جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه "micmac" در نشریات گروه "جغرافیا"

The exclusion of some urban fabrics from developments leads to the development of processes that over time deplete such fabrics. Islamshahr, as a city that has been a victim of injustice in urban development on the scale of Tehran, has gradually become the host of emerging deteriorated urban spots. Therefore, in recent years, urban regeneration plans have been undertaken to deal with the spread of this type of fabrics. But during this period of regeneration, the process of fabric deterioration of this city has not stopped yet and continues at the previous pace.

Methods and Material: 

 In this study, we tried to identify the key drivers of system evolution in order to regenerate by structurally interpretive analysis of production processes and reproduction of deteriorated fabrics. Based on this, through library studies and environmental scanning, 24 variables were selected as the main actors of this system. Then, using the Delphi matrix method, interactions by 25 experts in this field were introduced into MICMAC software.

As a conclusion of the research, it can be stated that "rules and regulations" along with the effective variable of "financing" by the three pillars of government, urban management and residents, provide the driving force of the system and the variables "private incentive to invest", "belonging" "Residents" as well as "property" are strategic variables for the development of the system that can create a sustainable regeneration along with the desired social security and retention of indigenous inhabitants for these areas by evolving the system towards the desired situation and stopping the processes of reproduction.

The ability to attract people by public spaces has caused these spaces to be called as a container for the formation of social capital. also, the two-way connection of urban public spaces and social interactions is undeniable, and it should be said that public spaces have led to the formation of social interactions and the existence of social interactions makes public spaces successful, This raises the importance of successful public spaces.The research method employed an applied-descriptive method and a survey research technique. The data collection method was documentary and field studies that in which concepts related to urban spaces and social interactions were investigated and the effective factors on promoting social interactions in public spaces are classified in 4 dimensions of performance and activity, physical-spatial, environmental and semantic qualities and in 12 components and 60 indicators.these indicators were specificed according to the case study and after that, 10 key drivers have been identified with the Delphi technique and cross-impact analysis method in MICMAC software.the key drivers are:playground and leisure place for children, entertainment and leisure complexes, sitting spaces, the presence of people in different age and gender groups and categories,including women, children, the elderly and disabled people, and the level of response to their presence, suitable furniture for sitting and talking, access to walking and cycling paths, different landuses and activities 24 hours a day, memorable experiences, access to pedestrian facilities and furniture, Attention to the climate of the place of rest and comfort. after that, the 5 categories of public spaces in District 10 are scored according to the Likert method. It can be concluded that despite the existing quantitative and qualitative deficiencies,but the community parks and district parks have a better situation in terms of promoting social interactions than other urban spaces in District 10 of Tehran Municipality.

One of the important areas in the field of natural tourism in Iran is Yasouj city, especially the Yasouj-Sepidan road, but despite its potential capacities, this road has not found a place in the field of tourism. In this regard, the aim of the current research is to evaluate the impact of ecological tourism obstacles using an interpretive structural model on the Yasouj-Sepidan road, which has been carried out with a descriptive-analytical method. In the process of preparing and generating data, firstly, the factors affecting the development of ecological tourism in Yasouj-Sepidan have been identified using the opinions of 15 experts in this subject and professors and experts in relevant organizations through the Delphi method. In order to analyze the information of 15 factors as strong influencing factors of Yasouj-Sepidan ecological tourism, interpretive-structural modeling and then MicMac software have been used. The results of the research showed the lack of proper planning by responsible government institutions, weak private sector investment, weak government investment, lack of independent organization to hire experienced and competent managers and organize tourist organizations, and lack of specialized and trained personnel. In the region, the weakness of management and the weakness of education and publicity in the field of tourism culture development, the failure to provide the necessary facilities and permits from the government are the most effective levels, and the three obstacles are the lack of suitable hotels for tourist accommodation, the inappropriateness of health and service facilities, and the inappropriateness of facilities and equipment. In addition, out of the 15 obstacles to the advancement of ecological tourism in the Yasouj-Sepidan road, 10 obstacles are variables that have high influence and dependence, and 5 obstacles are dependent variables that have weak influence but high dependency. Recommendations are provided at the end of the paper.

Today,with the ever-increasing advancement in society,it is becoming a major issue for the society of transformation that has always been and continue.The desire for progress,not be possible without this transformation.The future of human beings is a vague and unknown future,and we must always try to know it with the help of future science.in recent decades, due to changes in events in various social, economic ,environmental and urban spheres, discussions about Urban density and Density.human look to the future also differ.This research, is based on a Futures studies approach, that with the using of descriptive-analytic method focus on the issues of urban congestion and future changes.and for data collection, using library-field-based approach and a new planning perspective (Futures studies) also In order to obtain information and collect relevant expert opinions, use of environmental scanning methods and to identify the proponents , the method of analyzing the interactions / structural effects and MICMAC software and for compiling the of the desired scenarios using the SCENARIOWIZARD software To the most important drivers in it The impact of these propellers on the situation has come to light, and, finally, the development of favorable scenarios in the future state of urban density in Region 2 of Tabriz Municipality will be achieved. At first, 60 effective factors identified in the condensation changes inTabriz city were investigated using a analysis MICMAC software of the 13 impeller agents, then by determining 47 possible probabilities for these13 factors and introducing them into the software the SCENARIOWIZARD, the number of strong scenarios4,and and the number of poor scenarios270 and the number of high-compatibility scenarios11.the analyzes from the scenarios show that the future status of the condensation changes in Tabriz city with the desired and better trend However,we should not forget about the occurrence of critical situations of the future situation.

Cities increase urban stress despite their many benefits. This issue is many times more important in Tehran, the sixth most stressful city in the world. However, given its importance, the impact of various aspects of the city on stress has yet to be well known. For this purpose, this study was conducted to identify and structurally analyze the dimensions of stress relief urban planning in Tehran. The research method is descriptive-analytical and based on the applied research's purpose. In fact, after analyzing the content of previous studies, the structural analysis of the mentioned dimensions has been done based on the opinion of experts familiar with the subject, using software (MICMAC). The research findings indicate that the environmental dimension is the most influential, and the individual characteristics dimension is the most influential. In fact, environmental, economic, transportation, cultural, land use, social, political, physical, personal, and housing dimensions are important in the stress relief urban planning in Tehran, respectively. Also, environmental and economic dimensions are the most important and key ones of stress relief urban planning in this city. As a result, paying attention to all these dimensions by emphasizing the environmental and economic ones can reduce urban stress in Tehran to a great extent

In today's era, transportation as one of the most effective components covers all aspects of urban life, it has found a special role and position as one of the most important tools of development. The current research is applied in terms of purpose and exploratory in terms of its nature and analytical method. In order to collect data, a questionnaire and Delphi technique and document-library studies were used. The findings of the research showed that among the 20 main factors affecting the social sustainability of urban transportation in Isfahan city, 12 variables are known as key and influential. that these variables have the most influence and the least influence on the future development of social sustainability of urban transportation and include the factors of supporting the movement of women and children, the existence of supporting regulations for social security and infrastructures, the ability to provide For disabled people, support for the security and safety of disabled people and equal access to resources, support for the promotion and improvement of the quality of social life, the ability to provide for low-income groups, the access of society to financial and life insurance services, the ability to support security and safety Social, supporting the reduction of pollutants, supporting and encouraging the use of public transportation, supporting employment. The results of the research show that due to the high influence of the factors supporting the movement of women and children, the existence of social safety regulations and infrastructures, the adoption of rational policies regarding the social sustainability of urban transportation by The officials of Isfahan city can determine the directions of success or failure of sustainable social indicators of urban transportation in Isfahan city. In conclusion, solutions are provided to improve the current situation, which require the serious attention of managers and urban planners.

Worn-out tissues are a part of today's cities that face many problems in economic, social, physical, environmental and management dimensions. The decline in social and economic status and the functional and physical disorders of these tissues, along with the sharp decline in the quality of the urban environment, are among the reasons that have forced policy makers and urban planners to present new strategies in dealing with the problems of these tissues. Regeneration has been introduced as the latest and most accepted intervention approach in the organization of worn-out tissues. The main goal of this research is to identify the key effective drivers on the regeneration of worn-out tissues of Behbahan city. This research is applied in terms of purpose and according to the investigated components, its approach is descriptive-analytical. The research data and information have been collected using documentary and field studies. The statistical population of the research, consisting of 18 urban experts and specialists, was selected by purposive sampling. Then, 28 effective variables on the regeneration of worn-out tissues have been identified and analyzed with MICMAC software. The results of this research show that among the 28 driving forces, the empowerment of residents, the allocation of financial credits in the form of housing loans, the promotion and development of urban resilience, the participation of people and interested groups in decisions, compliance with principles and rules of urban development, creating capacity to increase the income of the residents, paying attention to old valuable buildings, creating a platform for the entry of the private sector are among the key drivers influencing the future of the regeneration of the worn-out tissues of Behbahan.

In the current century, when the development of science and technology is accompanied by speed, complexity and uncertainties, traditional methods of planning face serious challenges. One of these challenges and weaknesses is the inability of traditional planning to identify key factors. It is ecologically effective in the future development of cities. In fact, the futurist approach to urban planning uses a variety of tools and techniques to build a better future. The present study has identified the key factors affecting the development of Dorcheh city with the technique of interaction analysis, which is one of the common methods of foresight, and using MIC MAC software, with emphasis on the ecological approach. For this purpose, using the Delphi method, among the proposed variables, 20 variables were identified in five groups (social dimensions, political dimensions, economic dimensions, environmental dimensions and physical dimensions) and then analyzed by Mick Mac software. And analyzed. The results indicate that the Dorcheh city system does not have ecological stability and in the scattering page of Mick Mac diagram, five categories of variables (effective, two-dimensional, affective, regulatory and independent) can be identified, finally according to the impact and variability of variables. On top of each other, four variables of environmental degradation, clean energy use, tourism development and agricultural land conservation were identified as the driving and key variables for the development of Dorcheh city with emphasis on ecological approach.

Different biological places consider different strategies to reach the goal according to their nature and function; The ultimate goal of all these strategies is to achieve sustainable development. Achieving development in different eras has always been considered by governments, governments and people who have played a role in the form of citizens and urban dwellers; have been. For this purpose, the Regional Development Strategy (RDS) is one of the models that has been popular in some countries of the world, such as the member states of the European Union and other emerging economic regions of the world since the 1990s. Recognizing this policy and planning model can be considered a small step but a new path for the discussion of experience and action in regional planning. In fact, with the intensification of economic globalization and competition between governments and government-regions, according to Kinchi Omai, regional issues have become more complicated, and the sustainability of regional development has become more important. Therefore, not only in the new world order, geographical territories have been associated with regionalism; Moreover, neo-regionalism has taken a dominant form in the planning system. The reason for the attention and emphasis on the Regional Development Strategy (RDS) is that the continuity and non-separation in this strategy makes the regions to be seen as puzzle pieces that should be put together in the best way and to cover the weaknesses of each other. Regions are placed on a wide level, which can be considered stable only in the absence of centralization. In other words, one of the most important results and fruits of the application of the Regional Development Strategy (RDS) is to disrupt the existing centralism and replace it with decentralization and, consequently, to deal with economic, social, political, cultural, security, etc. challenges. Because today decentralization is considered as a strategy for sustainable development and unlike the state of concentration where power and decision-making is concentrated in the center or at the level of high-level officials, decentralization allows lower levels to deal with issues and problems that are specific to them and directly deal with them. pay attention.

Considering the purpose of the research, which is an analysis of the capacity and formulation of Makran's regional sustainable development program with a futurist approach, the present research was conducted using the descriptive-analytical research method and based on the methods of futurist science with a combination of documentary and survey methods. The current research has four main parts. The part of compiling the theoretical foundations, which was selected as the first step of the qualitative research, in the second part, the factors and trends affecting the development of Makran region were investigated with the survey method. In the third part, based on the identified factors and trends and the opinions of experts based on the method of cross-effects analysis, the analysis of stakeholders and actors, as well as the extraction and analysis of the key factors of the region's development, and based on the critical uncertainty method, scenarios have been formulated. In the fourth step, the application of content concepts and strategic foresight methods in developing the proposed regional development planning process has been discussed. The statistical population in this research was 50 experts, experts in the field of urban planning and land use. A researcher-made questionnaire tool was used to collect the required data, and experts' opinions were used for standardization. In the results analysis stage, calculations were done by MICMAC software. findings Based on the obtained results, the variable of economic growth has the most direct and indirect influence and the variable of access to green space has the least influence and direct and indirect influence. The most important output of the MICMAC software is in the form of a diagram of influence and effectiveness of variables.

What can be understood from the dispersion of variables affecting the development of Makran is the unstable state of the system, because most of the variables are scattered around the diagonal axis of the plane, and except for a few limited factors influencing the system, the rest of the variables have a relatively similar situation to each other. Now, according to the unstable distribution of variables affecting the development of Makran, 4 categories of variables (bimodal variables, influential variables, regulatory variables, independent variables and dependent variables) can be identified, which are shown in Table 6. According to the obtained results, among 36 variables affecting the development of Makran, 11 variables were identified as strategic and key variables affecting the development of Makran. Finally, the matrices obtained from the output of the software can be displayed with its corresponding diagram, in which the direction of influence of each driver on the other is displayed by arrows and the amount of influence is displayed numerically above the arrow.

Makran is the land of unfulfilled potentials and golden opportunities. The potential capacities due to the strategic location of this region among Iran's neighboring countries on one level, in the Middle East on the second level, in Asia on the third level and the whole world on the fourth level, provide golden opportunities for the people of this region in the first stage, for Iran in The second stage has created a win-win game for the international field in the final stage. The aim of the research is to analyze and identify the key factors affecting the sustainable development of Makran region. After document studies in Makran region, in the next stage, the development of Makran region was examined and evaluated using 36 variables in the form of 8 regions. The results obtained from the present research show the status of regional development variables in a state of normality.

The purpose of the research is to identify and analyze the effective factors in the development of tourism in the city of Shush with a future research approach and to examine the extent and how these factors affect each other. The current research is based on the purpose of an applied development type. The method of collecting information is the library, documentary and field method. The statistical population of the research includes 20 experts related to tourism and urban and regional planning, with 56 variables in the form of six dimensions (macro and extra-provincial, economic, managerial, cultural and social, environmental, physical) using the method Delphi and expert opinion were identified. In order to analyze the data, the cross-effects matrix (MICMAC) has been used, which finally has 13 key factors: security and peace of tourism, government budget related to tourism, allocation of financial resources in the tourism sector, entrepreneurship, strengthening the local economy, competition, Tourism offices, tourism institutions and travel agencies, holding festivals, existence of handicrafts, participation of citizens, environmental tolerance capacity, development of recreational and entertainment facilities, suitable location of business centers have the greatest impact on the state of tourism development in the city of Shush.

Considering the complexities and uncertainties that the 21st century city is facing today, the structural analysis of urban tissues and in this article the inefficient peripheral tissues of Ahvaz city as manifestations of urban poverty can improve the overall system and its quality that will be beneficial for urban planners and managers as well as for future residents. Therefore, the purpose of this article is structural analysis and recognition of the key and strategic factors of the urban poverty system of the inefficient marginal tissues of Ahvaz metropolis. The current research is applied in terms of purpose and in terms of nature and method, it is descriptive-analytical exploratory with a prospective approach. In order to determine the key variables (strategic drivers) of the urban poverty system, the mutual effects of the variables were estimated by 35 experienced experts in the form of a 49*49 matrix and analyzed through MICMAC software. The findings of the research show that due to the lack of influencing variables, the state of the poverty system in the target areas is unsustainable. Also, 9 strategic drivers can be identified: 1- low rent rate, 2- unemployment rate, 3- real dependency, 4- household dimension, 5- ratio of commercial use to total uses in the neighborhood, 6- availability of public services and facilities. 7- the rate of access to health care facilities, 8- the education of the head of the household, and 9- the area of the residential house (smallness). Also, in order to facilitate and speed up the implementation of the largest volume of the most important future, general and public measures, reforming the structures of urban poverty, upgrading and improving the state of the general system of poverty in the three economic, social and physical-environmental areas mentioned, as well as greater coordination in the inter-institutional relations of urban management In the target areas, the strategy of creating a neighborhood development center/institution with a focus on networking for sustainable community-oriented urban regeneration for entrepreneurship and empowerment; Creating balanced densities at the neighborhood level, reducing social damage, restoring the social dignity of neighborhoods; and renovation and improvement of the texture is suggested.

The expansion of urbanization and the accelerated growth of cities and the change of human life patterns towards modernity have created problems for cities, so that the city as a living entity has lost its freshness and vitalityit is necessary to reconsider the macro-management approaches and use new tools in planning. Futures studies as a new approach to build a desirable future is a process that leads to a sustainable result of planning. In this regard, the current research, using the future research approach, identifies the most important effective factors and examines the extent and how these factors influence each other and the state of realization of the happy city in Kermanshah metropolis. The current research has analyzed the variables of happy city in Kermanshah metropolis by using the technique of cross-effects analysis, which is one of the common and accepted methods of future research, and by using Micmac software. For this purpose, first by studying the available documents, all the factors involved in the realization and prosperity of happy city were analyzed and investigated. And using the Delphi method, 23 variables were extracted as the primary variables affecting happy city, in the following, the data analysis was done using the interaction/structural effects analysis method by Micmac software. The results of the research show that Kermanshah metropolis has an unstable system according to the dispersion of variables, and five categories (influential, bimodal, regulatory, influential and independent variables) can be identified in the dispersion plane. Finally, among the 23 identified variables, after examining the extent and how these variables affect each other and the future state of Kermanshah metropolis with direct and indirect methods, 10 key factors (equitable distribution of urban facilities and services and possibility Balanced access for space users, the existence of suitable spaces for spending leisure timestation canopies, etc.), creation of collective places for celebration and happiness and joyful events, The use of night lighting, the availability of space and various stores with the supply of various goods) that play the greatest role in the realization of a happy city in the future of Kermanshah metropolis were selected.

Aging is one of the serious issues of the 14th century in Iran. According to the current trend and organizational forecasts, Iran has entered the old age period and will enter the old age stage in the last one or two decades. Considering the negative effects that aging has on societies, it is necessary to identify the challenges and obstacles of this segment of society to be present in cities in order to provide a basis for planning as an elderly-friendly society/city. . Therefore, and considering the importance of the subject, this study aims to identify the challenges of citizenship for the elderly. The current research is exploratory and the statistical population of the research is made up of experts familiar with the subject, 10 of whom were selected as the statistical sample of the research using the snowball method. Structural-interpretive modeling (ISM) and MICMAC analysis were used to analyze the data. The results of the research showed that among the 23 initially identified factors, 14 factors obtained a CVR coefficient above 0.75 in the calculation of content validity and were recognized as the challenges of elderly citizenship. The categorization of challenges showed that the two factors of non-standard living environment and discrimination in providing services are the most key challenges of senior citizens, and solving them can have a great impact on meeting the needs of the elderly and realizing a city that is friendly to the elderly.

The purpose of the current research is to explain the key drivers effective on the development of football in Khuzestan province. The current research is applied in terms of its purpose and analytical-exploratory in terms of its nature and method. In order to collect data, questionnaires, Delphi technique and document-library studies were used. The research findings showed that among the 35 main influencing factors, 20 variables are known as key factors. that these variables have the most influence and the least influence on the future development of football in Khuzestan province and include the factors of the existence of suitable websites for each club, the supervision of the clubs' performance by the federation, the existence of the communication department with radio and television, the existence of sufficient will from the institutions Relatedly, the existence of suitable football schools, the provision of the necessary laws to deal with clubs and players, the existence of sponsors committed to paying salaries, helping to privatize football and reducing the influence of the government, the existence of coherent laws regarding financial sponsors, earning the necessary income from holding Competitions, Selling proper tickets, selling club uniforms and flags, helping the principle of privatization in football, the existence of talent search committees, the use of new methods to discover football talents, the existence of contracts between the football federation and education, the existence of the necessary rules to comply with the framework cultural factors, the existence of news officers in clubs, proper interaction with reporters, the existence of suitable satellite facilities for proper coverage of the game. The results showed that due to the high influence of the economic, media and managerial factors in the development of football sport by the sports officials in Khuzestan province,

Blockchain technology can revolutionize the tourism sector by providing innovative solutions. One of the most important requirements for adopting any technology is to identify the barriers to its adoption, however, blockchain is a platform that is still not widely understood and accepted. The purpose of this study is to identify and analyze the barriers to blockchain adoption in the tourism industry. For the effective use of blockchain, adoption barriers must be carefully identified and analyzed to minimize their negative effects. The statistical population of this research includes twenty-two blockchain experts in the tourism industry, and the data collection tool is a questionnaire. Eleven barriers were selected from the articles and the Micmac method was used to categorize variables based on driving force and dependence. The results show that "lack of knowledge, expertise and human capital", "lack of standardization" and "lack of government regulations" as driving variables are the most important barriers to the adoption of blockchain in the tourism industry, focusing on them has effective applications in the future of blockchain in tourism. The first basic result of this study is to examine the obstacles through causality, which facilitates the decision-making process for policymakers and policy planners involved in this process. The results of the present study help organizations prioritize their efforts and actions to manage time and resources. In addition, the intensity of the examined relationships between barriers can improve the views and perceptions of the tourism industry and academic experts to analyze the relationships.

One of the most basic principles of urban planning and management is to pay attention to the changes and transformations of the population and to know enough about its population structure. Considering that the effect of historical developments and social, political and economic factors on the balance of the population structure is not the same in all parts of the city, the city will face spatial changes in the population structure of urban areas. This issue has led to the formation of different needs among urban areas and the change of urban land use. The aim of the current research is to evaluate the role of population structures on urban land use changes in Ahvaz metropolis. In terms of practical purpose, in terms of descriptive-analytical nature and in terms of method, the present research is a combination of library and survey methods and is based on future research approach. The scope of the research was the city of Ahvaz. The statistical population of this research is 40 people of population and urban land use experts. For data analysis, the Delphi method, the cross-effects matrix (MICMAC) was used. The findings of the research showed that among the 39 main factors affecting the role of population structures on urban land use changes, 14 variables are known as key and influential. that these variables have the most influence and the least influence on the future development of the role of population structures and urban land use changes in Ahvaz city. Also, the results showed that in terms of the direct influence of variables such as immigration with a score of 71, social welfare and population density with scores of 63 and 61, and the variables that have an indirect effect on the population structure and urban land use change are immigration, population density and social welfare, respectively. They are located in the first to third positions.

High-rise construction is one of the important approaches of the big cities of the world, which has become popular due to the increasing population growth, scarcity and high cost of land, and horizontal development of cities. One of the most important dimensions that has influenced the process of high-rise construction is the environmental dimension. For this reason, this study was done to evaluate the environmental effects of high-rise development in Ahvaz city using futurology approach. This study is practical in terms of its purpose and analytical-exploratory in terms of its nature and method. To collect the data, a questionnaire and Delphi technique and document-library studies were used. The findings showed that among the 33 main factors affecting the environmental sustainability of high-rise construction in Ahvaz city, 18 variables are key and influential factors. The variables that have the most influence on the environmental future of high-rise development in Ahvaz city are population factors, attention to the economic values of recycling, access to sunlight, bicycles, lack of urban parks and open spaces, temperature, humidity, wind, touch, compliance of environmental laws with the landscape, ecological elements, land and soil conditions, pedestrian crossing, topography and geology, development of environmental diplomacy plans, smell, public transportation, and socio-cultural issues. Due to the high influence of the micro-climatic and socio-cultural factors regarding environmental sustainability on the high-rise building process by Ahvaz city officials, considering the issues can determine the success or failure of the sustainable environmental indicators of Ahvaz city high-rise development. Finally, solutions are suggested to improve the current situation, which require the serious attention of managers and urban planners.

The development of urban tourism due to its numerous economic, social and environmental effects has attracted the attention of tourism planners and urban managers. So it can be said that following the growth of urbanization, cities are becoming one of the main pillars of the economy. In this regard, the investigation of key tourism factors of cities in the future should be considered. The aim of the current research was to identify the key drivers impacting the sustainable urban tourism in Ahvaz metropolis, which is applied in terms of purpose, descriptive-analytical in terms of nature. The study used a mixed method and future study approach. The scope was the city of Ahvaz. The statistical population of this research consisted of 30 tourism and urban management experts. For data analysis, the Delphi method, the cross-effect matrix (MICMAC), was used. The findings showed that among the 28 main influential factors, 19 variables are key factors. These variables have the most influence on and are least influenced in the future of sustainable urban tourism in Ahvaz metropolis. Moreover, in terms of the direct influence, the variables are food security with a score of 555, vegetation with a score of 516, and security with a score of 478; and the variables that have an indirect effect on sustainable urban tourism in Ahvaz are food security, vegetation and festivals, respectively. The overall results showed that considering the high influence of the factors of sustainable urban tourism in Ahvaz metropolis, the adoption of rational policies regarding urban tourism by Ahvaz city officials can determine the success or failure of sustainable urban tourism indicators.

Nowadays, due to the increasing growth of urbanization, especially in developing countries, the innovation of urban prosperity is one of the key human development issues facing the world. Prosperity is a broad concept that is related to balanced and harmonious development in an environment with fairness and justice.

This research has practical-developmental goals and its nature and method is analytical-exploratory. In the theoretical part of this research, the required data and information have been collected using the library method, and in the field part, the required data has been obtained using a questionnaire based on the Delphi technique. In this research, our statistical population includes specialists and experts of Yazd city, and 30 people were selected as a sample from the statistical population by using the targeted non-probability sampling method. Then, using the Delphi method and completing the questionnaire by experts, 43 primary variables were identified. In the next step, the matrix of cross effects was designed to measure the influence of the variables on each other and was provided to the experts for scoring. The results were analyzed using the structural analysis technique and MICMAC software, and finally, from a total of 43 primary influencing variables, 10 factors were identified as the key driving factors affecting the urban prosperity of Yazd.

:Findings shows that the most influence among the five dimensions is related to 1- Justice and non-discrimination with 28.93%, 2- Quality of life 21.23%, 3- 18.71%.Also, the most dependent among the five dimensions is related to 1- Justice and non-discrimination with 29.24%, 2- quality of life 23.58%, 3- productivity17.40%.

The Conclusion show that among the key drivers affecting the future prosperity of the city of Yazd are the variables, the area of worn-out fabric (372), access to water resources (372), youth unemployment (352), poverty rate (348), Participation of people in government (338), average income (331), the percentage of marginalized households (331), the percentage of women's employment (321), and the ratio of employment to population (310), Savings rate (307) have had the most impact. The conclusion shows that the urban development system in Yazd city is unstable and the lack of influencing variables threatens the stability of the system.