Therefore, this study aims to examine the research methods employed in studies exploring the relationship between urban form and smart cities, with the goal of identifying new research solutions through the analysis of these studies. The research approach is both mixed and applied, utilizing the Fararoosh framework to address the research questions. The selected articles, spanning the recent five-year period (2018–2023), were analyzed using MAXQDA software. The findings indicate that many studies in this field have employed theoretical models or case studies, limiting the generalizability of the findings to specific cities. Most research methods in this area have been quantitative, focusing on aspects of smart cities. The impacts of smart cities on urban living are complex and multifaceted, necessitating interdisciplinary collaboration and empirical research for a comprehensive understanding. Therefore, it is essential to uncover the relationships between paradigms, temporal horizons, approaches, and the nature of research, as well as the methods and analytical tools used in these studies. The adoption of new research methods is necessary for developing a methodological framework for sustainable smart city planning based on strategic data. Achieving a smart and sustainable urban form requires a comprehensive and interdisciplinary approach.

The main goal of this research is to explain the effective factors in the successful formation of an airport city for the economic prosperity of cities and the expansion of the tourism industry. Today, the design of airport cities is based on global scientific approaches and integrated styles of adapted and native architecture in modern or developing countries. As one of the indicators of development in human societies, it has always been, and will continue to be, a focus of the world's governing and scientific institutions. Airport design in any country has consistently been a special concern for city planners, architects, and experts in the fields of urban development and the tourism industry due to its function and potential to impact various domestic and international sectors and levels, as well as the depth of its influence. In line with the main goal of the research, land capability was investigated using multi-criteria decision analysis, specifically employing the Güler model. To achieve the second goal and answer the research questions, the criteria of the Gartner model were classified and prioritized from an expert perspective. For the third purpose, in addition to prioritizing the resources, the focus of presence and time spent—extracted from the questionnaire—was used to determine the movement pattern. After the descriptive analysis of the data, inferential analysis was conducted, and the research hypotheses were evaluated and tested. The results of hypothesis testing are presented in graphs. The findings, derived from the collected data and analyzed using SPSS and Smart PLS software, show that all the hypotheses have been confirmed.