فصلنامه مدیریت بحران و وضعیت های اضطراری
پیاپی 55 (زمستان 1403)

an ra barresi konid amenit ejtemaei bah in delil manpam est keh abead shekl giri shoar manpam est. safheh roye safheh digar cheghodar est roye an noshteh shodeh est: dashbord bakharid, pol zyadi badehid, cheghodar est, cheghodar est ve cheh ertabati dard? ma shma ra mi khandanim ve shma ve khanavadeh tan ra moskhareh khaehim kard. cpehdaf barresi rabeteh ve peyvand kononi amenit ejtemaei ve nofuz amenit jamehori eslami iran bar asas in didegah est keh ba barresi ekteshafi ve cpehmaranpani amiq an ba gheni tarin akhabar in majera mahgh shodeh est. ema baraye tahaiieh garveh ve tozi an bin 20 nafar manand nokhbegan ve karshenan tamin ejtemaei ve ejtemaei ve estefadeh az zaban sakhtan moton ve amuzeh cpeha manand vazhgan ve mofanpanim abead. ve tarkib an shadand est. in mahvar tamin ejtemaei bakhshodari bacpeharan ve ertabat an ba rostanpehei mardam ve bakhshodari rezaeit anehast est. o yek khat etegadi bin yek amenit ejtemaei ve yek amenit jacpehani dard, yek ertabat ba ma, yek fasleh est ve bin abead jacpehan yek amenit faranji, yek amenit siasi, yek amenit egtesadi, yek amenit ejtemaei ve dafayi est. amenit, yek ertabat dakhli ba ma. gozarandan ruzemaye sokht. manpam tarin amenit ejtemaei in est keh baqieh abead tabe an est ve ghabel ghabol nist. tamin ejtemaei ba onvani keh mahvar baqieh abead engizeh taqvit amenit ve amenit est keh takrar khahod shod ve netaij hasl az barresi vojud npambastegi mosteghim bin in moteghir, amenit ejtemaei ve ameniti keh vojud nadard ve tamin ejtemaei yek katibeh ejtemaei dar taqvit amenit ejtemaei est. anavae vazheh cpeha: tamin ejtemaei, tamin ejtemaei, jamehori eslami ve sayer mosael tamin ejtemaei.

Sustainable urban security is all-round security that looks at different dimensions. In the meantime, one of the disturbing factors of the sustainable security of big cities, which is considered a serious threat in the field of realizing their sustainable security, is the problem of marginalization, which is the result of inappropriate social and economic planning. Today, sustainable security is accepted as the dominant security planning. The main emphasis of this approach, as a comprehensive and multifaceted approach, is to identify the factors that disrupt security in the environment, the surrounding conditions, and in the next step, to develop practical programs to solve them. In this regard, considering the importance of the movement of megacities in the path of sustainable security, which in a way guarantees their sustainable development, this research is of an applied type, using a descriptive method to collect information, and using the library method. Field research has been done. The results of the research show that the residents of marginal areas in Tehran metropolis feel relative deprivation due to the lack of necessary sustainable urban development (physical and physical, social and cultural, economic), which is a threat to the security of this region. cities are connected and social damage is more common in the suburbs of Tehran as a threat to urban security.

The present study, titled "Modeling the Crisis of Change Management in the Implementation of Emerging Technologies: An Analytical Approach for Public Organizations Using ANP and VIKOR," examines the key factors influencing change management during the implementation of new technologies in public organizations. This research is applied in nature and follows a descriptive-analytical method. The statistical population includes senior managers and experts of a specific government organization with a purposive sample size of 35 experts. Primary data were collected through document reviews, reports, and expert opinions, and analyzed using the Analytic Network Process (ANP) for weighting criteria and the VIKOR technique for ranking them. The findings indicate that organizational leadership, employee training, organizational resistance, financial resources, and technological infrastructure are critical factors in managing change. Among these, organizational leadership, with a Q value of 0.10, ranked as the highest priority and was identified as the key to mitigating managerial crises. These results highlight that focusing on effective leadership and employee empowerment can enable more successful strategies in implementing new technologies in public organizations. This study demonstrates that hybrid multi-criteria decision-making models like ANP and VIKOR are effective tools for analyzing and prioritizing factors influencing change management, providing practical guidance for managers to enhance change processes.

The present study examines the applications of artificial intelligence in the management of natural disasters and the associated challenges. The aim of this research is to identify and analyze the role of artificial intelligence, particularly deep learning algorithms and convolutional neural networks (CNNs), in improving the prediction and identification of natural disasters. The findings indicate that remote sensing technologies play a key role in detecting wildfires and predicting earthquakes, and they can assist in enhancing firefighting operations and damage assessment. However, challenges such as data quality and accessibility in underserved areas, as well as limitations in the generalizability of deep learning models, require further attention and improvement. Optimizing early warning systems (EWS) using artificial intelligence and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) can enhance the processes of prediction and response to disasters. This research also suggests that the use of risk assessment systems, such as the Bowtie method, can help visualize causal relationships in high-risk scenarios. Ultimately, this study serves as a reference for future research in the field of natural disaster management and the optimization of early warning systems, and it can contribute to increasing the resilience of vulnerable communities.

The purpose of this research is to explain the role of Naja in providing social security by emphasizing the views of the Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.

This research is presented with explanatoryanalytical method and using library resources and documents.

The findings showed that from the Supreme Leader's point of view, security is of particular importance, which will be fulfilled through NAJA as the most important producers of authority and national security, and on the other hand, based on the roadmap of the Islamic Revolution, the police force of the Islamic Republic of Iran. It has duties that can ensure the consistency and durability of the Islamic state and society.