Identification and analysis of key drivers affecting the sustainable development of rural tourism with a future research approach. (Case Study: Tourism Destination Villages – Saqez county)

, the present study uses a futuristic approach to identify the most important factors affecting the development of tourism in the villages of Saqez city and the survey. The extent and how these factors affect each other. This research is applied in terms of its purpose and descriptive-analytical in nature and method. Due to the nature of this research, structural analysis, MIC MAC and Delphi have been used. In this regard, after holding initial discussions with thirty elite and tourism experts of Saqez as the statistical population of the study, 38 variables were identified in the form of four general dimensions as initial variables. In the following, the initial variables were defined in the framework of the cross effects matrix in the MICMAC foresight software. . Finally, ten major factors are influential as key factors in the future of sustainable tourism development in tourism destination villages – Saqez county. Among these factors, climate conditions and participation and correlation are the most influential factors in the development of tourism in villages of tourism destination in Saqez. The awareness of the local community and tourists, competitiveness and incentive policies are also important at a later stage.