ابراهیم ایجابی

In order to deal with drones in the future, air defense needs to use new strategies in order to fulfill its inherent mission and protect the aerospace territory in future environments. As for whether the drone detected by the sensor systems is malicious or not, only a very short period of time is available, the equipment, methods and procedures available to identify and make appropriate decisions and destruction or neutralization to deal with drones. Passengers are not responsive. Today, along with the threats from outside the borders, the threats of drones inside the geography of countries are one of the main challenges of air defense in command and control to deal with drones. In such an environment, it will be difficult to make a decision for the command and control system; Therefore, this article aims to identify the factors of the internal environment, including strengths and weaknesses, and external factors, including opportunities and threats, in the Air Defense Force of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The type of research is applied and the research method is descriptive, for which descriptive and inferential statistics methods were used. Based on the analysis of 33 factors of the internal environment, 18 strengths and 15 weaknesses were identified, and 10 opportunities and 10 threats were identified from the 20 factors of the external environment. It is located in the conservative zone of Khafif, oriented to strength, and has an angle of 56 degrees until reaching the ideal position.

After the Cold War, the Caspian Sea, as a link between Asia and Europe as well as North and South Asia, has turned from a geopolitical position into a sensitive geopolitical and geoeconomic location. The appropriate neighborhood policy and following it the creation of nearby integration primarily based on indigenous and regional models has always been essential for the Islamic Republic of Iran, which has grown to be far more important with the passage of time. The main purpose of this research is to explain the political components and indicators affecting the maritime security of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the Caspian Sea. Considering its purpose, this research is an applied one using a descriptive-analytical method in terms of methodology. In order to collect the required data, documentary strategies and in-depth elite interviews had been used with a statistical populace of 90 humans divided into two parts (15 people from the expert community + 75 people from the community of professionals associated with the concern). After the qualitative analysis of the statistics acquired from investigating documents, backgrounds and the textual content of interviews with experts, the number of 3 influential political components in maritime security, along with the political divergence of the neighbors of the Caspian Sea, the destructive political opposition of the neighbors of the Caspian Sea and the competitions of powers (power complements within the subject of Caspian Sea issues) and 13 indicators had been counted, which had been accepted by means of the statistical community after quantitative and qualitative analysis. According to the evaluation of some diverse ways to protect national interests in the international arena of the Caspian Sea, which includes increasing national power, maintaining the deterrence power of the country, purposeful participation in international agreements, adopting the essential tactics in overseas policy with the intention to de-boost tensions and create regional convergence with smart diplomacy are necessary to be achieved by the government.

Today, the defense industry of the country has become an objective and practical model for other industries of the country, and this industry plays a vital role as the most strategic industries of the country according to its model and structure. Therefore, the current research was conducted with the aim of identifying the defense drivers of the Islamic Republic of Iran, which will play a major role in the pre-emptive confrontation in the horizon of 2029. The type of applied research, in terms of nature and method, is an exploratory description that has been carried out with a mixed approach. The method of selecting the statistical population in a purposeful way and sampling in the form of full population includes 43 professors of armed forces universities and military commanders with at least 5 years of service experience in strategic jobs. The method of collecting information was by conducting scientific and specialized library studies, using brainstorming methods and interviewing experts. In the first stage of the work, 36 drivers were identified, and with the opinion of the sample community, 18 important and effective drivers were separated and recorded in the interaction analysis matrix and MicMac software. Finally, according to the experts' opinion, six drivers of fundamental technological innovations, contracts for the purchase of military weapons, financial and human resources, reproduction of defense and military technologies, international interactions of the countries of the region, and technology monopoly of the superpowers were identified as the most effective drivers.

To explain the indicators and components affecting the military dimension of the maritime security of the IRIran in the Caspian Sea and its sub-goals, to explain the challenges of the maritime security of the IRIran in the Caspian Sea and to identify the most important military factors affecting the maritime security IRIran in the Caspian Sea and determining the relationships between indicators and components affecting the military dimension of maritime security IRIran is in the Caspian Sea.The type of applied research and its approach is mixed and descriptive-analytical and content analysis. The statistical population of this research is 90 people. Qualitative data analysis with the method (data classification, processing and judgment) and quantitative data with descriptive analysis method and inferential analysis of the collected data using the test Chi2 and using software SPSS has been evaluated.One of the important findings is that the significant presence of the AJA Navy in the Caspian Sea, as well as the special attention of the relevant authorities to international relations and the development of maritime defense diplomacy in order to strengthen the maritime security of the IRIran in the Caspian Sea. By calculating the inferential values in the three military and security dimensions, the economic dimension and the political and legal dimension and comparing with the critical values, all indicators and components related to the three dimensions have been confirmed. According to the calculated agreement coefficient, the relationship of all indicators with components and dimensions was confirmed.

The general purpose of this research is to know the drivers of psychological operations in AjaIn order to reach the above goal and answer the research question, documents and questionnaires were used. The type of applied research and the research method was trend analysis, and the mixed research approach was chosen, and the method of data collection was field (questionnaire) and library (study of documents and background checks), and the analysis of information and data was qualitative. It includes the stages of categorization, processing and judging, analysis and analysis of information and data quantitatively through designing and sending and collecting a questionnaire with a number of closed questions and using descriptive statistics (calculation of average, variance, coefficient of change, etc.) and Inferential statistics have been done. Closed questions have been measured using a Likert scale and an interval scale. Finally, in order to show the overlap of the data obtained from the sources, the final analysis has been done.After qualitative analysis, 10 indicators were identified. In the quantitative analysis, research hypotheses were tested using descriptive and inferential statistics formulas and quantitative analysis, and the following results were obtained: In the case of engines, it was judged using qualitative analysis of 10 indicators and with Paying attention to the inferential analysis of the chi-square test and taking into account the critical value and the obtained test statistic, the existence of a relationship between the indicators presented in the drive component and psychological operations in Aja was proved.

The sea is the axis of economic development and this is directly related to maritime security. So, all countries use this optimally.According to the sea-oriented policies announced by the Supreme Leader, Islamic republic of Iran should follow the country's capacities in Caspian Sea in its plans for economic development.Regarding this, the preparation of transportation platforms in the North-South corridor can help Iran adopt a strong diplomacy and attract its northern and southern neighbors to participate in it.The main purpose of this research is to explain the components and economic indicators that affect the design of the maritime security model of Iran is in Caspian Sea. The main question of the research (what are the components and economic indicators affecting the design of the maritime security model of the Islamic Republic of Iran in Caspian Sea?)This research is pragmatic and its method is mixed. The statistical population of this research is 90 people, divided into two groups (15 people from the professional community + 75 people from the community of experts related to the subject).Based on the findings, it is suggested that the governmental economic ministries, by creating synergies and developing sea-based trainings in interaction with the corresponding commissions in the Islamic Council, can make their managers and officials operate more consciously in the field of international competition of Caspian Sea.

This study was conducted in order to identify the causes and factors of future wars in the West Asia region using the method of layered analysis of causes. First, the documents related to the subject were studied and reviewed. Then the concepts and words counted through a questionnaire to the sample community consisting of 66 experts were presented and the data obtained using SPSS and Excel software and descriptive statistical methods (calculation of mean and variance) and inference (estimation of confidence interval and calculation of statistics) chi-square test) was analyzed. Considering that the layered analysis of causes includes four layers of litany, causal systems, discourse (worldview) and myth or metaphor, to divide the causes in each of the layers from the duration of their being the cause of war and the number of opinions of the respondents regarding the correlation of future wars These components were used. Finally, by obtaining the opinions of the experts, the most important types of future wars were classified as hybrid wars, network-based war, influence-based war, and soft war. According to the findings, the most important causes of future wars in the West Asian region in the first layer (litany level) are power seeking, revenge and access to nuclear energy; In the second layer (level of social systems), the causes of occurrence in politics, technology and economy; In the third layer (worldview) the causes of religion, ideology and religion and in the fourth layer (metaphor or myth) language, self-conceit and different religious sects were classified.

The present study aims to show the similarities and differences of the 18 sub-fields related to each of the six concepts of futures studies, foresight, futurology, future thinking, futurism and future mining by studying and comparing the topics investigated in the scientific productions of futures studies (in its general sense). The methods of collecting information and the method of analysis are scientific and specialized library research. Data analysis was done using Excel software. The results show that the highest frequency of articles in the field of futures studies is urban and regional 205 articles, religious and religious 128 articles, and defense and military 102 articles. In addition, the highest rate of growth of articles in the studied fields is in 2022. The results of this research are in line with the comparison of the frequency of scientific articles published in the six studied concepts related to the future in the fifteen-year period of 2008 to 2022, and the results of the analysis show that the highest frequency of articles is related to the concept of futures studies with 822 and foresight with 279 respectively. The research title is dedicated. In addition, the highest growth of articles in these fifteen years is for the concept of futures studies.

The current research was conducted with the aim of identifying the components of the Iranian-Islamic lifestyle of the families of Payor employees of the armed forces based on the sixth recommendation of the statement of the second step of the Islamic Revolution. The main question of the article "What are the components of Iranian-Islamic lifestyle of armed forces families?" is. The type of applied research is descriptive research method and mixed research approach (quantitative-qualitative). The statistical population includes 480 experts and experts familiar with the field of Iranian-Islamic lifestyle, with at least a bachelor's degree with at least 15 years of service experience, living in organizational units whose size is known based on Cochran's formula, the sample size is 214 people. Estimated. The method of collecting information is in the form of library (statements of the Supreme Leader and valid documents) and field.After the mixed analysis of the data, the results show the fact that from the audience's point of view, the most important component of the Iranian-Islamic lifestyle of the families of the employees of the Army of the Islamic Republic of Iran, based on the statement of the second step of the Islamic Revolution, among the components presented in the social dimension, are two components - adherence to Family and the component of respecting public rights in the first and second ranks and in the individual dimension two components of honesty and integrity and the component of giving importance to health were ranked third and fourth, respectively.

Today's organizations should restructure and process, regulate relationships and use their human resources optimally, which is better called human capital. Human resource accounting is the process of identifying and measuring data related to human resources and presenting its report to the organization's stakeholders. This research was conducted with the aim of designing and explaining the human resources accounting model with the foundation's data approach in the country's defense organizations. This research was conducted with a qualitative-inductive approach and by the Strauss-Corbin grounded theory method. The research tool (data collection) was a semi-structured interview. Using the grounded theory method, the data obtained from the interviews conducted with 13 elites and experts in the field of human and financial resources in the country's defense organizations were analyzed during three stages of open, central and selective coding. 17 general categories in the form of a paradigm model where these factors include causal conditions (new developments in the concept of value; intra-systemic challenges in the defense organization; extra-systemic challenges in the defense organization), central phenomenon (human resource accounting model in defense organizations) background conditions (requirements of the defense organization and management; surrounding environment; knowledge and accounting method of human resources of the defense organization; situation within the defense organization), intervening conditions (defense management limitations; costing and valuation; perceptual challenges; information), strategies (improvement and development; creativity; strategic thinking in the defense organization) and consequences (long term, short term).

Science and technology foresight is a collaborative, time-consuming and complex process. These features have led governments to design and implement this process in most countries. Identifying and prioritizing key success factors in the foresight process can help better decision-making in designing and implementing foresight in the country and facilitates budget allocation and resource allocation. Therefore, this study aimed to identify and prioritize key factors for the success of science and technology foresight in Iran.

This study is an applied research from the point of view of purpose. The data were collected in two ways: library and field, and “network analysis” was used to prioritize the factors.

The results of data network analysis showed that 41 key factors affect the success of science and technology foresight in Iran. According to the opinions of the experts, the following 10 factors with a final weight above 0.30 are more important: Establishing workshops in the early stages of the foresight process (0.338), focusing on soft technologies (0.332), forming foresight team (0.329), government requirement and support (0.321), enhancing technology intelligence (0.320), technology attraction alongside technology feasibility (0.317), emerging and interdisciplinary areas (0.313), regularly foresight activities (0.311), focusing on second and third class consequences (0.303), and initial design (0.301).

Special attention to the most important key factors that have the highest final weight in network analysis is recommended to decision makers and government managers responsible for science and technology foresight process in Iran.

The Islamic Republic of Iran needs authority to create indigenous and self -regional security in the Persian Gulf, as well as to counter regional and trans -regional threats in the area. Therefore, this article is aimed at identifying environmental factors (strength, weakness, opportunity, threat) and formulating Iranian powerful strategies.

It is applied research and is used by the case-context-based method to formulate strategies and tapis techniques to prioritize strategies.

Data analysis has found 13 part strategies (3 aggressive strategies, 5 competitive strategies, 3 conservative strategies and 2 defensive strategies). According to the improving the improving the number of 7 main power strategies in the Persian Gulf.

The strategic position of the Islamic Republic of Iran for attaining authority is in a strong conservative and strong situation that is moving towards a mild and focused offensive.

Considering the scope of the crisis during earthquakes, floods, forest fires and storms, organizations related to crisis management have sufficient capacity and resilience to manage and control affairs and the presence of forces and forces in the environment. The purpose of this evaluation is the performance of Nazaja engineering groups in relief operations to the people in dealing with floods and earthquakes.

The type of applied research is descriptive and mixed with research. The statistical population in this research includes commanders, managers and employees of engineering groups and their number is 150 people. The sample size is 78 people based on Cochran's formula.

The performance of Nezaja engineering groups in the relief operations, considering the presence of heavy engineering machines, the sufficient amount in terms of number, up-to-dateness, skills and specialists, timely sending of people to the disaster areas, proper management of heavy vehicles, appropriate division of labor. Several dredging works and river dredging have been changed in adverse weather conditions and in river flood risk conditions.

The performance of Nezaja engineering groups in the use of heavy engineering equipment and the installation and operation of equipment bridges in humanitarian operations was evaluated as very good and in the use of expert manpower.

Examining the challenges of dealing with unmanned aircraft systemsAbstractThe purpose of this research is to examine the challenges of dealing with drone systems and its impact on the air defense system in the future battle scene and to provide solutions to solve the existing problems and obstacles. This research is of an applied type and library study methods and reference to documents and questionnaire tools were used to collect data and targeted sampling was used to select the sample size of the statistical population under research. AHP method has been used to weight and determine the priority of air defense challenges (detection systems, command and control systems, and weapon systems) on the dependent variable (combating drone systems). The results of the research showed that the main research variables with a correlation coefficient of less than 0.1 have an effect on dealing with the drone system. The suggestions of this research are the emphasis and attention of the air defense commanders on the stated challenges according to the results of the research, as well as the need to upgrade the air defense systems in the future battle scenes, with the priority of adopting comprehensive defense strategies and improving the capabilities of detecting drones. The passenger has a low radar cross-section and the use of new technologies in weapon systems.

This article aims to explain how to improve the mobility of the combat engineering groups of the Army of the Islamic Republic of Iran by relying on the experiences of the sacred defense period and the future needs by using physical capital. According to this question, the research question is: How can the mobility of the combat engineering groups of the ground forces of the Islamic Republic of Iran be improved by using the physical capital, relying on the experiences of the holy defense period and future needs? The type of applied research is descriptive research method and mixed research approach (quantitative and qualitative); In order to collect information and research findings, questionnaire tools and study documents, documents and sources (books, publications, internet resources) have been used. The Likert scale was used to measure the indicators, and by using descriptive and inferential statistics and through the T-test, the research findings were analyzed with a confidence factor of 95%. According to Cochran's formula, the considered sample size is 100 people out of 135 people who read the research, and 88.1% of the sample population believe that the independent variables of the research include; The physical space, advanced equipment and organizational equipment improve the mobility of the combat engineering groups of the Islamic Republic of Iran Army's ground forces by relying on the experiences of the holy defense period and the future needs to a very good extent.

Futures studies are a new knowledge that can lead to economic, defence, military and social efficiency. The nature of technology is changing and the speed of this change is greater than any other time at present. Future studies are a planning tool which will determine the possibility of technology creation and its impact in achieving the desired future. The purpose of this paper is to identify security threats in the field of internal data network of the Air Defense Headquarter of I.R.I.A, using the future wheel method and integrating this method with expertise panel and mind meetings. Using the panel of experts 78 security threats were identifying that by using the ranking and determining, the value of the threats, the 44 threatening and effective threats were determined. In the following, a questionnaire was prepared to examine the value of each of the threatening factors. Threat and using the friedman model and based on likert scale, among the 44 the security threats, the categories of threats that gained the score of less than from the mean were selected as the low priority of the elimination and the number of 20 factors that assigned a higher score than the mean. Finally, using the future software of Mic - Mac and by using the cross - matrix analysis method, the 7 number of factors has an influential role as the most important threats.

The position of future studies in research organizations whose main mission and philosophy of existence is identifying the needs of weapons, equipment, research and presenting new products is much more prominent than other organizations. Therefore, according to the notification of the General Staff of the Armed Forces, the research and self-sufficient Jihad organizations of the Islamic Republic of Iran Army have been required to establish future research centers in order to monitor science and technology in order to create superior defense systems. This research was conducted with the aim of investigating the requirements for the establishment of future research centers in the mentioned organizations. The method of carrying out the research is descriptive, in order to achieve the desired goal and answer the research questions, a questionnaire with 17 questions with a 5-option Likert scale was compiled and validated. Then, a sample of 78 people, including experts and managers of the Aja industrial research field, who were familiar with the research subject, were selected by a multi-stage random method and answered the questionnaire through the sample size estimation formula. The analysis of the data showed that an organizational forecast with formality, low concentration and high complexity should be formed in the body of the mentioned organizations, which has administrative infrastructure equipped with computer equipment and high-speed internet platform with access to strong library resources and documents. The mentioned center should have expert and quality human resources with the allocation of special organizational credits to carry out current affairs. Using influential people with high organizational credibility on a part-time basis, holding courses, future research workshops, providing university seats and the field of education for employees in modern sciences will be fruitful in advancing the goals of future research centers.

Cyber threats are attacks against an organization that may be used to achieve various goals. A cyber attacker may try to steal an organization's sensitive information, disrupt the organization's ability to provide services, or take other actions that somehow damage the organization's security and network infrastructure. Therefore, the current research has been carried out with the aim of designing a framework for the pre-active confrontation of the Islamic Republic of Iran Army with cyber threats. The type of research is applied, which was done in a mixed (quantitative and qualitative) way. In order to identify the basic structure of the framework by using study resources and library documents, the basic framework was extracted and by conducting interviews with experts in the field of cyber and future studies, the dimensions, components and key issues of the framework were identified. Then, by preparing a researcher-made questionnaire and with the help of a sample population of 120 people, the counted items were evaluated. In the next step, descriptive and inferential analysis was done using SPSS software, and the fit of the framework was checked and approved by using structural equation modeling software with PLS partial least squares. Finally, the proposed framework was drawn by summarizing the items of each subsection using Edraw Max software.

The growing trend of various technologies, including military technologies, is not hidden from anyone. In today's world, due to influence of the growth of science and technology, the life of military products has been shortened and new product with higher capabilities are producted every day. Hense, military organizations and especially naval organizations need to identify and use new technologies. Due to decisive role of units on the fate of naval combat the need of the Navy for supremacy technologies and effect of them on the readiness of combat units is important. For this reason, researchers are looking for the identification of supremacy technologies and effect of them on the combat readiness of naval surface units. The current research was conducted in two independent stages, qualitative and quantitative. By using documents and documents, the experts' answers to the questions asked in the interview and the analysis of the statistical results obtained from the answers to the questionnaire, the analysis of the existing facts and then the identification of the supremacy technologies effective on the combat readiness of the surface floating units of the Navy in surface warfare in the horizon of 1414 were discussed

After the Islamic Revolution of Iran, the goals and capabilities of the United States directly and indirectly affect Iran, which can be seen in the analysis of the five categories of strategic and national security documents of the United States at the macro level that have been published over the years is, obtained Good observation. From this procedure, this research is an analytical description of the type of case study that examines the topic under consideration with the method of analysis and qualitative analysis. The statistical population of this research includes 42 official documents and one temporary document of American national security, which was published by the government in 2021. In examining these documents, what becomes certain is that the United States has changed its strategy towards the Islamic Republic of Iran in all these years, which has always been the overthrow of this system to change This performance is more or less evident in America's foreign behavior. The approaches of the American presidents during the presidential periods of Bush Sr. and Clinton were mostly based on soft power and, of course, to some extent hard, Bush Jr.'s period was mostly based on hard power and to some extent also soft, Obama's period was based on the application of smart power, a combination of hard and soft. Trump's era is based on hard power and Biden's era that we are facing today is based on soft and intelligent power.

The concept of imagination in futures studies knowledge affects many of our forward-thinking thoughts and decisions about future developments and can expand the scope of our vision and action towards the future. According to the importance and role of this concept, in this paper, were reviewed the concept, position and scientific validity of imagination in the futures studies, from the perspective of western philosophers and futurists. This research is a descriptive research. The data were collected in a documentary and library method and then, with an analytical-critical approach, the concept of imagination has been investigated. The results of the research showed that the images of the future from the perspective of discovery are divided into three categories, including "images based on the extrapolation of current and past trends (experimental)", "images based on logical analyzes (rational)" and "images based on imagination, intuition, values and inner spirituality" are divided. According to the surveys conducted by Western philosophers and futurists, the scientific validity of the first two categories was confirmed, but the third category, since they lack scientific validity, can only be valuable in the "position of production" and discovering creative propositions about the future.

Investigating the nature of UAS threats, the results of recent wars in the West Asian region, the increasing development of military technologies, especially the characteristics of future air threats, including unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), the need for scientific attention And accurate to the category of air defense has made it inevitable. In the meantime, dealing with unmanned aircraft systems in times of war and peace, which endanger national and military security, public safety, and people's privacy, is of particular importance. Air defense has three dimensions: detection systems, integrated command and control network, and weapon systems that play the main role in air defense operations. The purpose of the research is to explain the factors affecting the detection and countering of drone systems in future battles. The research is of an applied-developmental type and its approach is prospective and the case-contextual method is used. In this research, the threats of unmanned aircraft are studied first, and then the most important components and indicators of detection systems are explained. To enrich the research, a number of experts in the field of air defense were interviewed. Finally, by identifying the components and indicators affecting the discovery of the air defense model, suggestions were made to deal with drones.

In this research, it has been tried to determine the factors that increase the creativity and organizational learning in AJA at the same time among the various factors that affect the success of knowledge management. Therefore, seven factors that are common to the key success factors of creativity and organizational learning were examined. The present study aimed to determine the key factors of knowledge management success to increase both creativity and organizational learning in the Army of the Islamic Republic of Iran. This research is descriptive-survey in terms of applied purpose and its implementation method and based on quantitative analysis approach (structural equations). The statistical population of this study includes 850 elites, administrators and university professors at the level of the Army of the Islamic Republic of Iran. Using the Cochran method, a sample of 265 people was selected by stratified sampling. Data analysis was performed through statistical tests and structural equation model analysis using SPSS and LISREL software. The results show that among all seven key factors of knowledge management success (organizational culture, knowledge sharing, reward allocation, information technology, senior management support, human resource management and knowledge-based strategies) that increase organizational creativity and learning , Only two factors of knowledge-based strategies and human resource management have simultaneously increased organizational creativity and organizational learning in the Army of the Islamic Republic of Iran.

This study aimed to explain how to create coordination in order to increase synergy between the army aviation and the crisis management organization in future unforeseen events, in the two stages before and during the crisis. The statistical population consists of pilots of air bases and officials of the country's crisis management organization. Interviews, questionnaires and library studies used as data collection tools. The results show that addressing the components of planning, forecasting, command and control in relief operations, play a large and very important role in coordinating the synergy between the army aviation and the crisis management organization.

Strategy is widely used in management issues in various economic, political and social fields, especially military, and is considered as one of the important elements related to management and is the basis of managerial decisions, so that it can not be considered separate from management, or successful management. , Is often the result of developing appropriate strategies. The main purpose of the research is to formulate logistics strategies (readiness and support) for joint operations of the Army of the Islamic Republic of Iran. This research is of applied development type and descriptive method with analytical approach. The sample size is 86 people and the method of data collection is field and library. A questionnaire with 133 questions was used to complete the research. Accordingly, out of 133 factors that were identified and consolidated for formulating logistics strategies of AJA joint operations, 33 factors of weakness, 22 factors of strength, 21 factors of opportunity and 57 factors of threat were identified in the form of 9 components of internal and external environment. Finally, the strategies were developed using the SWOT technique and their prioritization was determined using the Tapsis method. By analyzing and determining the strategic position of the organization and analyzing the gap, AJA is in a defensive-oriented defensive position. Therefore, 14 strategies were formulated and suggestions were made to move from the existing position to the desired offensive position.