جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « روش دلفی » در نشریات گروه « کتابداری و مدیریت اطلاعات »

Simultaneously with the developments of the 20th century and the process of globalization in the present era, information and communication technology has facilitated the emergence of a networked society. The new world has evolved into a network whose primary structure is information and electronic communication systems. The transformation of social interactions into virtual communities has led to the rise of social insecurity and new forms of crimes and misdemeanors in virtual spaces. Gradually, with the expansion of information and communication technology, especially the Internet, and subsequently the proliferation of threats and risks associated with it, the concepts of information security, information systems security, and cyber security were also developed. Just as soldiers are trained to handle various threats in war, the world of information is a real battlefield, with hackers and cyber-attacks posing significant risks. Information security experts should be equipped with the necessary skills to effectively deal with cyber-attacks, much like expert soldiers. The current applied developmental research is focused on identifying key indicators to design effective behavioral patterns for information security experts dealing with cyber threats.

In this study, a purposeful and development-oriented approach was employed, using a meta-composite and qualitative-quantitative (sequential-exploratory) method. Initially, 112 sources were selected from 270 primary sources using a library method and were the focus of the work. To identify the security components of information systems, the Barroso and Sandlowski 2007 seven-step technique was utilized, resulting in the calculation of 142 indicators from the selected documents. After clustering the indicators using RapidMiner software, the research identified 5 dimensions and 17 components. Subsequently, a two-stage Delphi method involving two groups of 15 experts was employed to evaluate the questions, value assessment, and validity. Following the completion of the qualitative phase, the study progressed to the quantitative or exploratory stage. An invitation letter and questionnaire, comprising 125 verified indicators, were then prepared and sent to 156 information security experts. And after receiving 111 complete questionnaires, which meets Cochran's requirement for a minimum statistical population size of 111 people, the questionnaire collection phase concluded, and the analysis process commenced with the assistance of SPSS and MATLAB software.

In this study, the dimension of "security threats" has the highest factor load weight of 0.983 among all other dimensions. Within the "security threats" dimension, the component of "unintentional damages" has the highest weight compared to other components. The dimension of "security vulnerabilities" follows with a factor load weight of 0.979, ranking second. The "process factors" dimension ranks third with a factor load weight of 0.975, and the "human factors" dimension also has a factor load weight of 0.975. The fourth rank is held by the dimension of "0.970," and finally, the "technical factors" dimension, with a factor loading of 0.920, ranks last among the dimensions of this research. Despite receiving the lowest score and weighting overall, the "technical factors" dimension has the highest factor load weight assigned to the components of "encryption" and "equipment," with a score of 0.978, and the lowest score assigned to the components of "monitoring" with a weight of 0.88 and "planning" with a weight of 0.84. In the following, the obtained results and prioritizations were compared with those of other studies, and the validity of the results was confirmed based on the validation and verification of the comparisons.

In general, it should be noted that, contrary to the opinion of most data-oriented companies that prioritize "technical factors" in information security, the results obtained in this study have shown that this assumption was incorrect. The importance of the behavioral patterns of information security experts has been confirmed, which is influenced by laws, organizational structure, organizational culture, and training. Finally, with the assistance of the weights assigned to the obtained components and indicators, suggestions were made to modify the behavioral patterns of information security experts after ranking and prioritizing the components and characteristics.

Future research is about identifying, devising, presenting, testing and evaluating possible and probable futures in order to choose the preferred futures based on the values of the society and help to build the most desirable future. The production of science and technology is the most important factor in maintaining the survival, independence and progress of the country and a serious tool for competition in different world arenas. Based on this, the aim of the current research is to identify the factors affecting the growth of scientific products in the field of nuclear science and technology.

The method of conducting this research is mixed and exploratory. In the first step, in order to extract the effective factors on the growth of scientific productions in the field of nuclear science and technology, research literature was studied in various sources such as domestic and foreign articles, internet sites, notes, newspapers, etc. And in the next step, interviews were conducted with subject experts to design the questionnaire. The mentioned questionnaire was given to three professors for the pre-examination and was edited based on their suggestions. Finally, after re-studying the theoretical foundations of related researches and applying the opinions of the professors, the questionnaire was edited and sent to the Delphi panel for answering. The statistical population of the present research in the Delphi panel is 13 subject experts in the field of nuclear sciences. To identify and select the statistical sample, the snowball sampling method was used.

Finally, the results showed that 32 main factors affect the growth of scientific productions in the field of nuclear science and technology. These factors were placed in 5 general categories. Among these 32 factors, 8 factors are related to experimental factors, 7 factors are related to managerial factors, 7 factors are related to cultural and social factors, 6 factors are related to political factors and finally 4 factors are related to financial factors. The Delphi process was completed in three rounds. Every factor that scored above 3 in the third round of Delphi was selected and ranked as an influential factor in its group. Finally, 23 factors managed to score above 3.  Of the 23 factors that managed to get a score above 3, 8 factors are related to education, 6 factors are related to social and cultural factors, 4 factors are related to managerial factors, 3 factors are related to political factors, and 2 factors are related to financial factors. All factors related to education managed to get a score above 3, which shows the high impact of education on the growth of scientific productions in the field of nuclear science and technology in the future. The educational factors affecting the future growth of scientific productions in the field of nuclear science and technology are respectively:  Increasing the training of laboratory skills (with 4.84 points), increasing the connection between education and research centers with the nuclear industry (with 4.1 points), paying attention to innovation and scientific discoveries in the country (with 3.85 points), strengthening the cycle of science and technology (with 3.75 points), designing specialized training courses (with 3.6 points), increasing scientific cooperation with prominent domestic and foreign scientists in this field (with 3.56 points), improving and improving the performance of the higher education system (with 3.31 points), more access to information sources of other countries in the field Nuclear Science (with 3.2 points)

The results of the future study of factors affecting the growth of nuclear science and technology products showed that education is the most influential factor in the upward growth process of products in this field. Therefore, it is necessary to make necessary policies in the country's education sector to achieve this goal. In general, since future studies provide a structured opportunity to look into the future and examine the role of effective factors in creating the future, it makes it possible to create a favorable perspective for decision makers and policy makers. By identifying and creating new capacities and capabilities, new horizons make it possible to take advantage of opportunities in the future. Moreover, with this approach, the problems and inadequacies caused by the future conditions can be counted and it will be possible to fix them.

consumer behavior in the field of e-commerce and web-based services has different dimensions, including psychological, cultural, economic, personality, etc. components. Since the e-commerce market is constantly growing, it creates a good development opportunity for businesses, so business opportunities should be more adapted to the characteristics and behavioral characteristics of consumers to better meet customer needs. fulfill and facilitate business success. The current research was conducted with the aim of presenting the pattern of consumer behavior in electronic commerce with an exploratory approach.

In terms of its fundamental purpose, this research is a survey descriptive research that was conducted in a mixed exploratory manner.

The results showed that the model of consumer behavior in e-commerce includes: causal conditions, categories, platforms, intervening factors, strategies and consequences. Also, in the quantitative part, the results of the research indicated the approval of most of the components of the qualitative part of the research by the experts.

Examining patterns and models of consumer behavior in e-commerce is necessary for institutions, and in this regard, the results of this research model and other models presented in the field of study should be used in order to create fields for predicting consumer behavior.

In order to develop the services of academic libraries and provide new services called Research Data Management (RDM) for helping faculty members and researchers in managing their own research data and benefiting from the research data of others, this article seeks to identify the components of RDM in academic libraries. The outcome can be used as a model for implementing RDM in a systematic and effective way.

This research was carried out in two steps. The first step was a qualitative content analysis to identify components of RDM. In the second step using the identified compontents, a questionnaire was composed and circulated in two Delphi rounds among 20 Iranian experts in the field for validation and refinement. To ensure the reliability of the questionnaire and the internal consistency of questions, Cronbach's alpha coefficient was calculated with a result of 0.97.

In the first step 69 components were identified for 6 steps of RDM process, 1) planning; 2) ethical and legal issues; 3) organizing, documenting, generating metadata, 4) storing and backing up, 5) preserving, protecting, deleting data, 6) sharing, and dissemination. Participants added two new steps 1) education and counseling and 2) technical to the previous 6 steps. Also, some components were removed, modified, merged, and moved, and finally 56 components were emphasized in 8 stages.

All identified components are important in the management of research data in academic libraries. In addition, the results showed that the two components of "formulation and development of research data management plan" and "generating metadata to data and files" are of particular importance. Developing data management plan helps individuals and research institutes estimate the material and human resources needed for projects in advance. Also, generating metadata by increasing percision, makes search, retrieval, discovery, access, and reuse of data by other researchers. Academic libraries should consider this in research data management activities.

Students as researchers need valuable resources related to their fields such as theses / dissertations. Open access should be supported by Educational and Research institutes and faculty members so the information is easily available to scholars, scientists and students. However, some of the educational and research centers refuse to make their theses and dissertations available, and they announce a variety of reasons for this lack of access. By identifying these reasons, this research tries to eliminate them. For this purpose, first, according to the results of previous researches, a list of factors influencing open access to theses and dissertations were extracted. Then, in order to complete and finalize the mentioned list, the impact of these factors has been investigated using Delphi method and questionnaire tool. In this research, Delphi panel consists of 14 faculty members of educational and research institutes in Tehran who have been selected by purposeful sampling method. The results show that the factors of laws and regulations, social impact, information technology, authorchr('39')s credibility, observability, perceived awareness, attitude toward open access, self-confidence in knowledge dissemination, controllability, perceptual compatibility and culture  influence on open access to theses and dissertations.

Futures studies is a transdisciplinary and transcultural knowledge which attempts to discover possible futures and to build preferable futures. Future oriented knowledge to shape futures based on vision of human beings has special position in societies. Todays the field is called science and art of shaping the futures and different countries are attempting to attain this knowledge as a strategic tool and regenerate it under their cultural value. Governments using futures studies are also trying to dominate the futures to play proactive role in the futures instead of passive or reactive role. In other words, they will not be surprised with great changes in future. Governments will face the future with knowledge in unavoidable process of globalization. In this paper we will discuss about concepts and principle of futures studies and also Delphi method as a popular qualitative method in the field. Although Delphi has been borrowed from other field, it has been redesigned to be more effective and now it is introduced as one of the most popular methods in the field of futures studies.