جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه "پیش نگری" در نشریات گروه "علوم اجتماعی"

Revolutionary education of Iran is a part of society and a representative of a complex social system and discourse and Farhangian University seeks to educated efficient human resources and revolutionary teachers. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to identifying the characteristics of revolutionary education curriculum goals in Farhangian University with a foresight approach.

This study in terms of purpose was applied and in terms of implementation method was combined (qualitative and quantitative). The research population in the qualitative section was the professors of Farhangian University in West Azerbaijan province, which according to the principle of theoretical saturation number of 13 people of them were selected as a sample with the available non-random sampling method. The research population in the quantitative section was the professors of Farhangian University in West Azerbaijan province, which number of 234 people of them were selected as a sample with the total sampling method. The research tool in the qualitative section was a semi-structured interview and in the quantitative section was a researcher-made questionnaire, which whose psychometric indicators were confirmed. The data of the qualitative section were analyzed with thematic analysis method in MAXQDA version 10 software and the data of the quantitative section were analyzed with exploratory factor analysis and structural equation modeling methods in SPSS version 26 and AMOS version 21 software.

The results of the qualitative section of this study showed that the characteristics of revolutionary education curriculum goals in Farhangian University with a foresight approach have thirteen sub-themes in three main themes were included emotional goals (with four sub-themes of driving excellence and progress, aware and knowledgeable to the revolution and revolutionary education, beliefs transfer and Islamic ethics virtues), cognitive goals (with four sub-themes of recognizing the values and ideals of the revolution, fostering Islamic beliefs, reviving Islamic civilization and familiarity with the concept of justice) and skill/performance goals (with five sub-themes of creating a visible change in student behavior, launching the dialogue of civilizations, strengthening people's tendency towards independence, strengthening the skill of participating in group discussions and familiarizing with the strategies of searching scientific texts. The results of the quantitative section of this study showed that the factor load and average variance extracted of all factors were higher than 0.50 and the Cronbach's reliability of all of them was higher than 0.80. Also, the model of the characteristics of revolutionary education curriculum goals in Farhangian University with a foresight approach had a good fit, and in this model and according to the path coefficients all thirteen factors had a direct and significant effect on the goals (P<0.01).

The identified characteristics for the revolutionary education curriculum goals in Farhangian University with a foresight approach can help experts, officials, managers and planners in designing and implementing programs to improve the curriculum goals of the educational system.

The religion of Islam gives a special value and dignity to science and knowledge, as it considers science and knowledge to be a prerequisite and necessary condition for performing any movement and action. In Islamic thought, science that does not benefit is not desirable. One of the important keywords in Imam Khamenei's thought about science and science education is the usefulness of science. They carefully follow all the indicators of the progress of science in the country, and in case of a drop, they give the necessary notices to the managers. Therefore, the main question of this article is what are the components of useful science in Imam Khamenei's thought? The hypothesis of this article is as follows: The most important components of useful knowledge in the thought of Imam Khamenei, inspired by the teachings of the Quran and hadiths, are: sincerity and divine intention, rationality, foresight, the need to meet the needs of the country, gaining scientific and practical authority. are being In this article, we use the descriptive-analytical method, relying on written library sources and internet articles, to the components of useful science, which include examples such as biotechnology, photonics and optics, nanotechnology, new energies, information technology and aerospace. Let's discuss from Imam Khamenei's point of view.

The present research was conducted to evaluate the effectiveness of positivism group training on changing the attitude towards drugs among at-risk male adolescents.

The current study was semi-experimental with a pretest-posttest design with a control group. The statistical population included all at-risk male adolescents living in the outskirts of the city of Kermanshah in 2021, of which 30 people were selected by the convenience sampling method and were randomly divided into two experimental (n= 15) and control (n= 15) groups. Participants in both groups completed the attitude towards drugs questionnaire. Positivism group training was presented to the experimental group in eight 90-minute sessions, with the frequency of one session per week. The data were analyzed by multivariate analysis of covariance.

The results showed that the positivism group training positively affected the components of attitude towards drugs (effects, risks, and substance use) and reduced positive attitude towards drugs among the participants of the experimental group.

According to the results of the present research, positivism training can be used as an effective way to reduce the positive attitude towards drugs in at-risk adolescents. Therefore, it is suggested that positivism training be included in the list of early prevention programs for substance use disorders in schools, universities, and educational centers.

The main aim of the present study was to determine the effectiveness of positive psychotherapy on social adaptation, cognitive flexibility and emotional capital  of women with marital conflicts in counseling centers in Qom. The current research method is semiexperimental with a pretest and posttest research design with a control group. The population included all the women who referred to counseling centers in Qom city in 1400 and 1401. The sample was randomly selected in the two groups of 15 people from women who referred to Farhan and Saman counseling centers in Qom city thorough purposeful assignment. They were  assigned   to the pretest and posttest stages and answered the  Golparvar's Emotional Capital  Scale(2017). The subjects of the experimental group received positivity training as a group, and the control group did not receive any training. The data are analyzed using SPSS software version 26 and using multivariate   and univariate Covaris analysis tests. The results of the research showed that positivity education increased the cognitive flexibility of women (P<0.05). Positivity training increased women's emotional capital (P<0.05). Also,

The uniqueness of futures studies epistemology, the nascent nature of transdisciplinary disciplines and the lack of literature in the field of its methodology, has led to a lack of proper integration in this field. For this reason, futures studies methodology, like the field itself, has undergone many changes in the last two decades. Due to this serious weakness, the present study seeks to examine the methodology and construction of a desirable and efficient research design tailored to the growing needs of futures studies to prevent confusion among researchers. Major scientific studies in the field of futures studies methodology focus on distinct methods and their implementation; While methodology in futures studies is not an end in itself, it is used to guide appropriate approaches to mapping reality, that is, the future. In this article, with a focus on descriptive-analytical methodology, a systematic study for the development of research methodology based on the research onion model is conducted and the relationship and adaptation of this model for future research are examined. The present article outlines and explains nine stages of methodological development and construction of a research design for future studies, which begins with the definition of a philosophical position and gradually leads to the construction of a research design.

Cognitive warfare is one of the new tactics of the enemy in the struggle and domination over nations. Ayatollah Khamenei has explained the nature of this war to the people and officials many times in his speeches. According to him, positivity is one of the important tools to deal with this war and one of the important characteristics of Islamic civilization. Therefore, this research aims to investigate this issue and the factors of strength and weakness and its effects in the statements of the leader of the revolution, in order to recognize the factors that strengthen positivity and promote them, as well as the reasons for increasing negativity and correcting them, a step towards the realization of the second step of the revolution and The formation of the characteristics of Islamic civilization should be removed. The findings of the research indicate that hope for internal assets and capacities, including human power, material resources, scientific and economic advances, cooperation of people and officials in order to eliminate poverty, corruption and discrimination, along with faith and trust in God, motivation and lack of trust. The foreign media is the source of all progress and resistance against the demagogy of the media. And in order to achieve this point, it is necessary to rewrite documents such as the document on the fundamental transformation of education and the transformation of the national media based on the statement of the second step of the rewriting revolution, the strategies and implementation plans for its realization, and to be monitored and implemented by the relevant institutions.

Although planning theorists’ opinions vary, most communicative process criteria can be summarized in three principles: inclusiveness of participating parties, openness and transparency for debating process, and consensus building for constructive and practical solutions. According to these three principles, the shortcomings of the rural development plans of East Azerbaijan province in the field of communicative planning approach were analyzed qualitatively-quantitatively by research method mixed with the tool development approach. A total of 40 people were selected to participate in in-depth interviews and answer multiple-choice questions, of which 25 participated in qualitative interviews. In the first phase of the research, the "guided introspection" method was used. Due to the nature of this approach, MAXQDA software was used for data management in secondary coding. The extracted indicators and pivotal concepts became a researcher-made questionnaire for tool development in quantitative sections. The SEM method in PLS software environment was used for quantitative data analysis. Thirty sub-themes were identified as local development planning deficiencies in three options as communication planning process criteria, which were classified into eight main themes. The results show A) as long as the participation of stakeholders in all stages of planning is not; B) there is no clear definition of local rural development; C) the type of attitude towards development is not communicative and bottom-up; D) Local capacities, needs and expectations are not used properly; F) how to access information is not enough; No consensus can be reached on constructive and practical solutions through indigenous knowledge, creativity and executive guarantee.

The present study was conducted by examining the views of relevant experts and their exposure to child labor in Shiraz. Data were obtained through in-depth interviews and analyzed based on grounded theory. Ten axial categories and one core category were extracted from the coding process. The core category was developed under the title of "institutional passivity and sectoralism". The results of the research showed that the causal conditions such as incompatibility and institutional and managerial confusion, diversity of perspectives to the phenomenon of child labor and non-governmental organizations and indifference towards child labor has caused the emergence of this phenomenon. Intervening conditions include: negative representation and conflicting media activities, Inhibition of some domestic and international rules and laws and child labor of nationals and the problem of identification and identity. This central phenomenon is located in special conditions and contexts due to family pressure and starting the work process in childhood, child labor as an income generating industry, child labor as a source of financial support for the family and the unique opportunity for working children, and Shiraz's oppurtunities for immigrants. The type of encounter with working children in Shiraz has caused numerous consequences that can be seen Unreasonable increase of child labor of nationals, Failure to contain and control the problem of working children, lack of proper organization and social support of working children, Anonymity of working children and persuasion and encouragement of nationals to immigrate to Shiraz.

The purpose of the current study was checking the predictive role of Religiosity, belive's the Resurrection and Responsibility for high school student's mental health in Neyshaboor City. The design of current study was Correlation and The statistical population includes the kidney students of Neyshaboor's high school in the academic year 2017-2018., That Among them, 122 students were selected as a statistical sample by multi-stage cluster sampling method. We use Glock and Stark's Religiosity Questionnaire, Ebrahimi and Bahrami Ehsun's Resurrection's belive Questionnaire, Ne'mati`s youth Responsibility Questionnaire and General Health Questionnaire (GHQ) as a Measerement Tools in the current study. The result's of study Showed That There is a positive and significant relationship between predictor variables and mental health (p <0.01). The correlation coefficients between religiosity and mental health were 0.267, between belive's the Resurrection and mental health were 0.337 and between responsibility and mental health were 0.337. Also, among the predictor variables, the responsibility variable was able to play a significant predictive role for mental health (B = 0.349). In the discussion and conclusion of the present study, these relationships are explained.

Today, futures research approaches and methods, such as scenario planning, can take police planners and decision-makers beyond traditional planning methods and prepare them in the face of drug crimes and potential future events. This study aims to explain the prevention of drug trafficking in the railway fleet using scenario planning method.

The present study is a developmental research in terms of purpose. This research is one of the "descriptive-survey" methods according to its objectives; in this research, the model of predicting social crises has been used. The statistical population of this study included 120 deputies, managers and employees of the Anti-Narcotics Police, the NAJA Prevention Police, the Presidential Anti-Narcotics Headquarters, and the heads of the country's railway police, who were selected in full.

The findings showed that the component "change the method and technique of drug trafficking in the railway fleet"; "Geography of drug crime"; "The type of drugs and the activity of gangs in the railway fleet" and "time factors in the continuation of drug trafficking" have been the most important predictive indicators in the form of 12 scenarios.

Future research using scenario planning method can be used as a new management tool for planning in the police force .To help managers and decision makers change their attitudes toward imaginary realities and to bring their attitudes as close as possible to existing or emerging realities.

Marginalization, as a social phenomenon, has certain social structures and characteristics that distinguish it from the concept of living around the city, and almost all the factors that cause it also create its identity. The main elements of marginalized identity have different cultural, economic, security and health dimensions, and the factors that create it can be examined in three areas: cultural, economic and security, as well as at different micro, medium and macro or structural levels. Avoiding the incomplete and one-dimensional approach to the issue of marginalization and adopting a comprehensive approach to it is appropriate to pay attention to all these factors at the mentioned levels. Therefore, in general, the effect of nine factors on the creation of marginalization can be examined, and marginalization solutions will be forced to focus on these areas.

The present study, considering the need for extensive scientific research to expand the concept of cultural security and identify the strengths and weaknesses of our country and our neighbors in this field, tries to play a small role in deepening and expanding the cultural security literature. . This role-playing will be done by exploring the importance of the ECO's role in ensuring the cultural security of member countries. The achievements of this research, which is based on the theoretical framework of constructivism and retrospective method, show that ECO has an important role in achieving cultural security of member countries and due to its special position, position and characteristics can be designed by formulating strategies. Execute the executive policies and institutions and structures of the drivers, as well as the definition of the monitoring and supervision system, the roadmap for ensuring the cultural security of the member countries in the horizon of 1420 and monitor its accuracy, correctness and progress.

The present study sought to determine the relationship between mothers' positivity and adolescents' self-esteem with respect to mothers' religiosity.
This research is considered as a basic research in terms of purpose and is a descriptive-correlational research in terms of work method.
The study population in this study includes 4100 people including all mothers and students of public schools for girls and boys in the second secondary school who were studying in Saveh city in the academic year of 96-97.144 men were selected by multi-stage cluster sampling.
The instruments of the present study include the Glock and Stark Religiosity Questionnaire, the Ingram-Winsky Positiveness Questionnaire, and the Rosenberg Self-Esteem Questionnaire. In the inferential part, Pearson correlation coefficient was used to determine the relationship between variables, and univariate and multivariate regression tests were used to measure the effect of each component on the main variable.
The present study showed that mothers 'religiosity has a moderating role in the relationship between mothers' positivity and adolescents 'self-esteem and has increased adolescents' self-esteem. Adolescents' self-esteem has a positive and significant relationship and there is a positive and significant relationship between mothers' religiosity and mothers' positivity.

Argument to Islamic Art is one of the controversial topics in Archaeology and art of Islamic world. Many scholars have been written professional articles and books about origin, function, cognition of art Islamic Period. Whatever it was caused as definition difference about Islamic art due to that theoretical framework and various approach have been studies so far. These theoretical approaches have been most important to coherence presentation from artistic phenomenon's in Islamic world.Present book include in source book of Islamic art cognition that it have written on based Historicism approach. In this book has tried that most events and most important will be shown from socio-political and cultural evolutions in Islamic world according to evidence of urban-planning, art and architecture.Investigation of this book shows that author can be present general landscape evolutions according to local scale despite to expansion of Islamic governments in political authority. Serious critics' included as: generalization and descriptive presentation of various events in Islamic world, lack of the determined approach in analyzing of artistic phenomenon, over focusing on the socio-economic impacts to production of objects. Finally, this factor has caused that others factors were ignored.

Allameh Sayyid Ja›far Morteza Ᾱmali is a prominent Shiite scholar who started a new way in historical research by writing the book Al-Sahih men Sirat al-Nabi al-A-› zam .Despite some criticisms about his theological approach ,he has paved the way for the researchers by presenting a new research method .History ,in the eyes of Allameh ,is an independent science with its own research methods ,the results and achievements of which can be used to consolidate beliefs and to dispel doubts and deficiencies in various religious doctrines ,especially the history of the life of the Infallibles .He was realistic and objective in his historical studies ,with neither an overly pessimistic view of history nor an optimistic one .He considered the Qur›an as the most important criterion that should be invoked in understanding the Sira( biography )of the Prophet and the Imams and the stories of the ancestors .He believed that his main purpose in dealing with history was to fulfill the duty of achieving the truths of the life of the Prophet( peace be upon him )and the Imams( AS ,)to uncover the ambiguity and complexity of their lives ,and to discover many distortions and inaccuracies in the hadiths which were exposed to different dangers such as being forged by some simple-minded people .All in all ,he views history in the service of humanity and the aspirations of a human society based on religious values and standards .The ijtihadi approach to historical research should be regarded as the most important characteristic of Allama .This approach requires extensive scrutiny ,careful evaluation of historical narratives and statements ,finding out about the conditions ,the time ,and place of events ,and a broad and deep acquaintance with the historical sources .His other characteristic in his research is that he gathers and compiles the information in a categorical and typological way in order to reveal the forged historical reports and the deceitful writers who did that .Therefore ,in order to get rid of such deviations ,he states some rules and criteria which help us recognize the true accounts.

In this report, with the emphasis on the issue of air pollution, the urban management solutions of the country to solve or solve this problem in recent years are examined. Also, the general policies and actions of other countries that have faced this problem, like Iran, will be briefly reviewed and based on that, an analogy will be made. Then, by analyzing the documents and the content of the expert's theory, after mentioning the reasons for the ineffectiveness of Iran's policies, clues will be available for the elaboration and direction of indigenous policies and strategies to resolve and eliminate the massive pollution of the cities of Iran by tightening the city of Tehran. The report attempts to explain the cleavages and points of disconnection of the problem by analyzing the experts and researchers, and provides policy evidence for designing and implementing approaches to exposure and intelligent response. The three pillars of foresight, continuous evaluation and strict monitoring of missing lobbies of policy making in this area have been identified.

Today's experience has shown that everywhere in which tourism is expanded accidentally, without planning and strategy, it creates many environmental and social problems, and in the long period of time its problems will be more than its benefits. Since scientific futurism is a base for the future studies of contemporary world, in this research the development of tourism industry based on providence in Zayandeh Rood Tourism Village was considered. The village was built in Chadegan. This research is applied in terms of its purpose and is descriptive-survey research method. The model presented in this research is pls, which was studied with smart pls software for managing tourism development factors in Zayandeh Rood Village. The descriptive statistics of the research were studied using Delphi technique and structural equation modeling with partial least squares approach was used for data analysis. The results show that the validity coefficient of all variables is between 0 to 60, In order to verify the reliability of variables, the Cronbach's alpha values of each variable were of an acceptable level. Similarly, divergent narrative analysis for each factor shows that the compound composite reliability is higher than 0.70, as a result according data reliability is in a good level, In the meantime, the facilities and infrastructure factors have the highest and lowest integrity values. . Finally, the test of assumptions indicated that among the hypotheses of the research Hypothesis 5 on the effect of social tourism capacity on tourism infrastructure of Chadegan region in general is not significant due to the values of P-VALUE and T-VALUE. In this study, this hypothesis was rejected with respect to this subject and other assumptions were confirmed.

Introduction and Statement of problem: The main objective of this paper is use existing data in order to identify and predict the status of Iranian journalism in the next few years? Will today’s newspapers and journalism disappear? What is the status of electronic journalism and what is the status of printed newspapers against its growing growth?  Therefore, a Delphi method was used to identify the features and components of journalism as well as their possible challenges in Iran over the next 20 years.  To reach such objective, a long-term in-depth interview was used so to let interviewees to reach an agreement among themselves.  This study was conducted in 2014 and it explains the 20-year perspective of the Iranian newspapers, i.e., 2034.  Journalism in Iran has faced many challenges since its inception, and has gone through ups and downs causing Iranian bizarre journalism to become even more complicated.  Therefore, some experts predict that written journalism will be disappeared in the next few years.  This is while some believe that Iranian journalism will only undergo some changes but does not disappear.  The above points make the study more relevant.  In this research, an overview of the future of journalism in Iran will be provided with the views of experts in this field to assess the future of the world of print and electronic newspapers and their interaction, as well as to predict and propose appropriate solutions for equipping and modifying the infrastructure and related superstructures that would possible help sustain the Iranian tradition of journalism.
Theoretical Framework: Considering that the research has been exploratory, the theoretical domain of this study is only based on research literature and no definite theory is proposed here.  Nonetheless, since each scientific research must be consistent with some theoretical framework, two areas are explained in this section at first; the concepts of futurism is dealt with, and theories of information society is considered as the closest and most relevant existing communication theories although futurism is considered as the basis of research.
The richness of media is defined by Daft and Langel (1986) as "the ability to change intelligence over a period of time."  Media richness theory says communication media will be able to enable users to communicate and change. The degree of this ability is known as the "richness of the media." The media richness criticizes all communication media based on their ability to create a complicated message. Media that can overcome different frames of reference and turn on conflicting issues become richer, while communication media that require more time to understand the message are less expensive
The main criterion for choosing a communication medium for a specific message regards the question of whether the ambiguity or possible mistakes in the message can be reduced.  This is because if a message is not clear enough, it may be difficult for the audience to decode it.  The more ambiguous the message is, the more signs and data the audience needs to interpret the message.  For example, a simple message intended to arrange the time and place of a meeting can be done in a short email, but a more detailed message about job performance and the expectations of a person can communicate better than email if it happens through face to face communication and interaction among people.
Research Delphi's futuristic approach is used in this research.  Delphi is a method for collecting expert opinions and it is one of the most relevant techniques for integrating insights, experiences, evaluations, and practices of individuals. Since this research is an exploratory research, and the goal of the researchers is to identify, explain and define the unknown phenomena of journalism in Iran, therefore, instead of the hypothesis, the research questions are answered, i.e., a method that helps to predict the future. It should be noted that we used the term "newspaper or journalism" in this research to refer to a print or electronic newspaper or journalism.
Statistical population: The statistical community here is made of Journalists, professionals and managers working in the field of press and journalism in Iran, provided they have more than 10 years of journalism experience.  They include professors and specialists in the field of social communication and journalism who work in news offices.
Sampling: Delphi method expert sampling is used which is a purposeful and snowball sampling.  In such a method, a number of (n = 3) of specialists from 18 experts were selected.  This research was conducted in two series of interviews and two rounds in a panel form.  However, the process was slow and hard because of the interviewers’ business. The experts and professors who helped us as our snow ball samples are as follows: Hasan Namkodost Tehrani, Hamid Ziaei Parvar, Hossein Ghandi, Ali Akbar Ghazizadeh, Mehrdad Kheidir, Hossein Entezami, Reza Moghaddasi, Alireza Farahmand, Fahad Fardnia, Mohammad Ghoochani, Mostafa Ghavandloo Qajar, Mohammad Mehdi Forghani, Mahmood Sadri, Majid Rezaiean, Bahareh Nasiri, Bahareh Bashi, Hamid Reza Hosseini Dana, Majid Yousefi
Method of data collection: The main technique of Delphi for collection of data is interview. We prepared some questions that were taken from expert's opinions and construct a questionnaire. Experts were asked to express their agreement or disagreement with the terms. Shared terms were extracted as predictions and less subscribed items were reassessed with changes.  After that, the controversial comments were valued with the Likert scale to measure the amount of agreement or disagreement and to obtain the final terms.
Findings: some of the results indicate that paper and print newspapers will remain in the future and will not disappear, and print press challenges will remain and will not be eliminated.  Nevertheless, most experts believe that these challenges are much less common in electronic newspapers.  On the other hand, the impact of global issues on the media will be more than today and more than indigenous culture. The research findings also show that print newspapers use different content based on the rich media theory of the future, and the role of the audience in all sections of the newspaper will increase significantly, to the extent that many social media are formed and will grow. In addition, the role of economics and economic issues in the future of Iranian newspapers will increase.
It should also be noted that the share of electronic journalism in the future will increase as technology grows and print newspapers are forced to have electronic versions.  At the same time, they rely heavily on their strengths.  In this way, they must come to the investigative reports and fascinating writings in terms of media richness and the analysis and interpretation become more important than news quotes.
Therefore, they are affected by images, graphics, and content changes created by the web.  Of course, they also use loose trust in the audience on the Web and they make the audience less misguided by visiting them through orthography and trusteeship. This suggests that the interaction of these two types of journalism will be high, and in spite of their difference in terms of form and content, they will not eliminate one another at least in our 20-year- perspective assessment.  Therefore, we found out that considering the two types of electronic and print journalism as separate medium was a right research choice.

The present study seeks to identify the potentials of the development of ecotourism in the view of condition of local community. Urmia Lake is one the largest lakes in Iran which plays an important role in the socio-economic and environmental sectors in this region. However, due to the fact that the lake has shrunk substantially, it brought about national and international concerns.
The study with focus on qualitative methods employed semi-structured interviews in persons and groups and some observations. The study population consisted of all stakeholders concerning the revival of the lake and the potentials of the development of ecotourism in the area. Purposive sampling with snowballing method was used to find the informants. The techniques of SWOT, IEA, and QSPM were employed for strategic evaluations. Based on the results of external and internal factors, it was found that the most appropriate strategy for the development of ecotourism in the basin would be adaptive strategy. Among the identified strategies, the strategy of the formation of integrated management with the function of inter-province for the restoration of Urmia Lake was suggested as the most appropriate strategy for sustainable development of the ecotourism in basin.