Investigating the effects of coronavirus on political actors with a futuristic perspective

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Article Type:
Research/Original Article (دارای رتبه معتبر)
Abstract:

Given that infectious diseases are often associated with the geographical area of ​​countries, this factor can be studied under the title of political geography; Because geographical space and human actions are among the most important components of this science, Quaid 19 disease is also directly related to these two factors and has had a high impact on geographical spaces from the perspective of domestic and foreign policy. The present article examines the consequences and future effects of the corona outbreak on the status of political systems and the strategies for advancing actors in the face of different scenarios. The present research is descriptive-analytical in terms of purpose, application and type of research method. The method of collecting data and information is library, documentary and survey; In which the opinions of 10 experts in political geography, geopolitics and political science have been used. Data analysis is based on futures research techniques, including interaction analysis. In this study, for 5 key factors, a total of 25 cases (uncertainty) have been considered. The results obtained from the Wizard Scenario software show that there are 7 scenarios with strong and probable compatibility, 386 scenarios with poor compatibility and 96 inconsistent scenarios of future progress. Have had. Out of 7 possible scenarios, scenarios 6 and 7 had favorable status, scenarios 1, 2 had unfavorable status and scenarios 5.4.3 also had intermediate status. In the last part, the proposed strategies for the actors for the leading situations and scenarios were: improving and strengthening the political structures and internal and external relations of the actors for a favorable future, adjusting the responsibilities of the actors and their internal and external relations for Semi-critical situation, change and replacement of the new political system in case of critical situation.

Language:
Persian
Published:
Journal of Scientific and Promotional, Volume:9 Issue: 31, 2021
Pages:
59 to 81
https://magiran.com/p2239616  
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