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جستجوی مقالات مرتبط با کلیدواژه « روسیه » در نشریات گروه « جغرافیا »

تکرار جستجوی کلیدواژه «روسیه» در نشریات گروه «علوم انسانی»
  • علی الهی، احسان رازانی*، ابوالقاسم پیاده کوهسار
    اوکراین، عمق استراتژیک روسیه در اروپای شرقی است. بحران اوکراین نتیجه این نگرش روسیه به اوکراین است. جنگ روسیه و اوکراین، جنگ بین اعضای قدرتمند نظام بین الملل و منازعه قدرت بین روسیه، آمریکا، اتحادیه اروپا، ناتو است و قطب بندی جدیدی در نظام بین الملل به را نمایش گذاشته است. ایران به عنوان قدرت منطقه ای و هم پیمان استراتژیک روسیه، از جنگ بین غرب و روسیه، تاثیر پذیرفته است. این مقاله با هدف روشن ساختن بعد پنهان و معماگونه اثر گذاری این بحران در پی پاسخ به این پرسش است که؛ تهاجم روسیه به اوکراین چه پیامدهایی بر نظام بین الملل در افق 2030 می گذارد؟ همچنین چه پیامدهایی بر منافع ملی جمهوری اسلامی ایران دارد؟ پژوهش حاضر به روش توصیفی تحلیلی و با بهره گیری از منابع اسنادی و کتابخانه ای انجام شده است. یافته های پژوهش نشان می دهد که؛ جنگ روسیه و اوکراین بر ابعاد سیاسی، اقتصادی، نظامی نظام بین الملل اثر گذاشته است. همچنین بر منافع سیاسی و اقتصادی ایران نیز به عنوان هم پیمان روسیه در منطقه اثر گذاشته است و سبب تغییر در سیاست خارجی ایران و گردش به سوی شرق، توقف در مذاکرات هسته ای، شکل گیری همکاری اقتصادی بین روسیه و ایران و نیز سبب نگرانی ایران از حضور ناتو در قفقاز، تاثیر گذاری بر روابط اسرائیل روسیه و منافع ایران در سوریه و نیز بر امنیت انرژی شده است.
    کلید واژگان: روسیه, اوکراین, جنگ, بین الملل, ایران}
    Ali Elahi, Ehsan Razani *, Abolghasem Piadeh Koohsar
    Ukraine is Russia's strategic depth in Eastern Europe. The Ukraine crisis is the result of Russia's attitude towards Ukraine. The war between Russia and Ukraine is a war between powerful members of the international system and a power conflict between Russia, the United States, the European Union, NATO, and it has shown a new polarization in the international system. As a regional power and a strategic ally of Russia, Iran has been affected by the war between the West and Russia. This article, with the aim of clarifying the hidden and enigmatic dimension of the effect of this crisis, seeks to answer the question that; What are the consequences of Russia's invasion of Ukraine on the international system in the horizon of 2030? Also, what consequences does it have on the national interests of the Islamic Republic of Iran? The current research was carried out using descriptive and analytical method and using documentary and library sources. The research findings show that; The war between Russia and Ukraine has affected the political, economic, and military aspects of the international system. It has also affected Iran's political and economic interests as Russia's ally in the region and has caused a change in Iran's foreign policy and a shift towards the East, a halt in nuclear negotiations, and the formation of economic cooperation between Russia and Iran. It has also caused Iran to worry about NATO's presence in the Caucasus, affecting Israel-Russia relations and Iran's interests in Syria, as well as energy security.
    Keywords: Russia, Ukraine, War, International, Iran}
  • حجت داوند، رحیم سابقی نژاد، محمد داوند*، محسن اسلامی
    حمله نظامی عربستان سعودی به یمن نقطه عطفی در تحولات داخلی یمن بوده که با واکنش های گوناگون بین المللی اعم از رد یا تایید مواجه شده است. بررسی این مواضع موضوع اصلی و هدف نگارش این مقاله نیست. در این نوشتار با دیدی هنجاری به چرایی این موضع گیری ها و واکنش ها پرداخته نشده، بلکه سعی شده با بررسی چرایی و چگونگی ایتلاف ها و کشمکش ها بر سر مسیله یمن، امکان پذیری ایتلاف ایران و روسیه در آن، با رهیافتی واقع گرایانه تبیین شود. بررسی ها نشان داد که هر یک از سه کشور ایران، روسیه و آمریکا مواضع متفاوتی در حمله نظامی عربستان به یمن داشته اند؛ به نحوی که آمریکا متحد و مدافع عربستان بوده است، ایران مخالف و طرف درگیر عربستان در یمن و محکوم کننده حمله نظامی این کشور بوده است. اما روسیه با در پیش گرفتن رویکردی عملگرایانه از هیچ طرفی حمایت جدی نکرده است. حال با توجه به این که عربستان و آمریکا در موضوعات منطقه ای از جمله یمن دارای اشتراک نظر و متحد هستند این سوال پیش می آید که این رابطه به ایران و روسیه در مورد یمن نیز قابل تعمیم خواهد بود؟ در پاسخ به این سوال، فرضیه مطروحه این است که رویکرد کلان سیاست خارجی روسیه و موقعیت راهبردی یمن و تجربه های ناموفق قبلی تعامل روسیه با آمریکا زمینه را برای ایتلاف ایران و روسیه مهیا ساخته است. در این مقاله ضمن بهره گیری از منابع اسنادی از روش تحقیق مقایسه کیفی بهره گرفته شده است.
    کلید واژگان: یمن, ایران, روسیه, مداخله خارجی}
    Hojjat Davand, Rahim Sabeghi Nejad, Mohamad Davand *, Mohsen Eslami
    Saudi Arabia's military invasion of Yemen has been a turning point in Yemen's internal developments, which have met with a variety of international reactions, including rejection or approval. Examining these positions is not the main subject and purpose of writing this article. This article does not deal with the reasons for these stances and reactions with a normative view, but tries to examine the why and how of alliances and conflicts on the issue of Yemen, the possibility of an alliance between Iran and Russia, with an approach. Explain realistically. Surveys show that each of the three countries, Iran, Russia and the United States, have different positions in the Saudi military attack on Yemen; In a way that the United States has been an ally and supporter of Saudi Arabia, Iran has been an opponent of Saudi Arabia in Yemen and has condemned its military attack. But Russia has not taken any serious support from either side by taking a pragmatic approach. Now, given that Saudi Arabia and the United States share common views on regional issues, including Yemen, the question arises that this relationship can be generalized to Iran and Russia in the case of Yemen? In answer to this question, the hypothesis is that Russia's macro-foreign policy approach and Yemen's strategic position and previous unsuccessful experiences of Russia's interaction with the United States have paved the way for an Iran-Russia alliance. In this article, while using documentary sources, qualitative comparative research method has been used.
    Keywords: Yemen Crisis, Iran, Russia, Foreign Intervention}
  • مریم وریج کاظمی، عزت الله عزتی*، عبدالرضا فرجی راد

    هدف این پژوهش پرداختن به ژیواکونومی انرژی روسیه است که با تدوین استراتژی انرژی 2035 علاقه مند به نفوذ و کنترل بازارهای مصرف آسیای شرقی (ژاپن، چین و کره جنوبی) برای گسترش هژمونی خود می باشد. بنابراین تلاش می‏ شود با روش تحلیلی-توصیفی و استفاده از آخرین داده‏ های آماری به این پرسش پاسخ داده شود که آیا روابط ژیواکونومیک روسیه در حوزه انرژی با بازارهای آسیای شرقی می ‏تواند کنترل کننده گفتمان و استراتژی کشورهای مصرف کننده به نفع هژمون اقتصادی روسیه باشد؟. برای پاسخ به این پرسش ابتدا استراتژی انرژی 2035 روسیه و میزان تولید و صادرات گاز و نفت این کشور و درنهایت میزان مصرف و واردات نفت و گاز بازارهای آسیای شرقی و سهم روسیه در آن، همین طور همکاری‏ های انرژی ژاپن، چین و کره جنوبی با روسیه موردبررسی قرار می‏ گیرد و نتیجه گیری حاکی از آن است که با توجه به مقاصد متنوع تامین انرژی بازارهای آسیای شرقی و عملیاتی شدن استراتژی انرژی این کشورها مبنی بر کاهش گازهای گلخانه ای، روسیه نمی‏تواند مطابق سند استراتژی انرژی 2035 موفق عمل نماید.

    کلید واژگان: روابط ژئواکونومیک, روسیه, بازار آسیای شرقی, انرژی نفت و گاز, اقتصاد}
    Mariam Verij Kazemi, Ezatullah Ezati *, Abdolreza Farajirad

    The purpose of this study is to address the Geo-economics of energy in Russia, which is interested in penetrating and controlling the consumer markets of East Asia (Japan, China and South Korea) in order to expand its hegemony by formulating the energy strategy in 2035. Therefore, an attempt is made to answer the question by the analytical-descriptive method and using the latest statistical data, as follows: Are Russia’s Geo-economic relations in the field of energy can control the discourse and strategy of consuming countries in favor of Russia’s economic hegemony? To answer this question, the first Russia’s 2035 energy strategy and the amount of Gas and Oil production and exports of this country, and finally the amount of consumption and import of oil and gas in East Asian markets and Russia’s and the cooperation of Japan, China and South Korea with Russia in energy field will be discussed. The conclusion indicates although the territorial proximity of the East Asian markets to Russia can greatly strengthen the Geo-economic relations of Russia with these regions in the economic and energy fields, still the measures adopted by the east Asian countries in order to reduce greenhouse gases and the pressure of traditional energy supplier competitors can reduce the Russia’s energy hegemony and affect the future of cooperation between these Regions. Considering the diverse purposes of supplying energy to East Asian markets and the operationalization of the energy strategy of these countries based on the reduction of greenhouse gases as well as the replacement of renewable energies with oil and gas energy, it seems that Russia is facing obstacles in reaching the goals of the 2035 energy strategy. In this way, Russia’s geo-economic relations with East Asian markets will be influenced by the policy of serious competitors supplying energy to East Asian markets and strategic considerations about the use of renewable energy, as well as their Anti -Russian policies, rather than benefiting the development of Russia’s economic hegemony.

    Keywords: Geo-economic Relations, Russia, East Asian market, oil, gas energy, economy}
  • علی موسائی، عنایت الله یزدانی*، محمدعلی بصیری

    رقابت، تعارض و رویارویی میان قدرت های بزرگ در برخی از مناطق جهان که ازلحاظ ژیوپلیتیکی و ژیواکونومیکی دارای اهمیت قابل توجهی هستند از ویژگی های بارز نظام بین الملل به حساب می آید. به طوری که معمولا در وقوع بحران در مناطق و کشورهایی که چنین ویژگی هایی دارند، دست و نقش موثر قدرت های بزرگ را چه در ایجاد، چه در تطویل و چه در مدیریت بحران می توان دید. اوکراین نیز یکی از همین کشورها می باشد که به دلیل ویژگی های منحصربه فرد خود از دیرباز محل تلاقی منافع قدرت های بزرگ منطقه ای و فرا منطقه ای به ویژه بعد از استقلال میان روسیه و غرب بوده است. ازاین رو، هدف اصلی این مقاله پاسخگویی به این پرسش است که اوکراین چه اهمیتی برای روسیه و غرب دارد که باعث شده است تا همواره پس از استقلال صحنه رقابت و تقابل روسیه و غرب باشد؟ در این مقاله با روشی کیفی و رویکردی توصیفی - تحلیلی، پرسش پژوهش در بستر مفهومی نظریه واقع گرایی تهاجمی با استفاده از منابع کتابخانه ای موردبررسی قرارگرفته است. یافته های مقاله نشان می دهد که اهمیت اوکراین در ابعاد مختلف برای دستیابی به اهداف راهبردی متعارض روسیه و غرب و همچنین سیاست های غرب گرایانه اوکراین باعث شده است تا این کشور همواره پس از استقلال، صحنه رقابت و تقابل غرب و روسیه باشد.

    کلید واژگان: اوکراین, روسیه, غرب, واقع گرایی تهاجمی}
    Ali Mousaei, Enayatollah Yazdani *, MohammadAli Basiri
    Introduction

    Competition, conflict, and confrontation between the great powers in some parts of the world, which are of considerable strategic importance in terms of geopolitics and geo-economics, are among the salient features of the international system. So that usual in the occurrence of crises in regions and countries that have such characteristics, the effective hand, and role of great powers can be seen in the creation, extension, and management of crises. Ukraine is one of those countries that has always been influenced and competed by Russia and the West due to its unique characteristics. But the competition and confrontation between Russia and the West (the European Union, the United States, and its executive arm NATO) have escalated significantly since the Soviet collapse and Ukraine's independence. Because on the one hand, Ukraine has always been in the spotlight for Russia due to geopolitical, geostrategic, geoeconomic position, as well as its historical, cultural, racial, linguistic, and religious ties with Russian society. On the other hand, from the very beginning of the independence of the former Soviet republics, Western governments and institutions pursued expansionist policies in Eastern Europe, and due to the post-collapse turmoil, tried to membership of Eastern European countries in Western institutions, countries of the region, especially countries located in the Near Abroad region to align with themselves and In this way to prevent regional influence and Russia's use of the position and characteristics of these countries in order to regain lost power. In the meantime, the duo to Ukraine's neighborhood with Russia and its geopolitical, and geo-economic importance, as well as its strong desire to move westward after independence provided an opportunity for the West to accelerate the process of Russia's geopolitical siege, thereby preventing Russia from regaining power. Therefore, these conflicting goals and power struggles have caused Ukraine to always be the scene of competition and confrontation between the West and Russia after independence and to witness serious conflicts and political-security crises such as the events of the 2004 orange revolution, the 2006 blue revolution, and the crises of 2014 and 2022. Therefore, the main purpose of this article is to use the approach of offensive realism to answer the question of what is the importance of Ukraine for Russia and the West, which has always been the scene of competition and confrontation between Russia and the West after independence?

    Methodology

    The research method in this article is qualitative which with a descriptive-analytical approach has answered the main question of this article in the conceptual context of the theory of offensive realism. Authors to answer the main question, while describing and analyzing the reasons for the importance of the Near Abroad region in general and the reasons for the importance of Ukraine for the conflicting goals of Russia and the West in particular, Ukraine's western policies have also been analyzed and in this way, we have explained the role of this importance and Ukraine's western policies in the competition and confrontation between Russia and the West in Ukraine. For data collection, reference has been to library resources, including books, articles, theses, documents, and authoritative Internet sources. The data collection tool has been also taking notes.

    Results and Conclusions

    Ukraine is one of those countries that, due to its unique characteristics, has always been influenced and victimized by Power competitions between different countries and has never been able to determine its own destiny independently. In the 14th and 16th centuries, Ukraine became the scene of competition between Polish and Lithuania. Then in the 17th century, it became a sphere of influence between Russia and the Polish–Lithuanian Commonwealth, which continued until the end of the 18th century which Austria replaced the Polish in the western regions of Ukraine. The domination lasted until the end of World War I. With the formation of the Soviet Union and Ukraine's membership in the Union, the country once again became an area of Soviet influence on the one hand and Poland on the other. With the start of World War II, Ukraine was not spared from the fire and was occupied and destroyed by the Nazis. During the Cold War, it was versus the Western bloc due to its membership in the Eastern bloc. With the collapse of the Soviet Union, Ukraine finally gained its independence; but because of its special position and importance for the conflicting strategic goals of Russia and the West, from then until now have always been the scene of serious competition and confrontation between the West and Russia and various political-security crises. According to the offensive realism approach, the ultimate goal of the great powers is to achieve hegemony, and they try to achieve this goal by maximizing power and preventing rival powers from gaining power. Accordingly, Russia's strategic goal since the collapse of the Soviet Union has been to return to the greatness of the Soviet era and regain lost power, and to achieve this goal it has sought to take advantage of republics in the Near Abroad region. Ukraine is one of these republics that the best way possible can bring Russia closer to this goal due to its identity, geopolitical, geoeconomic, and economic characteristics. On the other hand, the West's understanding of this capability has led the West, especially the United States, as the current hegemon, to make every effort to prevent Russia from regaining power and Reaching the position of hegemony and A rival for this country, to get this country out of Russian influence and put it on its front to prevent Russia from achieving its strategic goal. In this regard, Ukraine's western policies since the collapse of the Soviet Union and its independence have also helped the West to get closer to this goal. Therefore, the findings of the article show that the importance of Ukraine's identity, geopolitics, geo-economics, and economics in achieving the conflicting strategic goals of Russia (regaining power and returning to the greatness of the former Soviet Union) and the West (preventing Russia from regaining power), as well as Ukraine's western policies have caused this country to after independence, always be the scene of competition and confrontation between the West and Russia, and to witness serious conflicts and various political-security crises such as the events of the 2004 orange revolution, the 2006 blue revolution, and the crises of 2014 and 2022.

    Keywords: Offensive Realism, Russia, the West, Ukraine}
  • حمید درج*
    این نوشتار در صدد است تا سیاست خارجی ترکیه در قفقاز جنوبی و تاثیر آن بر قلمروی نفوذ آنکارا در منطقه را بحث و بررسی کند. با روی کار آمدن حزب عدالت و توسعه در ترکیه در سال 2002 میلادی، سیاست خارجی آنکارا از سیاست تک بعدی و غرب گرایانه به سیاست خارجی چندبعدی، عمل گرا و منافع محور در محیط پیرامونی و جهانی تبدیل شد. توجه به مناطق پیرامونی و کشورهای همسایه به منظور افزایش نقش و جایگاه ترکیه در این مناطق ازجمله قفقاز جنوبی، یکی از ابعاد مهم سیاست خارجی مقامات ترک است. منطقه قفقاز از زمان فروپاشی اتحاد جماهیر شوروی در سال 1991 میلادی، تاکنون برای ترکیه اهمیت زیادی داشته است. منابع طبیعی سرشار منطقه و قرار گرفتن در چهار راه مناطق غنی نفت و گاز جهان، بی ثباتی سیاسی و تهدیدهای امنیتی دایمی، اشتراک های تاریخی و فرهنگی ترکیه با منطقه، شماری از دلایل حضور آنکارا در قفقاز جنوبی محسوب می شود. آنکارا با حضور گسترده در این منطقه استراتژیک در راستای تامین منافع اقتصادی و امنیتی و همچنین ارتقای نفوذ و جایگاه منطقه ای گام برمی دارد؛ بنابراین پرسش اصلی پژوهش این است که سیاست خارجی ترکیه طی سال های 2022-1991 چه تاثیری بر نفوذ این کشور در قفقاز جنوبی داشته است؟ یافته های پژوهش نشان می دهد، اهمیت ژیوپلیتیکی قفقاز جنوبی در سیاست خارجی ترکیه و پیوندهای تاریخی و فرهنگی این کشور با کشورهای منطقه، باعث نقش آفرینی روزافزون ترکیه در معادلات انرژی منطقه و حضور فعال ترکیه در مناقشه قره باغ شده است که این امر ضمن افزایش نفوذ و تقویت منافع منطقه ای آنکارا در سال های 2022-1991، تاثیر به سزایی بر شکل گیری معادلات منطقه ای به نفع ترکیه و متحدان آن در قفقاز داشته است. برای تحلیل داده های پژوهش از روش تحلیل کیفی استفاده شد.
    کلید واژگان: ترکیه, روسیه, قفقاز جنوبی, قره باغ, واقع گرایی}
    Hamid Dorj *
    This study tried to explore the foreign policy of Turkey in the South Caucasus and its impact on the country’s sphere of influence in the region. When the Justice and Development Party dominated in the country in 2002, Ankara’s one-dimensional and Western-oriented foreign policy was replaced with a multi-dimensional, pragmatic and interest-oriented foreign policy regarding the regional and global domain. Currently, attending to the surrounding and neighboring countries and regions to enhance Ankara’s role and position in these regions, including the South Caucasus is a remarkable aspect of the foreign policy taken by Turkish officials. The Caucasus region has been so important for Turkey since the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991. Among the main reasons that Turkey tries to play a significant role in the region are: The region’s huge natural resources, being locted at the crossroad of the rich oil and gas regions of the world, political instability and the existence of constant security threats, and the country’s historical and cultural commonalities with other countries of the region. Ankara seeks its economic and security interests and increasing regional influence and position through constatnt and extensive presence in this strategic region. The main question of this research is: What impcts have Turkey’s foreign policy had on its influence in the South Caucasus in the period 1991-2022? The results showed that the geopolitical significance of the South Caucasus in the foreign policy of Turkey and its historical and cultural connections with other countries of the region drived Ankara to increase its impact on the energy sector of the region and its active presence in the Karabakh conflict. The issues not only have increased Turkey’s influence and boosted its interests of the region, but directly impacted upon Moscow’s regional interests and influence over 1991-2022 period. Qualitative analysis method was applied to analyze the collected data.
    Keywords: Turkey, Russia, south Caucasus, Karabakh, realism}
  • داود کریمی پور*

    رهیافت ژیواکونومیک در تحلیل  روابط خارجی کشورها، به مثابه یک الگوی نوین نشان می دهد که چه متغیرهایی در شکل گیری روابط خارجی دو کشور در قبال یکدیگر نقش داشته اند. در مقاله حاضر، مبتنی بر این رهیافت، عملکرد روسیه در قبال چهار کشور قدرتمند اروپایی شامل آلمان، فرانسه، ایتالیا و بریتانیا مورد بررسی قرار می گیرد. هدف از این مطالعه، در واقع ارایه الگوی نوینی از تحلیل برای مطالعه چگونگی شکل گیری و سطح روابط در سیاست خارجی کشورها است. سوال اصلی مقاله پیش رو عبارت است از اینکه، متغیرهای اثرگذار در شکل گیری روابط ژیواکونومیک روسیه با کشورهای اروپای غربی تا چه اندازه نقش آفرین بوده اند. در پاسخ، این فرضیه مطرح است که سطح و عمق روابط روسیه با کشورهای اروپای غربی، تابعی از برهم کنش و تاثیرگذاری متقابل متغیرهای ژیواکونومیک شامل مکان جغرافیایی، عوامل اقتصادی، ژیوپلیتیک و ژیوکالچر است. یافته های مقاله که مبتنی بر روش مطالعه موردی کیفی ابزاری انجام شده، نشان می دهد که این متغیرها در روابط خارجی روسیه با دولت های غربی، اثرگذاری متفاوتی داشته اند. روابط روسیه با آلمان دارای بیشتر سطح درهم تنیدگی بوده و در مقابل، بریتانیا از کمترین سطح تداخل متغیرهای ژیواکونومیک با روسیه برخوردار است. همچنین، متغیر اقتصاد در تعامل با ایتالیا و متغیر ژیوپلیتیک در روابط با فرانسه، نقش اصلی را در مدیریت روابط خارجی روسیه ایفا کرده اند.

    کلید واژگان: روسیه, روابط خارجی, ژئواکونومی, غرب اروپا}
    Davood Karimipour *
    Introduction

    The motivation to provide security and maintain territorial integrity is one of the most important dimensions of Russia's geo-economic behavior. Geopoliticians believe that the modern Russian Empire will face three separate border regions. Caucasus and Central Asia, Siberia and Western Europe. In other words, Russia to be able to revive its modern empire, it must be able to play an active role in these three vital regions. In the following, the article will analyze the Russian foreign policy toward Western Europe through geo-economic approach.

    Methodology

    The present article is done Through Instrumental Case Study method, and Data collected based on the library one.

    Result and Discussion

    In dealing with Germany, Moscow has always considered the variable of its geographical location as a fundamental principle in its foreign policy. This variable has in fact led to Russia having the best relations with Germany. On the other hand, geo-cultural relations with France and Italy have, over the years, strengthened confidence in Moscow in these countries and affected Russia's geo-economic action. However, hostile relations with the United Kingdom have not prevented Moscow from developing economic cooperation with the United Kingdom. Russia is trying, with the help of economic factors, to reduce the level and intensity of British influence on anti-Russian geo-economic equations.

    Conclusion

    The findings show that Russia's geo-economic action towards Western Europe has been redefined in recent years, and while the main roots of the action in the past were geo-cultural motivations, but inspired by Political variables, todays the geopolitical element plays an organizing role in Moscow's interaction with the four European powers. Differences in the views to and relations with these countries, on the one hand, and their growing need for energy, will cause Russia's foreign policy to require new geo-economic dynamics in the coming years.

    Keywords: Russia, Foreign Relations, Geo-economy, Western Europe}
  • اسماعیل علمدار*، الهه کولایی
    کشورهای ایران و روسیه از دیرباز دو قطب مهم در دو سوی دریای خزر بوده اند که در مناطق‏هارتلند و ریملند جهانی قرارگرفته اند. اهمیت ژیوپلیتیک و ژیواستراتژیک کشورهای مذکور نسبت به سایر کشورهای منطقه سبب شده نقش پویاتری در معادلات سیاسی آسیای مرکزی و قفقاز داشته باشند. ازآنجایی که امروزه عامل قدرت و وزن ژیوپلیتیکی در روابط بین الملل اهمیت دوچندان یافته است و روسیه به عنوان یک قدرت جهانی و ایران به مثابه ی یک قدرت منطقه ای قلمداد می شود؛ دو کشور همواره در روابط خود از این فاکتورها در جهت اعمال سیاست های خود بهره می برند. نظریه واقع گرایی ‏هانس مورگنتا که تاکید بر توازن قوا و نقش عامل قدرت دارد گواهی بر این ادعا می باشد. این مقاله سعی دارد با روش توصیفی تحلیلی و از منظر نظریه توازن قوا به تحلیل ژیوپلیتیکی روابط ایران و روسیه پس از انقلاب اسلامی بپردازد. براین اساس نتایج تحقیق حاکی از آن است، همان طور که مورگنتا بر عامل قدرت و منافع ملی به عنوان مهم ترین شاخص در روابط بین الملل تاکید دارد، روسیه همواره تمامی روابط سیاسی خود را با ایران به ویژه در مسایل منطقه ی آسیای مرکزی - قفقاز- شامات و برجام در راستای منافع ملی خود تدوین کرده و روابط تاکتیکی خود را با ایران مبتنی بر اهداف استراتژیک در جهت افزایش قدرت و وزن ژیوپلیتیکی خود بهره برده است. لیکن به نظر می رسد، تصمیم گیرندگان در عرصه روابط خارجه بیش ازپیش به این عوامل توجه کنند.
    کلید واژگان: ژئوپلیتیک, روابط خارجی, ایران, روسیه, نظریه مورگنتا}
    Esmeil Alamdar *, Elahe Koolaee
    The countries of Iran and Russia have long been two important poles on both sides of the Caspian Sea, which are located in the heartland and rimland regions of the world. The geopolitical and geostrategic importance of the mentioned countries compared to other countries in the region has caused them to play a more dynamic role in the political equations of Central Asia and the Caucasus. Since today the factor of geopolitical power and weight has become doubly important in international relations and Russia is considered as a global power and Iran as a regional power; Two countries always use these factors in their relations to apply their policies. Hans Morgenth's theory of realism, which emphasizes the balance of power and the role of the power agent, is proof of this claim. This article tries to analyze the geopolitical relations between Iran and Russia after the Islamic Revolution with a descriptive analytical method and from the perspective of the balance of power theory. Therefore, the results of the research indicate that, just as Morgenth emphasizes the factor of power and national interests as the most important indicator in international relations, Russia always maintains all its political relations with Iran, especially in the issues of the Central Asia-Caucasus-Shamat region. And the JCPOA has been formulated in line with its national interests and has used its tactical relations with Iran based on strategic goals to increase its geopolitical power and weight. But it seems that decision makers in the field of foreign relations pay more attention to these factors.
    Keywords: Geopolitics, Foreign relations, Iran, Russia, Morgenth theory}
  • الهه کولایی*، سمیه زنگنه

    یکی از مهم ترین رخدادهای قرن بیستم تجزیه اتحاد شوروی بود که مرحله جدیدی از تعامل های چندبعدی را هم برای کشورهای جانشین و هم برای دیگر کشورهای درگیر در این تکامل تاریخی گشود. کشورهای پساشوروی با پیامدها و میراث گذشته تاریخی خود روبه رو هستند که تاثیرهای عمیقی در روند همگرایی کشورهای منطقه دارد. روسیه و دیگر کشورهای پساشوروی، نهادهای دولتی، بینش های سیاسی، اجتماعی و امنیتی، فرهنگ سیاسی را از گذشته به ارث برده اند. کشورهای نو استقلال در تلاش بودند مشکلات داخلی خود را با پشتیبانی قدرت های خارجی حل کنند، اما شوق اولیه برای همگرایی با کشورهای غربی به زودی فروکش کرد و مشکلات مشابه درون این کشورها آشکار شد. عوامل فرهنگی، زبانی، جغرافیایی و پیوندهای شخصی و نهادی روس ها با مناطق پیرامونی در دوره پساشوروی از بین نرفته است. بنابراین، روسیه سعی دارد در حوزه همگرایی های اوراسیایی ازجمله فرهنگی و اجتماعی دست برتر را داشته باشد. هدف نویسندگان، بررسی این موضوع است که روسیه در همگرایی اوراسیایی می خواهد نقش رهبری داشته باشد و این روند را از راه ابزارهای قدرت نرمی که در منطقه در اختیار دارد، مدیریت می کند. پرسش اصلی مقاله این است که در فرآیند همگرایی فرهنگی و اجتماعی اوراسیای مرکزی در دوره پساشوروی، روسیه چگونه نقش داشته است؟ فرضیه نویسندگان این است که در فرایند همگرایی فرهنگی و اجتماعی اوراسیای مرکزی، روسیه با تمرکز بر ابزارهای فرهنگی قدرت نرم خود، موقعیت خود را در اوراسیای مرکزی با استفاده از زبان روسی، آموزش، مذهب و رسانه تقویت کرده است.

    کلید واژگان: اوراسیا, فرهنگ, همگرایی, روسیه, قدرت نرم}
    Elaheh Koolaee *, Somayyeh Zngeneh

    One of the most important events of the twentieth century was undoubtedly the disintegration of the Soviet Union, which opened a new phase of multidimensional interaction for both successor states and other countries involved in this historical evolution. The post-Soviet countries are confronted with the consequences and legacies of their historical past that have profound implications for the convergence of regional countries. Russia and other post-Soviet countries have inherited similar institutions from the past, including state institutions, political, social and security mentalities, political culture, the style of government-society relations. The newly independent states were trying to solve their domestic problems with the support of foreign powers, but the initial enthusiasm for integration with the Western countries subsided. Similar problems emerged in countries with similar cultural and ethnic structures. It can be argued that the trend toward convergent policies has taken a long time. Shared values and norms and similar mentalities can help Eurasian convergence. In this paper, the concept of social and cultural integration in Eurasia in the post-Soviet era with regard to the soft power of Russia in the Eurasian region is examined by examining the factors of religion, language, media and education to show the social and cultural integration in Eurasia at the level What has been going on within the region and beyond since 1992? It is hypothesized that social and cultural integration in Eurasia, influenced by Russia's soft power, has a clear perspective on political and economic liberalization and the decline of authoritarianism elsewhere in the region and the process of globalization.In this article, Russia is considered a hegemonic power in the post-Soviet space. Developments in the post-Soviet period show that Russia is unwilling to back down from its role as a regulatory player in Central Eurasian affairs. Russia's post-collapse foreign policy is based on a combination of pragmatism and a commitment to the traditional desire to have a plan for a great power. The position of Central Eurasia in Russian foreign policy has not changed. Russia seeks to excel in Eurasian integration, including cultural and social integration. When Putin came to power, he put bilateral relations with countries in the region on the agenda. Although the organization has not been successful in terms of member convergence, favorable areas for convergence among its members are notable, including the Russian Monroe religion, the presence of racists in the former Soviet republics, and the region's energy and military dependence on Russia. The monopoly economies of these countries, which have made each other dependent on exports and imports, make Russian the second language of most of the republics that survived the collapse of the Soviet Union, maintain border security, and cooperate in the fight against fundamentalism and drug trafficking. In this article, after a brief look at the fate of national cultures in the world era and culture, the impact on regional convergence under the cultural and social treatment of the Soviet era and the soft power of Russia in the Yeltsin and Putin eras. Then check the usability of the software including Russian language, religion and education system. The method of writing this article is descriptive-analytical and with boron collecting data from authoritative scientific sources: books, scientific-research articles and licensed websites.In this regard each country achieves the preservation and strengthening of its national, ethnic and religious identity through the better cultural integration of the regions. Thus, cultural convergence is not only a threat to preserve and strengthen the identity of the nations of the region, but also confronts external and threatening factors of national identities, such as extremist currents. While the nations of Central Asia and the Caucasus have many historical, cultural, religious and religious ties, due to negligence, incompetence and unfounded aspirations, today some cultural ties originate. Disagreements have become like disputes over cultural and literary luminaries.The following conditions are necessary to create regional cultural convergence:- Understand the importance of the issue of extremism as a serious threat and common challenge, by all countries in the region- Lack of baseless and destructive synergistic superiorityExplain key and common cultural values among the countries of the region- Group cohesion of the countries of the region and having the spirit of collective work, interaction and cultural synergy- Active participation of all countries in the region in designing and implementing a roadmap to counter extremist currents and consensus of member countries on this solutionAdequate preparation and flexibility for quick decisions and the use of new, creative and innovative approaches, methods and tools against extremism. The cultural system was formed in 1920-1930 and continued until 1980 despite some changes. In the mid-1980s, Gorbachev made major changes in Soviet culture with the performance of Glasnost and Perestroika, which eased ideological and media pressure on the media and administrative control of the country's educational and cultural institutions. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Yeltsin undertook fundamental economic reforms and encouraged integration with the Western world. First, steps were taken to regain control of Russia in the region. However, the Russian elite sought to expand Russian-Western relations. From 1993 onwards, Russian elites began to emphasize the importance of post-Soviet geography and soft power policies in the region. These efforts were initially made by Yevgeny Primakov and the Eurasianists, but the policies implemented for convergence were not successful. With the advent of the Putin era, Russia began to develop soft power tools by pursuing policies to maximize its interests in the post-Soviet space. In the post-Soviet space, Russia strengthened its position in Central Eurasia as part of a policy of soft power. This ability is based on two important tools: language and education. Russia began to develop multilateral and bilateral relations, in a preventive manner, with the former Soviet republics. Russia is developing its soft power capabilities, but many of its problems have not yet been resolved so that it can be considered a powerful soft power. . Both soft power and hard power policies are implemented in parallel with creating a favorable environment for the Russian Federation in post-Soviet geography.

    Keywords: Eurasia, culture, Integration, Russia, Soft Power}
  • جهانگیر کرمی*

    دولت روسیه راهبرد امنیتی فعال و مخاطره آفرینی داشته و بویژه در سال های اخیر، وجه گسترندگی، تحریک آمیزی و تهاجمی آن پررنگ تر شده و این مساله در اقدامات نظامی در گرجستان، اوکراین و سوریه و بویژه در فحوای سند «راهبرد امنیت ملی» منتشره در تیرماه 1400 بیش از پیش نمایان شده است. از این رو، مساله اصلی در این مقاله، وضعیت تهاجمی بودن راهبرد امنیتی روسیه و چگونگی شکل گیری، تحول و بروز آن است و این پرسش مطرح می شود که «چرا و چگونه راهبرد امنیت ملی این کشور دچار چنین تحول مهم و دگردیسی افق گشایانه ای(تغییر پارادایمی) شده است؟» ایده ای که در پاسخ به این پرسش و در چارچوب نظریه برساخت گرا(سازه انگار) ارایه می شود آن است که «دگردیسی در راهبرد امنیتی روسیه مستلزم درک تعاملات سه متغیر محیط، گفتمان(یا نگرش) و رفتار است و بحرانی شدن محیط ژیوپلیتیک و ژیوکالچری این کشور به تقویت گفتمان دولت گرا و اقتدارگرا انجامیده و بر شکل گیری راهبرد امنیتی گسترده، تحریک آمیز و هجومی اثر گذاشته است». روش تحقیق در این مقاله از نوع کیفی با استفاده از ابزار تحلیل گفتمانی است و قلمرو زمانی تحقیق نیز عمدتا سال های 2014 تا 2021، قلمرو مکانی فدراسیون روسیه و منطقه پساشوروی و قلمرو موضوعی نیز مقوله امنیت را در بر می گیرد. نتایج حاصله از این پژوهش نشان می دهد که هر چه فشارهای محیطی بر روسیه افزایش یابد، نگرش های سیاسی تندتر و احتمال اقدامات تهاجمی افزایش می یابد و با توجه به برخورداری این کشور از موقعیت همپایگی راهبردی در حوزه هسته ای با آمریکا، امکان محدودسازی آن دشوارتر خواهد بود.

    کلید واژگان: ژئوپلیتیک, ژئوکالچر, روسیه, آمریکا, امنیت ملی}
    Jahangir Karami *
    Intrduction

    An important issue in this article is the problems in prioritizing security over economic development in Russia. Issues such as Russia's economic decline to 12th in the world, widespread poverty in society, a sharp decline in population growth and its security effects and most importantly, the transformation of the Cold War superpower into a "Third World superpower" due to massive exports of raw materials are important features of Russia that challenge this security priority. Based on these issues, the main question of this article is "why and how has the national security strategy of Russia become broader, more provocative and more aggressive?" The idea that can be put forward in response to this question is that "understanding the interactions of the three variables of environment, attitude and behavior can show a changing trend in Russia's national security strategy. The crisis in the country's geopolitical and environment has strengthened conservative, state-oriented and authoritarian attitudes, and has led to the formation of a broad, provocative and offensive security strategy, which has led to the reproduction of more difficult security conditions".

    Methodology

    The research method in this article is "qualitative analysis". The author tries to examine Russia's security strategy, the reasons and factors that shape it, especially focusing on the relationship between the geopolitical environment, political discourse and the thought of the Russian statehood. Then, on the basis of "available documents and data" and, most importantly, the latest official document issued by Russia President called "National Security Strategy of the Russian Federation" in July 2021, and of course, as necessary, other state's strategic documents, like the 2015 National Security Strategy, provide a "secondary analysis" of the reasons and factors associated with the development of Russia's national security strategy.

    Results and Discussion

    In the text, we discussed Russia's geopolitical implications and national security strategy, and found that the country's security environment is global, regional, and national, with specific geographical and cultural dimensions. And some fixed elements and dynamic geopolitical features of Russia in recent decades by three normative, institutional and strategic elements from the West (Western values, NATO expansion and missile shield deployment), non-governmental actors from the South (extremism and terrorism), and the flow of population from the east (Chinese immigrants), are seriously threatened. Russia's regional geopolitical environment is not limited to the western borders of Norway, Finland, and the Baltic Sea to the Black Sea and even Georgia in the Caucasus, or the eastern border with Japan and the Bering Strait with the United States. Rather, with the Arctic as a major security issue over the past decade, Moscow has been placed under a three-pronged fence. Since 2012, as Western security pressures have intensified, reactions in Russia have intensified, leading to the Ukraine crisis and the occupation of Crimea and intervention in the Ukrainian sovereignty since 2014.In a global and national geo-cultural environment, the discourse of liberal democracy and its norms and institutions was first welcomed in the 1990s in the absence of ideology in Russia. But then, with the beginning of Putin era, efforts were made to engage with him, and the strategy of participation and competition of the first decade of the 21st century reflected Russia's limited adaptation and response to liberal democracy. During this period, Kremlin officials still emphasized the concepts of Russian democracy, guided democracy, and sovereign democracy. But gradually, and especially after 2012, indigenous, religious, neo-Eurasian attitudes, especially neo-conservative thought and the re-reading of the works of conservative thinkers such as Ivan Eileen and Alexander Solzhenitsyn began, and their important concepts entered the texts  and training programs and became a dominant trend.Concepts such as powerful state, authoritarianism, Putinism, and constitutional change should be seen as signs of the reproduction of Tsarist and communist Russian government in the 21st century. The government has prioritized security over economic development and Inside Russia, it has addressed the issue of concentration and its requirements for control, personalization of power, and the dismantling of the concepts of democracy, elections, parliament, and public opinion and in the external environment, the use of force as a vital factor in the political and strategic culture of Kremlin history, as in Georgia, Ukraine and Syria, will not be neglected.

    Conclusion

    Thus the geopolitical and cultural environment of Russia and the concerns arising from their problems have made the mentality and attitude of the Russian elite more susceptible to the reproduction of the concepts and ideas of state and authoritarianism. This issue has become a key factor in the national cultural discourse and it has put the security strategy above the agenda of the Kremlin's governing system, a strategy that, on the one hand, has become a broader and more comprehensive umbrella for economic, cultural, social and diplomatic policies, and has placed them in the light of its necessities and requirements, and on the other hand, compared to previous periods, it seems more provocative, violent and aggressive

    Keywords: Geopolitics, Geo-culture, Russia, America, National Security}
  • علیرضا رستم آقایی، عبدالعلی قوام*، احمد نقیب زاده، کیهان برزگر

    مفهوم فرهنگ استراتژیک از نظر رفتارهای سیاست خارجی امروز کشورها دارای اهمیت اساسی است. این مفهوم که توسط جک اسنایدر ابداع شده است ، در هسته اصلی درک ماهیت روابط بین دولتی قرار دارد و بنابراین به عنوان اصلی ترین رفتارهای سیاست خارجی کشورهای مدرن ملت عمل می کند. مفهوم فرهنگ استراتژیک از یک طرف ریشه های سازه انگاری دارد در حالی که در طرف دیگر ضربه ای به "تیوری انتخاب منطقی" نیز وارد می کند. این مقاله اساسا با استفاده از رویکرد سازه گرایانه برای درک عناصر سازنده فرهنگ استراتژیک روسیه و ایران، پتانسیل آن در برقراری روابط راهبردی با ایران است. این مقاله نشان می دهد که ریشه فرهنگ های استراتژیک روسیه نسبت به اوراسیا اساسا بر اساس تجربیات متفاوت تاریخی مفهوم ایدیولوژی و اعتقادات رهبری آنها نسبت به منطقه است. بعلاوه فرهنگهای استراتژیک هر دو کشور همچنین با مفاهیم ما در مقابل دیگران که هسته اصلی الگوی ساره انگاری را تشکیل می دهند ، هدایت می شوند. در این مقاله استدلال می شود که با توجه به ویژگی فرهنگ استراتژیک روسیه که مبتنی بر قدرت سخت است، از پتانسیل اندکی برای برقراری روابط راهبردی میان دو کشور وجود دارد و دو کشور در بسیاری از حوزه ها مانند آسیای مرکزی قفقاز دریای کاسپین و حوزه انرژی با هم رقابت دارند. در این پژوهش منابع الکترونیک و نوشتاری استفاده شده است و اطلاعات به روش کتابخانه ای گردآوری شده است.

    کلید واژگان: اوراسیا, ایران, روابط راهبردی, روسیه, فرهنگ استراتژیک}
    Alireza Rostamaghae, Abdolali Ghavam *, Ahmad Naqibzadeh, Keyhan Barzegar

    The concept of strategic culture is of fundamental importance for the foreign policy behaviors of countries today. This concept, developed by Jack Snyder, is at the core of understanding the nature of intergovernmental relations and therefore serves as one of the main foreign policy behaviors of modern nations. The concept of strategic culture has constructivism roots on the one hand, and strikes at "rational choice theory" on the other. This article basically uses the constructivism approach to understand the constructive elements of the strategic culture of Russia and Iran and its potential to establish strategic relations with Iran. This article shows that the roots of Russia's strategic cultures towards Eurasia are mainly based on different historical experiences, the concept of ideology and their leadership beliefs about the region. In addition, the strategic cultures of both countries are also guided by the concepts of “we against others” that form the core of the constructivism paradigm. In this article, it is been argued that, owing to the fact that nature of Russia's strategic culture is based on hard power, there is little potential for strategic relations between the two countries and these two countries compete with each other in many areas such as central Asia, Caucasus and Caspian see on the field of energy. In this research, electronic and written sources have been used and the information is collected in a library method.

    Keywords: Eurasia, Iran, Russia, strategic culture, Strategic relation}
  • مریم وریج کاظمی، عزت الله عزتی*، عبدالرضا فرجی راد

    در اواخر قرن بیست اولویت یافتن مسایل اقتصادی به ویژه استراتژی انرژی باعث شکل گیری تفکر ژیواکونومی گردید، به طوریکه مناطق جغرافیای خاص که از نظر منابع و ذخایر انرژی همچنین دسترسی به بازارهای مصرف از نقش برجسته تری برخوردار بودند، ارزش استراتژیک پیدا کردند و توانستند در تحلیل های سیاسی-اقتصادی قدرت های بزرگ جهان جایگاه ویژه ای پیدا کنند. منابع سرشار انرژی و ترانزیت از مسیر روسیه در کشورهای خارج نزدیک، توجه قدرت های منطقه ای و فرا منطقه ای را به سمت خود جلب و تنش های را به وجود آورده است، از این رو تلاش برای یکپارچگی فضای ژیواکونومی و تلفیق آن با بازی های ژیوپلیتیکی مورد توجه استراتژیست های روسیه است تا از طریق آن شرایط را به نفع سیاست های روسیه تغییر دهند. پژوهش حاضر با روش تحلیلی و توصیفی و استفاده منابع علمی و پژوهشی معتبر درصدد پاسخ به این پرسش است که جایگاه ژیواکونومی روسیه در استراتژی های سیاسی-اقتصادی کشورهای خارج نزدیک چگونه ارزیابی می شود که بر اساس یافته های پژوهش به این نتیجه می رسیم با توجه به حجم ذخایر انرژی کشورهای خارج نزدیک، خطوط گسترده ترانزیتی روسیه و نفوذ شرکتهای نفت و گاز روسیه، کشورهای خارج نزدیک و روسیه از طریق استراتژی ژیواکونومی انرژی ضمن تضمین امنیت سیاسی-اقتصادی متقابل، منافع مشترکی را با یکدیگر دارند، که البته این موضوع برای روسیه دارای اهمیت ژیواستراتژی و ژیوپلیتیک است چراکه روسیه از طریق ابزار انرژی نفت و گاز که زیر مجموعه تفکرات ژیواکونومی را شکل می دهد به اهداف خود که همانا بسط و گسترش هژمون اقتصادی و سیاسی است، خواهد رسید.

    کلید واژگان: ژئواکونومی, روسیه, کشورهای خارج نزدیک, انرژی, نفت و گاز}
    Maryam Verij Kazemi, Ezatulah Ezati *, Abdolreza Faraji Rad
    Introduction

    Rich energy resources and transit through Russia in Commonwealth of Independent States have attracted the attention of regional and supra-regional power and it created tensions. Thus, the attempt to integrate the geo-economic space and integrate it with geopolitical games is interesting for Russian strategists in order to change the situation in favor of their policies. Considering the volume of energy reserves  of  Commonwealth of Independent States, Russia’s transit line will be extensive and the influence of Russian oil and gas companies on Commonwealth of Independent States is obvious through energy geo-economic strategy while ensuring mutual political economic security. There is a common interests between them, Of course, this issue is a geostrategic and geopolitical importance for Russia’s issue because Russia will achieve its goals, which are the expansion of economic and political hegemony, through oil and gas energy tools It forms a subset of geo-economic thinking.

    Methodology

    The research method of this article is analytical-descriptive. The information was collected and translated using valid scientific- specialized articles from academic and research sites, also the concept of geo-economic thinking, the role of oil and gas energy and routes are explained. Transit in this region is assessed, according Russian’s  maintenance and monitoring the region in global level. Monitoring and intervention through geo-economic considerations are discussed too.

    Results and discussion

    Competition over the control and supervision of oil and gas extraction centers and transition lines are an important factor for the hegemony of energy-owning countries. Meanwhile, rivalries and conflicts between Russia and foreign countries, especially those with oil and Gas energy reserves, over capacity building for investment and maximizing national-commercial interests have led to geopolitical conflicts by trans-regional countries and it caused the creation of new structures to improve infrastructure. It will affect trades and the movement of goods and services, as foreign countries in which do not have close access to ports and open waters, this will pave the way for new opportunities for Russia to remove such barriers.

    Conclusion

    Russia’s approach to foreign countries is nothing more than a fundamental change in its economy ,and it efforts to resolve local-regional problems and  conflicts. In this regard can involve the broad  participation of these countries. Russia and foreign countries are close to each other in economic-trade matters, and membership in alliances such as the shanghai cooperation Organization which has largely allayed Russia’s concerns about foreign influence, but the influence of the United States and its allies in the region couldn’t be ignored. However, it creates a security vacuum that could challenge Russia’s geo-economic goals.

    Keywords: Geo-economi, Russia, Commonwealth of Independent States(CIS), energy, Oil & Gas, economi}
  • سید نورالدین واحدپور، محسن دیانت*، حامد روشن چشم
    خاورمیانه به علت داشتن مرزهای نامتجانس سیاسی، نگرش های بعثی، ملی گرایانه، عروبت و جنبش های اسلامی و تضادهای انسانی از یک سو، و حضور کنشگران فرا منطقه ای از سوی دیگر، از ابتدای قرن بیستم تاکنون محل نضج و سازماندهی گروه های بنیادگرای اسلامی بوده است. در این منطقه ژیوپلیتیکی و حساس تاثیرگذاری دین به طور اعم و بنیادگرایی دینی به طور اخص در آن به صورتی کاملا آشکار نمایان شده و مصادیق بارز آن حوادث سال های اخیر در کشورهای عراق، سوریه، یمن و... است. با توجه به این مقدمه سوال اصلی مقاله این است که راهبرد سیاست خارجی روسیه در خاورمیانه در پرتو گسترش افراط گرایی دینی با تاکید بر چهار بازیگر اصلی ایران، ترکیه، عربستان و سوریه از ابتدای قرن حاضر و به ویژه سالیان متاخر چگونه بوده است؟ روش انجام مقاله توصیفی- تحلیلی است. در 10 سال اخیر، تمام حملات تروریستی صورت گرفته در قلمرو شوروی، از سوی سلفی های تکفیری بوده کرملین نگران است موفقیت هر چند نسبی افراط گرایی دینی در خاورمیانه، باعث تشویق جمعیت بزرگ مسلمان منطقه ی آسیای مرکزی شود و در نتیجه، احتمال مداخله ی بین المللی را فراهم سازد. علاوه بر این، احتمال می رود که بنیادگرایان مسلمان در چچن بار دیگر خواهان جدایی از فدراسیون روسیه شوند. بدون تردید افزایش نفوذ اسلام رادیکال در میان نیروهای شورشی سوریه، عزم روسیه برای حمایت از رژیم اسد را تقویت کرده است.
    کلید واژگان: روسیه, افراط گرایی دینی, بازدارندگی, منطقه خاورمیانه}
    Seyed Noureddin Vahedpour, Mohsen Diant *, Hamed Roshan Cheshm
    The Middle East has been a place of maturation and organization of Islamic fundamentalist groups since the beginning of the twentieth century due to its heterogeneous political borders, Ba'athist, nationalist attitudes, affiliation and Islamic movements and human conflicts on the one hand, and the presence of trans-regional activists on the other. have been. In this geopolitical and sensitive region, the influence of religion in general and religious fundamentalism in particular is quite evident, and the obvious examples are the events of recent years in Iraq, Syria, Yemen, and so on. Given this introduction, the main question of the article is what has been Russia's foreign policy strategy in the Middle East in the light of the spread of religious extremism with emphasis on the four main actors in Iran, Turkey, Saudi Arabia and Syria since the beginning of this century and especially in recent years? The method of doing an article is descriptive-analytical. For the past 10 years, all terrorist attacks in Soviet territory have been carried out by Takfiri Salafis. To provide international. In addition, it is likely that Muslim fundamentalists in Chechnya will once again demand secession from the Russian Federation. Undoubtedly, the growing influence of radical Islam among the Syrian rebel forces has strengthened Russia's determination to support the Assad regime.
    Keywords: Russia, Religious extremism, Deterrence, Middle East}
  • محمدرضا توکلی مرند*، مجیدرضا مومنی، سید محمد طباطبائی

    عوامل مادی و ژیوپلیتیکی همواره از مهم‌ترین عوامل تاثیرگذار بر مناسبات سیاسی کشورها در قبال انرژی بوده ‌است اما علاوه بر این، نحوه درک یک تصمیم گیرنده(رهبر) از جهان، خود یا دیگری برای درک این مسئله که چرا برخی تصمیمات گرفته می-شوند و برخی دیگر توسط آن‌ها کنار گذاشته می‌شوند حیاتی است. این مقاله با هدف در نظر گرفتن برداشت رهبران، به ویژه مفهوم سازی متفاوت روسیه و کشورهای عضو اتحادیه اروپا (آلمان و لهستان) از یکدیگر، برای درک دوگانگی تعارض/ همکاری در بخش انرژی استفاده شده است. این نوشتار با استفاده از منابع اسنادی و اینترنتی معتبر و با بهره گیری از استراتژی قیاسی و در چارچوب ریالیسم نیوکلاسیک به تبیین - تحلیل این سوال می‌پردازد که برداشت رهبران چه تاثیری بر روابط روسیه و اتحادیه اروپا در قبال ژیوپلیتیک انرژی بعد از بحران اوکراین داشته و به چه صورتی روابط آنها را شکل داده است؟ فرضیه‌‌ مطرح اینکه، برداشت رهبران نقش مهم و فزاینده ای بر منطق تعارض/ همکاری در ژیوپلیتیک انرژی داشته و دیگری دوست- دشمن را در روابط انرژی روسیه و اتحادیه اروپا دوباره فعال کرده است. در هیچ مورد دیگری چنین دوگانگی همانند پروژه خط لوله نورد استریم2، واضح‌تر نمی‌باشد. در تجزیه و تحلیل موضوع، در حالی که پژوهش حاضر اهمیت عوامل مادی و ژیوپلیتیکی را نادیده نمی‌گیرد، اما متغیر فهم و برداشت رهبران هر دو سوی روسیه و اتحادیه اروپا (آلمان و لهستان) را به عنوان متغیری مهم و اساسی در شکل دادن به روابط آنها در قبال نورد استریم 2، نتیجه می گیرد.

    کلید واژگان: نورد استریم 2, برداشت رهبران, روسیه, آلمان, لهستان}
    Mohammadreza Tavakkoli Marand *, Majidreza Momeni, Seyyed Mohammad Tabataba'i

    Material and geopolitical factors always have been one of the most important factors affecting countries' political relations with energy, but in addition, the way one decision-maker (leader) understands the world, himself or another, is vital to understand why some decisions are made and others are excluded by them. This paper aims to consider the perceptions of leaders, especially the different conceptualization of Russia and EU member states (Germany and Poland) from each other, to understand the duality of conflict/cooperation in the energy sector. Using reliable documentary and internet resources and using deductive strategy and in the framework of neoclassical realism, this article explains the question of how leaders' perceptions have affected Russia-EU relations with geopolitic of energy after the Ukraine crisis and how has it shaped their relations? The hypothesis is that the perception of leaders has played an increasingly important role in the logic of conflict/cooperation in geopolitic of energy, and the other has reactivation of friend-foe in Russian-EU energy relations. In no other case is such a dichotomy as the Nord Stream 2 pipeline project, clearer. In analyzing the subject, while the present study does not ignore the importance of material and geopolitical factors, it concludes the understanding and perception variable of leaders on both Russia and the European Union (Germany and Poland) as an important and fundamental variable in shaping their relationship with Nord Stream 2.

    Keywords: Nord Stream 2, Leader's Perceptions, Russia, Germany, Poland}
  • دانیال رضاپور*، رضا سیمبر، احمد جانسیز

    با پایان یافتن جنگ سرد، ساختار ژیوپلیتیکی اوراسیای بزرگ روسیه، چین، آمریکا و اتحادیه اروپا را درگیر رقابت بر سر اوکراین و دریای جنوبی چین کرده است. از چشم انداز مسکو و پکن، گسترش آمریکا، ناتو و اتحادیه اروپا به شرق با هدف تحدید نفوذ منطقه ای روسیه و چین طرح ریزی شده بود. براین اساس، اوکراین و دریای جنوبی چین نیز به حوزه ای برای کشمکش میان روسیه، چین و بازیگران غربی بر سر نفوذ منطقه ای و حتی عاملی برای اختلاف میان آمریکا و اتحادیه اروپا منجر شد که این مساله بستر تشدید تنش ها و افزایش بی ثباتی در منطقه اوراسیای بزرگ را فراهم کرده است. با بیان این مقدمه، مولفین سوال اصلیود را این چنین مطرح می کنند که تنش و اختلافات ژیوپلیتیکی بین آمریکا، اتحادیه اروپا و روسیه در قبال بحران اوکراین و اختلافات آمریکا با چین در دریای جنوبی چین و عدم همراهی اتحادیه اروپا با هژمون چه تاثیری بر روابط چندجانبه این کشورها دارد؟ فرضیه مقاله این گونه مطرح می شود که اختلافات و تنش های میان اتحادیه اروپا، آمریکا، روسیه و سرپیچی از خواسته های هژمون در بحران اوکراین، تشدید اختلافات آمریکا، چین و همکاری های سیاسی، اقتصادی اتحادیه اروپا با دو کشور روسیه و چین ضمن تضعیف روابط امنیتی اتحادیه اروپا با آمریکا، زمینه را برای گذار از نظام تک قطبی به نظام چند قطبی فراهم نموده است. روش تحقیق در این مقاله، توصیفی- تحلیلی و ابزار گردآوری اطلاعات کتابخانه ای و فضای مجازی است.

    کلید واژگان: اتحادیه اروپا, آمریکا, روسیه, چین, موازنه قوا}
    reza simbar, ahmad jansiz

    With the end of the war, the geopolitical structure of the great Eurasian region of Russia, China, the United States and the European Union has engaged in competing for Ukraine and the South China Sea. From the perspective of Moscow and Beijing, the expansion of the United States, NATO and the European Union to the East was aimed at limiting the regional influence of Russia and China. As a result, Ukraine and the South Sea of ​​China have also led to a conflict zone between Russia, China and Western actors over regional influence and even a factor in the disagreement between the United States and the European Union, which is the basis for intensifying tensions and increasing Uncertainty has been created in the Greater Eurasia region. By stating this introduction, the authors suggest that their main question is that the tensions and geopolitical disputes between the United States, the European Union and Russia over the Ukrainian crisis, and the US-China differences with China in the South China Sea and the failure of the European Union with hegemony On the multilateral relations of these countries? The hypothesis of the article is that the disagreements and tensions between the European Union, the United States, Russia and the hegemonic demands in the Ukrainian crisis, the intensification of US-China divisions, and the political, economic cooperation of the EU with the two countries Russia and China, while weakening the European Union's security relations with the United States, have provided the ground for transition from a monopoly to a multi-polar system. The research method in this paper is descriptive-analytical and a tool for collecting library and virtual information

    Keywords: EU, US, Russia, China, balance of power}
  • زهرا زمردی انباجی، امیرمحمد حاجی یوسفی*

    با آغاز رقابت های داخلی و منطقه ای در سوریه (2011)، روسیه به همراه ایران و حزب الله لبنان به حمایت دیپلماتیک و نظامی از دولت بشاراسد مبادرت کرد؛ اما از سپتامبر 2015 مسکو وارد تحولات میدانی سوریه شد. ازآنجایی که ورود روسیه به جنگ سوریه و خاورمیانه پس از فروپاشی شوروی بی سابقه است؛ بنابراین سوال مطرح در پژوهش «چرایی حمایت نظامی مستقیم روسیه در سال 2015 از حکومت بشار اسد است؟». ادعای مقاله این است از زمانی که پوتین رییس جمهور روسیه شد (1999)، یکی از مهم ترین اهدافش تبدیل شدن روسیه به قدرت برتر در حوزه انرژی بوده است. از دید این مقاله رقابت بازیگران منطقه ای (به ویژه ترکیه) می توانست عاملی مهم در عدم دستیابی روسیه به اهدافش باشد؛ از این رو در سال 2015 با پیشروی نیروهای تروریستی تحت حمایت مستقیم ترکیه به سمت دمشق، روسیه تصمیم به دخالت مستقیم نظامی در این کشور گرفت. بنابراین فرضیه مقاله بدین قرار است «روسیه با نفوذ ژیوپلیتیک در سوریه درصدد کنترل بر یکی از مسیرهای اصلی انتقال انرژی در منطقه غرب آسیا و تبدیل شدن به قدرت برتر انرژی است».

    کلید واژگان: روسیه, ژئوپلیتیک انرژی, سوریه, غرب آسیا}
    Zahra Zomorodi Anbaji, AmirMohammad Haji Yousefi *
    Introduction

    In the early 2010th, there was a tide of discontent first in North Africa and then in the Middle East. Syria led by Bashar Al-Assad did not stay away from the public tide of dissatisfaction. Although people initially expressed their unhappiness with the Syrian government, yet by the interference of regional and international actors starting in August 2011, it turned into an international crisis. Russia is among the most important international actors in Syria. Since the time of worsening of the Syrian crisis, Russia along with Iran made diplomatic and political efforts in order to prevent the direct military invasion of the West to Syria like what happened in Libya. Putin announced repeatedly in press conferences addressing his Western counterparts, that military actions of the West in Libya and earlier in Iraq and Afghanistan is doomed to fail and Moscow is trying to reach to a political solution in the framework Geneva peace initiative and based on a multilateral negotiation between the Assad government and its opponents.However, in September 2015, upon the official request of Bashar Al-Assad, Russia decided to intervene directly in Syria which as a result turned the balance of power in Assad’s favor. Therefore, the question raised here, is why the Putin-led Russia decided in 2015 to start a direct military presence in Syria? In other words, in 2011 through 2015, Russia was striving to find a peaceful solution to Syrian crisis; however, in 2015, it decided for a direct military involvement in Syria, and along with Iran and Hezbollah of Lebanon, support Assad against his opponents. This article`s main argument is that “Russia with its geopolitical influence in the Middle East including Syria, seeks to take control over the main energy transfer lines in the Middle East and become the global energy hegemon”. So, the independent variable is “the geopolitics of energy i.e., Russian policy of becoming the global energy hegemon” and the dependent variable is the “the direct military presence of Russia in Syria since 2015”.

    Results and discussion

    In this line, the authors first mention the original desire in Moscow after the collapse of the Soviet Union to bring back the Russian Federation to its initial place in international system and turn it to a argue that it is first stated that after the collapse of Russia the leaders in Kremlin were after the return of Moscow to its initial place in the international system; however, the approach and view of the Russian leaders to how become an internationally recognized superpower were different. Yeltsin, the first Russian president, with his Atlantic aids hoped with a cordial relation with the West especially the United States, could achieve this goal. However, the result was nothing but the collapse of the Russian economy; in a way that in the late 1990s, observers suspected that the Russian economy is no more capable of recovering. But, since Putin became president and following his rule over Russia for several years, all political equations changed. Putin emphasizing on Russia’s comparative advantage, saw energy as an important factor in Russia’s power. Consequently, since 1999 when Putin came to power, he tried to make Russia take control over energy transfer routes and energy exporting countries in Central Asia and even the Middle East. To this end, during the 2000s, when projects such as Nabucco and Trans Anatolian pipeline came underway by the Western (mainly European) countries aimed at reducing their oil and gas dependence on Moscow, Russia, on the other hand, started the construction of alternative pipelines and also prevented countries such as Turkmenistan to join the Nabucco and Trans Caspian pipelines.

    Conclusions

    At the onset of a new crisis in Ukraine in 2014, Europe sought to break dependence on Russia; so, it seemed that the Middle East with its huge gas and oil resources, was a good alternative for Russia. Therefore, countries such as Turkey and Syria as energy transfer routes and Iran, Qatar and Iraq as those with energy (especially gas) resources, were considered potential rivals with Russia. In a view to Syrian crisis and Russian military intervention in Syria in 2015, it is understood that with his military intervention in Syria, Putin succeeded to control all his potential energy rivals. In other words, in 2015, while the Syria-Iran-Hezbollah-Iraq axis was in a relative weakness and anti-Syrian rebel fighters on the one hand and ISIS on the other hand, had seized a vast territory in Syria and Iraq, Russia involved militarily in Syria with the goal of fighting terrorism and preventing the collapse of Bashar Assad. This intervention which is said to be encouraged by Iran, succeeded to limit the Islamic Republic`s maneuvering power as the Russian rival in the field of energy policies. Further, Moscow`s support for Iraq against the ISIS kept this country in line of Russian geopolitical and geo-economics interests in the Middle East. Finally, the Russian military involvement in Syria could prevent Turkey, as one of the most important energy transfer routes, become the major player in the Syrian crisis and thus a serious rival for Russia. Further, Moscow succeeded to distance Turkey from its Western allies and bring it to its orbit.

    Keywords: the Middle East, Geopolitics of energy, Russia, Syria}
  • محمود واثق، محمدباقر قالیباف، مجید غلامی*

    سازمان پیمان آتلانتیک شمالی (ناتو) اکنون شانزدهمین همسایه مرزهای آبی و خاکی جمهوری اسلامی ایران است. این سازمان با تاکید بر راهبرد تامین امنیت منطقه جغرافیایی یوروآتلانتیک با حضور پویا در خارج از منطقه به قلمروسازی در مناطق مختلف جهان از جمله در مناطق پیرامونی جمهوری اسلامی ایران پرداخته است. حضور فراجغرافیایی ناتو در مرزهای شمالی جمهوری اسلامی ایران با تاکید بر مناطق بالتیک، دریای سیاه، و اروپای شرقی موضوع اصلی پژوهش حاضر است. نویسندگان تلاش دارند به این پرسش اصلی پاسخ دهند که ناتو چگونه در حال قلمروسازی در مناطق ژیوپلیتیکی شمال دور جمهوری اسلامی ایران است؟ با روش توصیفی‏- تحلیلی و با استفاده از روش گردآوری اطلاعات کتابخانه‏ای، اینترنتی، و رسانه‏ای، فرضیه اصلی مقاله عبارت است از اینکه «ناتو تلاش دارد برای حفظ و گسترش حاکمیت ارزش‏های لیبرال‏- دموکراسی و بازار آزاد به‏عنوان موتور محرک نظام جهانی معاصر با بهره‏بردن از راهبردهای گسترش مرزهای سیاسی رسمی، گسترش مرزهای سیاسی غیررسمی، ماموریت‏های بشردوستانه، همکاری‏های دفاعی و امنیتی و گسترش دفاتر سازمانی و اداری، قلمرو خود را با حضور در مناطق ژیوپلیتیکی شمال دور جمهوری اسلامی ایران گسترش دهد». یافته‏های پژوهش حاضر نشان می‏دهد افزایش همکاری‏های ناتو با همسایگان جمهوری اسلامی ایران در منطقه‏های ژیوپلیتیکی شمال دور امنیت ملی جمهوری اسلامی ایران را با پیامدهای مختلف یک، نظامی و امنیتی، دو، سیاسی، سه، اقتصادی و تجاری، و چهار، فرهنگی و اجتماعی مواجه می‏کند. بنابراین، ضروری است مسیولان ذی‏ربط در جمهوری اسلامی ایران توجه به فعالیت‏های این سازمان در مناطق ژیوپلیتیکی شمال دور کشور را مورد توجه جدی قرار دهند.

    کلید واژگان: ایران, بالتیک, دریای سیاه و اروپای شرقی, روسیه, قلمروسازی, ناتو}
    M. Vasegh, Mohamadbagher Ghalibaf, MAJID GHOLAMI *
    Introduction 

    After the establishment of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) in 1949, while aiming to keep the Russians second-guessing, the Americans deeply involved and the Germans neutral, NATO has so far shifted its security priorities twice. The first shift in priority came in 1999 when Warsaw Pact’s priority shifted to identifying new threats and cooperation and association with former enemies, and the second time in 2010 resulting in its concurrent accompaniment by the priorities of collective defense, crisis management, and common security. The recent shift led to the establishment of the third generation of NATO, which leads the organization more than before to attend outside its traditional region. By providing the most comprehensive interpretation of its existence, NATO is present in all parts of the world and engages in various military, security, political, social, cultural, environmental, scientific, and even sports activities with various political units. This trans-geographical presence of NATO, which is accompanied by the creation of formal organizational structures, has led the organization to be directly and indirectly present at all borders of Islamic Republic of Iran; a presence that has irreparable effects on national security and the regional role of Islamic Republic of Iran; not only in the short term but in the future as well. Accordingly, the subject matter of this article is to examine the quality in which the boundaries of this organization are expanding in the geopolitical regions in the far north of Islamic Republic of Iran; where the authors are trying to proceed using the concept of geopolitical territoriality. The main question of the research is “How is NATO expanding their territory in the Baltic region, Black Sea, and Eastern Europe?” Areas in which post-soviet union power vacuum, enormous sources of energy, and racial and ethnic diversity have gained them double-fold significance. In response to the present question, the authors believe that "NATO is trying to preserve and extend the sovereignty of liberal values of democracy and the free market as the driving force of contemporary global order by utilizing the strategies of expanding official political boundaries, expanding unofficial political boundaries, humanitarian missions, defense and security cooperation and the expansion of organizational and administrative offices; further expand its territory through its presence in the Black Sea, Russia and the geopolitical regions of the Baltic Sea and Eastern Europe in the far north of Islamic Republic of Iran.” It is noteworthy to mention regarding the research background, that despite a general lack of geopolitical studies on NATO in domestic literature; a lack of research and studies focusing on its new approaches based on different regions and countries is strongly felt.

    Methodology

    The type of research is fundamental. The method of data collection is library resources and documentary research while the data analysis method is deductive reasoning and the data evaluation approach is based on critical rationality.

    Results and Discussion

    In a geopolitical clarification, NATO is expanding its territory; in other words, NATO is trying to expand its geographical value outside the region to preserve and expand the sovereignty of liberal values of democracy and the free market; as the driving force behind the contemporary global order and this means territoriality. Accordingly, the review of NATO's documents and performance and its leaders’ speeches show that they have adopted approaches to this end, which include: A: Expansion of official political boundaries B: Expansion of participatory political boundaries C: Defense and security cooperation D: Expansion of organizational and administrative offices Conclusion The planning and operation of NATO's territorialization and territoriality projects as a military-security institution that pursues the protection of liberal values of democracy and the free market, which is in clear contradiction to the slogans and objectives of the Islamic Revolution of Islamic Republic of Iran; communicates the fact that these agendas are manifestly in conflict with the discourse of the Islamic Republic as well as the geopolitical territorialization of our country. It is evident that neighboring this organization, which is not only present on the northern borders of Islamic Republic of Iran, but also on the eastern, southern and western borders, has its consequences for Islamic Republic of Iran's national security. Given these interpretations, the expansion of NATO's sphere of influence in the geopolitical areas of Russia, the Baltic region, the Black Sea and Eastern Europe, although above-mentioned areas do not share a common border with our country, even so, our country’s national security faces serious challenges in different dimensions. - Political consequences - Trade and economic consequences - Military and security implications - Cultural and social consequences Finally, the authors recommend that attention be paid to the national security of the country so that the pertinent authorities show more attention and supervision to the consequences of the organization's geopolitical territorialization and therefore the following operational proposals are presented in this regard: - Bilateral and multilateral talks with NATO official and unofficial members located on the northern borders of Islamic Republic of Iran on the subject of “The damages of NATO’s expansive territorialization to the national security of Islamic Republic of Iran and the challenges lying ahead of the bilateral or multilateral relations”; - Strengthening our security and intelligence presence in the countries of the northern region of Islamic Republic of Iran, in which NATO is active, with the aim of monitoring and observing the activities of this organization; - Holding specialized and international conferences on the issue of the damages of NATO's territorialization in the northern borders of Islamic Republic of Iran and its effect on increasing in the crises of Central Asia, the Caucasus and the Caspian region, and further efforts to introduce NATO and its multiple scientific, cultural, political, economical, military, social and artistic elements in Islamic Republic of Iran's scientific and academic literature has been seriously neglected.

    Keywords: NATO, Reterritorializing, Iran, Baltic, Russia}
  • احسان یاری*

    بروز بحران اوکراین، به‏ عنوان یکی از مهم‏ترین مناقشات قرن بیست‏ و ‏یکم، روسیه را در مقابل غرب قرار داده و به یکی از بحث‏ برانگیزترین مسایل در عرصه بین‏الملل تبدیل شده است. روی کار آمدن غرب‏گرایان در انتخابات 2004 در اوکراین و اتفاقات متعاقب آن موجب گسترش تنش در روابط غرب و روسیه شد. تشدید این تنش‏ها باعث شد روسیه نسبت به منافع سنتی خود در اوکراین احساس خطر کند و در پی تشدید بحران، روسیه شبه‏جزیره کریمه را به خود الحاق کرد. الحاق شبه‏ جزیره کریمه توسط روسیه با واکنش تند غرب و اروپا مواجه شد و تحریم ‏های سخت و گسترده‏ای علیه روسیه اعمال شد. این مقاله در پی پاسخ به این پرسش اساسی است که روسیه از الحاق کریمه چه منافعی عایدش می‏شود که حاضر به تحمل تحریم‏ های شدید غرب و اروپا شده است؟ و اینکه چه عامل یا عوامل ژیوپلیتیکی باعث تصمیم و حرکت روسیه مبنی بر الحاق شبه‏جزیره کریمه به این کشور شد و چه اهداف ژیوپلیتیکی را از این تصمیم و اقدام مدنظر داشته است. استدلال اصلی این مقاله آن است که روسیه به ‏دلیل ناتوانی تثبیت قدرت خود در اوکراین و حفظ منافع حداکثری‏اش و احساس خطری که به از دست دادن منافعش در این کشور می‏کرد، در راستای حفظ منافع خود در اوکراین شبه‏ جزیره کریمه را، که دارای موقعیت ژیوپلیتیکی منحصربه‏ فرد در اوکراین است و می‏تواند منافع ژیواستراتژیکی، ژیواکونومیکی، و ژیوکالچری مورد نظر روسیه در اوکراین را تا حد قابل توجهی تامین نماید، به خود الحاق کرد. روش پژوهش در این مقاله تحلیلی-تبیینی است.در این پژوهش با بهره‏ گیری از منابع کتابخانه ای و اینترنتی و با رویکردی ژیوپلیتیکی و با تلفیق نظریات ژیوپلیتیک سنتی و جدید به بررسی مسئله پژوهش پرداخته شده است.

    کلید واژگان: اتحادیه اروپا, اوکراین, پوتین, روسیه, ژئوپلیتیک, کریمه}
    Ehsan Yari *

    Putin and the annexation of Crimea to Russia; geopolitical analysis of Russia's action in annexation of Crimea peninsulaExtended abstract

    Introduction

    Appearance of the Ukraine crisis as one of the most important controversies of 21 century, has put Russia in front of the west and became to one of the most controversial issues in international arena. Manifestation of west advocators in the election of 2004 in Ukraine and the next events of it conduced to the extension of tension in the relations of west and Russia. The intensification of these tensions brought to the creation of feeling danger in classical interests of Russia and after the exacerbation of crisis, Russia inserted Crimea peninsula to itself. The annexation of Crimea peninsula to Russia faced with a bitter reaction of the west and Europe and they imposed hard and widespread bans against Russia. This article tries to answer this critical question that what interests does Russia gain by the annexation of Crimea to itself which has caused to the endurance of hard bans of the west and Europe and also what geopolitical element or factors caused to Russian's decision and its action about the annexation of Crimea peninsula to this country and what geopolitical aims does it have about this decision and action?

    Methodology

    The research method of this article is analytical- explanatory method and it has studied the problem of research by using library and internet resources with a geopolitical approach and by incorporation of classic and modern geopolitical theories.

    Results and discussion

    The year of 2014 was the important and controversial year for the Russia. The Ukraine crisis and the annexation of Crimea to Russia converted the relation of the west and Russia to the congelation point. In reality, Ukraine is a club for the confrontation of west and Russia and westerns tries to drag Ukraine in to their block to maintain a strategy of geopolitical oppression on Russia. This matter has caused to Russia's fear about its interests in the western and south western borders. Ukraine because of its geostrategic situation as a buffer situation of Ukraine between the Russia and west (NATO) and supplying the security of Russian's navy and the security of black sea and also because of the Sevastopol Island's location in Crimea has a particular importance for Russia. Putin wants to use Ukraine as a buffer region between itself and Europe (especially NATO). This policy from the age of Stalin was a safe policy. In this time, the annexation of Baltic region to European Union and NATO has caused to the failure of creating secure buffer region of Russia. By repetition of the crisis in Ukraine we can see the fear of Russians and Putin's efforts for maintaining Ukraine as a buffer region to protect the Russia's interests. From the geo economical view, Russia pays attention to the Ukraine's market of energy consumption and also regards this country as a pathway of transferring the Russia's energy to Europe. More than 90 percent of Russia's energy exports to Europe by the path of Ukraine. More than this, Ukraine is one of the important importer of energy especially gas from Russia. Besides these existent energy resources in Ukraine, Russia has noted to other mineral resources such as the resources of Manganese, Iron, Phosphate, Uranium, Titanium, and Granite and … and also agricultural products. From the geo cultural view, culture and identity of the Ukraine people is important for Russia because Ukraine more than being one of the soviet's republics and Kiev which now is a political center of Ukraine, from the past centuries has been a center for Russian dynasties and still between the Russian language is called as metropolises of Russia and has cultural and national interests to Russia. So by regarding to the ethnic and linguistic similarities between the populations of Russia and Ukraine, localism and advocation of Ukraine's Russians is a geocultural ends of the Russia. Moreover, Russia pays attention to the protection of culture extension and Russian values in Ukraine.

    Conclusion

    What is scrutinized in this research was researching this problem that what geopolitical element or factors conduced to Russia's movement and decision to annexation of Crimea peninsula to this country and what geopolitical ends does Russia have to make this decision and action; in the other words, what geopolitical interests and values does Russia describe and appoint for itself which by this action has put itself in front of the west and has accepted the consequences of this action such as the bans of west. An answer that was given to this question is that Russia because of disability to confirm its power in Ukraine completely and feeling danger about leaning of Ukraine to west and loosing its interests in this country, for maintaining its minimum interests in Ukraine, will annex Crimea peninsula to itself in order to use the important geopolitical situation of Ukraine and this island in the geo strategic, geo economic and geocultural forms and protect its interests. Russia after the annexation of Crimea, undergoes the most boisterous bans in financial and economic zones that impose high pressures to Russia's economy; nonetheless, Putin doesn’t accept to condone Ukraine and Crimea because he thinks that his interests depends on the dominance on Crimea. So Putin tried hard to annex Crimea to Russia and despite of European and western bans doesn’t accept to leave Crimea because loosing Crimea is equal to loosing all interests in Ukraine and widely in Europe and its vicinity (black sea, Mediterranean Sea and …) for him. So by regarding to these geopolitical interests that Ukraine has for the Russia, it is unlikely that Russia leaves Crimea unless more important and valuable interests convince it which it is unseemly and impossible. Key words: Russia, Putin, Crimea peninsula, geopolitics, Ukraine, European Union.

    Keywords: Russia, Putin, Crimea, Geopolitics, Ukraine}
  • حمید درج، علی باقری دولت آبادی*

    سوریه یکی از کشورهایی است که از اهمیت ژیوپلیتیک و ژیواستراتژیک خاصی در سیاست خاورمیانه ای روسیه برخوردار است. امروزه با شکل گیری بحران سیاسی در سوریه، این کشور عرصه اختلافات و رقابت های ژیوپلیتیک دو کشور آمریکا و روسیه گشته و هر یک بر اساس اهداف و منافع خود به ایفای نقش در این بحران می پردازند. سوال اصلی پژوهش حاضر این است که دلایل اهمیت استراتژیک سوریه در تقابل روسیه با آمریکا چیست؟ و چرا روسیه این گونه از بشار اسد حمایت می کند؟ فرضیه اصلی پژوهش این است که در رقابت های آمریکا و روسیه، سوریه آخرین برگ برنده مسکو برای حفظ قدرت منطقه ای خود و باقی ماندن در جرگه قدرت های بزرگ است؛ لذا شکست و سرنگونی اسد، افول قدرت در مسکو را به نمایش می گذارد. یافته های پژوهش نشان می دهد؛ با توجه به موقعیت ژیوپلیتیک سوریه در منطقه و اهمیت استراتژیک این کشور در معادلات بین المللی، مسکو در تلاش است تا ضمن حفظ نظام سیاسی سوریه با بهره مندی از ابزارهای مختلف(سیاسی، نظامی،...)، بیشترین نقش را در آینده سوریه ایفاء کند؛ تا بتواند ساختار و نظم کلی در منطقه را حفظ و مانع از گسترش دخالت و نفوذ غرب به ویژه آمریکا در منطقه شود. مقاله پیش رو با استفاده از روش توصیفی-تحلیلی و در چارچوب نظریه ریالیسم تهاجمی شکل می گیرد.

    کلید واژگان: روسیه, آمریکا, بحران سوریه, ژئوپلیتیک, رئالیسم تهاجمی}
    hamid dorj, Ail Bagheri Dolatabadi *

    Syria is one of the countries that has a particular geopolitical and geo-strategic importance in Russian Middle East policy. Today, with the emergence of the political crisis in Syria, this country has become a geopolitical divide and rivalry between the two countries, the US and Russia, each playing a role in their own interests and goals.The main question of the present research is that the reasons for Syria's strategic importance in Russia's opposition to the United States? And why does Russia support Bashar al-Assad? The main hypothesis of the study is that in the US and Russia's competitions, Syria is the last winner of Moscow to maintain its regional power and stay in the major powers' jirga; therefore, Assad's defeat and overthrow of power decline in Moscow It leaves. According to the geopolitical position of Syria in the region and its strategic importance in international equations, Moscow is trying to preserve the Syrian political system by using various instruments (political, military, ...), play the most role in the future of Syria;In order to maintain the overall structure and order in the region, and to prevent the spread of Western interference and influence, especially in the United States. The preceeding article is formulated using a descriptive-analytic method and within the framework of an invasive realism theory.

    Keywords: Russia, America, Syria Crisis, Geopolitics, Aggressive realism)}
  • بهادر زارعی، الهه کولایی، زهرا پیشگاهی فرد، بهناز اسدی کیا*

    با پایان جنگ سرد، ملاحظات جغرافیایی و ژیوپلیتیکی که در طول تاریخ در ایجاد امپراتوری روسیه و سپس بر سیاست های شوروی سایه افکنده بود، بر سیاست های فدراسیون روسیه نیز تاثیرگذار است؛ سیاست هایی که با از دست دادن پهنه قابل توجهی از سرزمین های خود و موقعیت ابرقدرتی در ساختار نظام دوقطبی همچنان به عنوان یک قدرت منطقه ای بازیگری می کند. به دنبال فروپاشی شوروی که پوتین رییس جمهور روسیه آن را «فاجعه ژیوپلیتیکی قرن بیستم» نامید و جابه جاشدن مرزهای جغرافیایی روسیه، موجی از اندیشه های ژیوپلیتیکی و اوراسیاگرایی مبتنی بر احیای قلمروی امپراتوری روسیه و همچنین اندیشه های روس گرایی و روس بودگی متمرکز بر حوزه سرزمینی، در طیف متنوعی در روسیه به راه افتاد. همچنین بحث احیای تمدن اوراسیایی در میان روشنفکران روسی مطرح شد. سیر تحولات اندیشه سیاسی در روسیه به طور چشمگیری ملهم از جریان های ژیوپلیتیکی است و هم اکنون نیز در گردونه سیاسی این کشور از تفکرات رایج و قابل تحلیل قلمداد می شود. این نوشتار با واکاوی تفکرات و رویکردهای ژیوپلیتیکی در میان نخبگان سیاسی روسیه درمی یابد با وجود اینکه نمی توان هیچ دیدگاه و تفکر مسلطی را در رویکرد سیاست خارجی روسیه عنوان کرد، نگرش های ژیوپلیتیکی همچنان بر سیاست های کلی این کشور در محیط پیرامونی و منطقه ای تاثیرگذار است. بی تردید این امر در فهم رفتار خارجی روسیه و تاثیر آن بر سیاست گذاری و سیاست پژوهی جمهوری اسلامی ایران نیز اهمیت فراوانی دارد. از آنجا که بنیان تفکرات ژیوپلیتیکی در روسیه بر حوزه اوراسیایی و تمدن اوراسیایی متمرکز است، چارچوب نظری اصلی در این مقاله، مبتنی بر رویکرد ژیوپلیتیک سنتی و منطبق بر نظریه هارتلند مکیندر با محوریت اوراسیا تنظیم شده است.

    کلید واژگان: آتلانتیک گرایی, روسیه, ژئوپلیتیک, سیاست خارجی, نواوراسیاگرایی}
    B. Zarei, Elahe Kolaee, Zahra Pishgahi Fard, Behnaz Asadikia *
    Introduction

    Today geopolitics has returned to political analysis and international relations studies with more depth and accuracy in understanding of phenomena and also predicting them. Maybe the best example for geopolitics importance in 20th century is the collapse of the Soviet Union in 1991 that changed the political boundaries of one of the two superpowers in the global bipolar system. Although Russia has lost the considerable size of its territories, especially as its periphery margins, but yet has remained as a great power in the region. Soviet fall as the greatest geopolitical catastrophe of the 20th century- as in 2005 Russian president, Putin called - has changed the geographic borders and brought a broad nationalistic and geopolitical thoughts and visions, including the necessity of reviving the Eurasian civilization. Here we considers some geopolitical schools and approaches in regards of preserving Russian influence as its history and related Russian identity. In fact the eurasianism approach has constructed and grown based on Russian identity in the unique manner and way. It seems Russian foreign policy is inspired of geopolitical thinking.

    Methodology

    This study has been done with analytical and descriptive method. Data gathering mainly are based on primary resources, library information and documentation and also online books and articles in three languages: Farsi, English and Russian. This study is focus on Russian political community and thoughtful contemporary schools and intellectual thoughts. Here the research areas are in the fields of political geography, geopolitics and also international relations.

    Results and discussion

    As mentioned in the text, The Eurasian orientation has been present in Russia for centuries. After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia has undergone a significant change in its foreign policy. Starting from the second half of the 1990s, Russian foreign policy began to reflect more and more on the concept of geopolitics. In spite of the fact that Russia as a successor of the USSR was facing many economic and political problems, Russian foreign policy was and is based on geopolitical thinking.One school of foreign policy thinking in Russia warns against an excessively Eurasian concentration of Russian resources and argues for the country’s pro-Western, rather than merely regional, orientation. This school can be referred to as Westernizers because for many years politicians and intellectuals of this group have been challenging the wisdom of Russia’s regional orientation and developing a special Eurasian strategy. To them, Russia is essentially a European country that must associate itself primarily with the Western world and its institutions. This essay assumes that despite the expectations of some scholars and policy-makers, Russia did not retreat from the Eurasian geographical space and in fact is keenly interested in securing its cultural, political, and economic presence there. Some approaches can be mentioned in the Russian geopolitics thinking in the Russian discourse since the Soviet disintegration among Russian political thinkers and foreign policy including geoeconomism, stabilizing eurasia, expansionists and civilizationists that represent the politically conservative factions of Eurasianist thinking. To supporters of stabilizing Eurasia, the key word in understanding Russia’s security mission in Eurasia is stabilization. Geoeconomism emphasizes the role of geoeconomic over geopolitical factors in the post-cold war world and Eurasia. The emergence of the new geopolitical thinking in Russia is often associated with Eurasianism or the spatial imagination of post-Soviet Eurasia. Eurasianism emphasizes Russia’s geopolitical and cultural uniqueness and distinctiveness from both Western and Asian worlds. To eurasianism, one of the propositions is the notion of the Eurasian continent as heartland of the world and Russia as the heart of the heartland. Following this logic of exclusive geopolitical competition, Russia must take advantage of its strategic location and mobilize its resources, experience, and will for establishing full and single-handed control over Eurasia. For Alexander Dugin as the leader of neo- eurasianism movement, Eurasia spreads far beyond the former USSR. Russia is at the center of this geopolitical struggle and Russia’s main identity is that of Eurasian. Here there are so many questions: If Russia is unable to perform its traditional stabilizing role in the region, who is going to play this vital role? How are analysts to respond to the sudden emergence of new threats when Russia itself is weak and has very limited resources at its disposal? Finally, what exactly is Russia with its new geographical boundaries and how should it reconstruct its traditional geopolitical identity?

    Conclusion

    After the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russia lost its geopolitical hegemony, but it retained the tendency towards regaining its influence in the world. This tendency is supported by the geopolitical thinking which underlies Russian foreign policy, and which contains elements of some geopolitical schools of thought. Eurasianism and Neo-Eurasianism are basically created as a reaction to external factors, which were, in significant aspects, very similar. That means that the political collapse of the structure of the Soviet state was accompanied by the geopolitical dissolution of the territory into several sovereign and quasi-sovereign entities. Today, we can analyze the concept of Neo-Eurasianism which is seen in the development of the contemporary Russian geopolitical thought. Such circumstances have occurred after 2000, with the beginning of Vladimir Putin’s rule started, who, again, tries to position Russia as the dominant geopolitical factor between Europe and Asia. Analyses of Russian schools of geopolitical thought disclose that there is no full use of the concepts, visions and theories of one separate school. Instead, Russian foreign policy is based on some aspects of all schools of geopolitical thought, which reflects on the realistic evaluation of Russian resources, abilities, and capacities. Geopolitical thinking was and remains a key stone in Russian foreign policy. Analysis of Russian schools of geopolitical thought disclose that there is no dominant visions in Russian foreign approach, but somehow geopolitical views including eurasianism and neo eurasianism are reflected on it.

    Keywords: atlantisim, eurasianism, Foreign policy, Geopolitics, Russia}
  • کیومرث یزدان پناه*، بهادر زارعی، محمود واثق، فتح الله دهقان

    دریای خزر بزرگترین دریاچه ی جهان میان آسیا و اروپا واقع شده است. این دریا به طور طبیعی به دریاها و اقیانوس های جهان راه ندارد. تا سال 1991 خزر دریای ایرانی- شوروی بوده و بر مبنای قراردادهای 1921 و 1940 میان دو کشور مشترک بوده است. دیگر کشورهای جهان نیز دریای خزر را میان ایران و روسیه مشاع می دانستند. با فروپاشی شوروی همسایگان دریا به 5 کشور افزایش یافته و اختلافات در خصوص رژیم حقوقی این دریا آشکار و هویدا شد. مذاکرات متعدد و متناوبی طی حدود 21 سال توسط کشورهای ساحلی برای حل مشکل رژیم حقوقی خزر صورت گرفته است. در این مقاله مواضع کشورهای ساحلی در مورد رژیم حقوقی دریای خزر را مورد بررسی قرار داده، همچنین موضع ایران در خصوص رژیم حقوقی دریای خزر را مورد مداقه و آسیب شناسی قرار می دهیم.

    کلید واژگان: رژیم حقوقی دریای خزر, دریای بسته, ایران, روسیه, آذربایجان, ترکمنستان, قزاقستان}
نکته
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