Investigating the factors related to the trend and expansion of goods smuggling in Hormozgan province

Smuggling of goods is one of the important crimes that most countries deal with in different ways. It is an ominous phenomenon that causes irreparable effects and damages in various dimensions economic, social, security, etc… on the body of the society. The basic prerequisite for combating smuggling, is to identify the factors that lead to its formation. This research was conducted with the aim of investigating and identifying the causes and factors related to the tendency and expansion of smuggling in Hormozgan province.

The statistical population includes smugglers with a history of goods smuggling in Hormozgan province, who were selected as a sample by a total number of 200 people using a targeted and available sampling method. This research was done by survey method and using questionnaire technique. After collecting the questionnaires, the data was analyzed by SPSS statistical software. To check the research hypotheses were used of Regression tests and analysis of variance. First, the tables related to the hypothesis test were calculated, and then the prediction equation related to the relationship between the independent variables affecting the expansion and tendency to smuggling goods was calculated.

The results of the research showed that the variables of age, education, socio-cultural, economic, political, structural, executive-managerial and geographical factors have a significant relationship with the expansion and tendency of smuggling goods. Among the influential factors, economic factors have the highest impact and political factors have the least impact on the spread of goods smuggling. The step-by-step regression analysis showed that structural, political, economic, socio-cultural, geographic and executive-management variables explain 1.000% of the changes in the variance of expansion and tendency to smuggling.